Premier League· Kick-off : Saturday, August 29, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)
Bournemouth vs Everton: 1-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Bournemouth 1-1 Everton. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Everton (72%), while a draw was rated at only 20%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (7.9%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (28%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (38%): correct.
Match analysis
Bournemouth and Everton met on Saturday, August 29, 2026, a Premier League, matchday 2 fixture. Venue: Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth. Before kick-off, our model gave Bournemouth a 8% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Everton 72%. On the correct score, 0-1 comes out on top (19.9%), followed by 0-2 (18.0%) and 0-0 (11.0%).
Over their last 5 matches, Bournemouth have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 19 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, Everton have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 11 and conceding 5. Everton therefore arrive in far better shape than Bournemouth. On average Bournemouth score 3.80 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Everton score 2.20 and concede 1.00. In the table, Bournemouth sit 14th with 0 points from 1 games, Everton 4th with 3 points from 1. 10 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Bournemouth have averaged 0.65 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.12 for Everton.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Bournemouth, 1 for Everton and 0 draws. The most recent ended Everton 1-2 Bournemouth (Feb 10, 2026). Bournemouth out or doubtful: A. Adli, J. Araujo, R. Christie, E. J. Kroupi and V. Milosavljevic. Everton: T. Iroegbunam, H. Hackney and C. Norgaard. In double chance terms, "Bournemouth or draw" stands at 28%, "Everton or draw" at 92% and "no draw" at 80%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Bournemouth – Everton. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (19.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 68% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Bournemouth 0-1 Everton | 19.9% |
| Bournemouth 0-2 Everton | 18.0% |
| Bournemouth 0-0 Everton | 11.0% |
| Bournemouth 0-3 Everton | 10.8% |
| Bournemouth 1-1 Everton | 7.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 0.40 expected goals for Bournemouth and 1.81 for Everton, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 38% and "both teams to score" at 28%. Few goals are expected here. Bournemouth keep a clean sheet in 16% of scenarios, Everton in 67%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Bournemouth expected goals | 0.40 |
| Everton expected goals | 1.81 |
| Both teams to score | 28% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% |
| Bournemouth clean sheet | 16% |
| Everton clean sheet | 67% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Bournemouth
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Manchester City · Premier League | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05 · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Betis · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Genoa · Club Friendlies | 10-1 | W |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FC Augsburg · Club Friendlies | 5-2 | W |
Everton
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Preston · EFL Cup | 4-0 | W |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Crystal Palace · Premier League | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lille · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Newcastle · Club Friendlies | 3-1 | W |
| Aug 8, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart · Club Friendlies | 1-3 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | 14 | 0 | 1 |
| Everton | 4 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026 | Everton 1-2 Bournemouth | Premier League |
| Dec 2, 2025 | Bournemouth 0-1 Everton | Premier League |
Out and doubtful
Bournemouth
- A. Adli (out)
- J. Araujo (out)
- R. Christie (out)
- E. J. Kroupi (out)
- V. Milosavljevic (out)
Everton
- T. Iroegbunam (out)
- H. Hackney (out)
- C. Norgaard (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Crystal Palace 1-4 Manchester CityAug 28, 2026
- Liverpool 2-2 Nottingham ForestAug 29, 2026
- Coventry 0-1 Hull CityAug 29, 2026
- Tottenham 0-2 NewcastleAug 29, 2026
- Chelsea 4-3 BrightonAug 30, 2026
- Leeds 1-1 BrentfordAug 30, 2026
- Sunderland 1-0 FulhamAug 30, 2026
- Manchester United 5-2 IpswichAug 30, 2026
- Aston Villa 0-1 ArsenalAug 31, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Bournemouth vs Everton prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Bournemouth a 8% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Everton 72%. Everton are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Bournemouth vs Everton?
0-1 (19.9%), followed by 0-2 (18.0%), 0-0 (11.0%), 0-3 (10.8%) and 1-1 (7.9%).
Will both teams score in Bournemouth vs Everton?
The probability that both Bournemouth and Everton score is 28%. Bournemouth have a 16% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Everton 67%.
How many goals should we expect in Bournemouth vs Everton?
The model expects 2.21 goals (0.40 for Bournemouth, 1.81 for Everton). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 65%, over 2.5 goals 38%, over 3.5 goals 18%.
When and where is Bournemouth vs Everton played?
Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Premier League, matchday 2. Venue: Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth.
What form are Bournemouth and Everton in?
Bournemouth: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (19 scored, 9 conceded). Everton: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Bournemouth and Everton?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Bournemouth, 1 for Everton and 0 draws. The most recent ended Everton 1-2 Bournemouth (Feb 10, 2026).
What was the Bournemouth vs Everton result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Bournemouth 1-1 Everton. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Everton (72%), while a draw was rated at only 20%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (7.9%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (28%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (38%): correct.
How is the Bournemouth vs Everton prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.40 for Bournemouth, 1.81 for Everton) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Bournemouth predictions
- All Everton predictions
- Premier League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology