Premier League· Kick-off : Saturday, August 29, 2026, 12:30 (UK time)
Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest: 2-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Liverpool 2-2 Nottingham Forest. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Liverpool (90%), while a draw was rated at only 7%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.1%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (83%): correct.
Match analysis
Liverpool and Nottingham Forest met on Saturday, August 29, 2026, a Premier League, matchday 2 fixture. Venue: Anfield, Liverpool. Before kick-off, our model gave Liverpool a 90% chance of winning, the draw 7% and Nottingham Forest 3%. On the correct score, 3-0 comes out on top (9.9%), followed by 4-0 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.9%).
Liverpool have not won any of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 10. Over their last 5 matches, Nottingham Forest have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 4 and conceding 5. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Liverpool score 1.40 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Nottingham Forest score 0.80 and concede 1.00. In the table, Liverpool sit 10th with 1 points from 1 games, Nottingham Forest 15th with 0 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Liverpool have averaged 2.98 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.92 for Nottingham Forest.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Liverpool, 1 for Nottingham Forest and 0 draws. The most recent ended Nottingham Forest 0-1 Liverpool (Feb 22, 2026). Liverpool out or doubtful: C. Bradley, H. Ekitike, J. Gomez, G. Leoni and F. Chiesa. Nottingham Forest: N. Savona, M. Gibbs-White and R. Yates. In double chance terms, "Liverpool or draw" stands at 97%, "Nottingham Forest or draw" at 10% and "no draw" at 93%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Liverpool – Nottingham Forest. 3-0 is the single most likely scoreline (9.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 41% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Liverpool 3-0 Nottingham Forest | 9.9% |
| Liverpool 4-0 Nottingham Forest | 9.3% |
| Liverpool 2-0 Nottingham Forest | 7.9% |
| Liverpool 3-1 Nottingham Forest | 7.3% |
| Liverpool 5-0 Nottingham Forest | 7.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 3.76 expected goals for Liverpool and 0.73 for Nottingham Forest, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 83% and "both teams to score" at 51%. Goals look likely in this one. Liverpool keep a clean sheet in 48% of scenarios, Nottingham Forest in 2%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Liverpool expected goals | 3.76 |
| Nottingham Forest expected goals | 0.73 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 94% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 66% |
| Liverpool clean sheet | 48% |
| Nottingham Forest clean sheet | 2% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Liverpool
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Newcastle · Premier League | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Como · Club Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Monaco · Club Friendlies | 2-3 | L |
| May 24, 2026 | Brentford · Premier League | 1-1 | D |
| May 15, 2026 | Aston Villa · Premier League | 2-4 | L |
Nottingham Forest
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Leeds · EFL Cup | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leeds · Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29 · Club Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barcelona · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 10 | 1 | 1 |
| Nottingham Forest | 15 | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Nottingham Forest 0-1 Liverpool | Premier League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Liverpool 0-3 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
Out and doubtful
Liverpool
- C. Bradley (out)
- H. Ekitike (out)
- J. Gomez (out)
- G. Leoni (out)
- F. Chiesa (out)
Nottingham Forest
- N. Savona (out)
- M. Gibbs-White (out)
- R. Yates (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Crystal Palace 1-4 Manchester CityAug 28, 2026
- Bournemouth 1-1 EvertonAug 29, 2026
- Coventry 0-1 Hull CityAug 29, 2026
- Tottenham 0-2 NewcastleAug 29, 2026
- Chelsea 4-3 BrightonAug 30, 2026
- Leeds 1-1 BrentfordAug 30, 2026
- Sunderland 1-0 FulhamAug 30, 2026
- Manchester United 5-2 IpswichAug 30, 2026
- Aston Villa 0-1 ArsenalAug 31, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Liverpool a 90% chance of winning, the draw 7% and Nottingham Forest 3%. Liverpool are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest?
3-0 (9.9%), followed by 4-0 (9.3%), 2-0 (7.9%), 3-1 (7.3%) and 5-0 (7.0%).
Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest?
The probability that both Liverpool and Nottingham Forest score is 51%. Liverpool have a 48% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Nottingham Forest 2%.
How many goals should we expect in Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest?
The model expects 4.49 goals (3.76 for Liverpool, 0.73 for Nottingham Forest). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 94%, over 2.5 goals 83%, over 3.5 goals 66%.
When and where is Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest played?
Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 12:30 (UK time), Premier League, matchday 2. Venue: Anfield, Liverpool.
What form are Liverpool and Nottingham Forest in?
Liverpool: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 10 conceded). Nottingham Forest: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Liverpool and Nottingham Forest?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Liverpool, 1 for Nottingham Forest and 0 draws. The most recent ended Nottingham Forest 0-1 Liverpool (Feb 22, 2026).
What was the Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Liverpool 2-2 Nottingham Forest. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Liverpool (90%), while a draw was rated at only 7%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.1%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (83%): correct.
How is the Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (3.76 for Liverpool, 0.73 for Nottingham Forest) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Liverpool predictions
- All Nottingham Forest predictions
- Premier League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology