Ligue 2· Kick-off : Friday, October 9, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)
Sochaux vs Boulogne prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Sochaux take on Boulogne on Friday, October 9, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), a Ligue 2, matchday 8 fixture. Venue: Stade Auguste Bonal. Our model makes Sochaux clear favourites: a 73% chance of winning, against 17% for the draw and 10% for Boulogne. On the correct score, 2-0 comes out on top (12.9%), followed by 1-0 (11.0%) and 3-0 (10.0%).
Sochaux are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 3 and conceding 1. Boulogne have not won any of their last 5 matches (4 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 2 and conceding 3. Sochaux therefore arrive in far better shape than Boulogne. On average Sochaux score 0.60 and concede 0.20 goals per game; Boulogne score 0.40 and concede 0.60. In the table, Sochaux sit 8th with 10 points from 7 games, Boulogne 17th with 5 points from 7. 9 places separate the two sides.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Sochaux and Boulogne: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Sochaux or draw" stands at 90%, "Boulogne or draw" at 27% and "no draw" at 83%.
In short : Sochaux are tipped by our AI model in this Sochaux v Boulogne (73%). In the table, Sochaux (8th, 10 pts) host Boulogne (17th, 5 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Sochaux – Boulogne. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (12.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Sochaux 2-0 Boulogne | 12.9% |
| Sochaux 1-0 Boulogne | 11.0% |
| Sochaux 3-0 Boulogne | 10.0% |
| Sochaux 2-1 Boulogne | 9.3% |
| Sochaux 1-1 Boulogne | 7.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.33 expected goals for Sochaux and 0.72 for Boulogne, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 59% and "both teams to score" at 46%. Goals look likely in this one. Sochaux keep a clean sheet in 49% of scenarios, Boulogne in 10%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Sochaux expected goals | 2.33 |
| Boulogne expected goals | 0.72 |
| Both teams to score | 46% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% |
| Sochaux clean sheet | 49% |
| Boulogne clean sheet | 10% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Sochaux
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Nantes · Ligue 2 | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 4, 2026 | PAU · Ligue 2 | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Clermont Foot · Ligue 2 | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Guingamp · Ligue 2 | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 14, 2026 | RED Star FC 93 · Ligue 2 | 0-0 | D |
Boulogne
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | Clermont Foot · Ligue 2 | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Dijon · Ligue 2 | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Montpellier · Ligue 2 | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 21, 2026 | RED Star FC 93 · Ligue 2 | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Guingamp · Ligue 2 | 0-1 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sochaux | 8 | 10 | 7 |
| Boulogne | 17 | 5 | 7 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Sochaux and Boulogne: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Sochaux
No absences reported.
Boulogne
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Sochaux
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- E. N'Gatta5/5
- J. Masson5/5
- M. Jeannin5/5
- B. Fofana4/5
- L. Nomel4/5
- M. Peybernes4/5
- S. Baghdadi4/5
- D. Gomis3/5
- J. Mexique3/5
- M. Clairicia3/5
- S. Agouzoul3/5
Boulogne
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Hbouch5/5
- A. Kerriou5/5
- A. Platret5/5
- B. Besic5/5
- D. Thiam5/5
- B. Noukeu4/5
- J. Boyer4/5
- J. Bultel4/5
- N. Binet4/5
- T. Brusco4/5
- T. Epailly4/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Dunkerque – AnnecyOct 9, 2026
- Montpellier – GrenobleOct 9, 2026
- PAU – LavalOct 9, 2026
- Nancy – GuingampOct 9, 2026
- Clermont Foot – RED Star FC 93Oct 10, 2026
- Nantes – ReimsOct 10, 2026
- Saint Etienne – RodezOct 10, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Sochaux vs Boulogne prediction?
Our AI gives Sochaux a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Boulogne 10%. Sochaux are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Sochaux vs Boulogne?
2-0 (12.9%), followed by 1-0 (11.0%), 3-0 (10.0%), 2-1 (9.3%) and 1-1 (7.9%).
Will both teams score in Sochaux vs Boulogne?
The probability that both Sochaux and Boulogne score is 46%. Sochaux have a 49% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Boulogne 10%.
How many goals should we expect in Sochaux vs Boulogne?
The model expects 3.05 goals (2.33 for Sochaux, 0.72 for Boulogne). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 81%, over 2.5 goals 59%, over 3.5 goals 36%.
When and where is Sochaux vs Boulogne played?
Friday, October 9, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), Ligue 2, matchday 8. Venue: Stade Auguste Bonal.
What form are Sochaux and Boulogne in?
Sochaux: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 1 conceded). Boulogne: 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 3 conceded).
How is the Sochaux vs Boulogne prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.33 for Sochaux, 0.72 for Boulogne) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Sochaux predictions
- All Boulogne predictions
- Ligue 2 predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology