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Premier LeaguePremier League· Kick-off : Sunday, August 30, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)

Leeds vs Brentford: 1-1 result and AI prediction review

LeedsLeeds1 – 1BrentfordBrentford

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score foundMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Leeds 1-1 Brentford. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Leeds (36%), while a draw was rated at only 28%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (13.2%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (47%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (41%): correct.

Match analysis

Leeds and Brentford met on Sunday, August 30, 2026, a Premier League, matchday 2 fixture. Venue: Elland Road, Leeds. Before kick-off, our model gave Leeds a 36% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Brentford 35%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (13.2%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%) and 0-1 (11.3%).

Leeds are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 10 and conceding 1. Brentford are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 21 and conceding 4. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Leeds score 2.00 and concede 0.20 goals per game; Brentford score 4.20 and concede 0.80. In the table, Leeds sit 10th with 3 points from 1 games, Brentford 7th with 3 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Leeds have averaged 1.60 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.50 for Brentford.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Leeds, 0 for Brentford and 2 draws. The most recent ended Leeds 0-0 Brentford (Mar 21, 2026). Leeds out or doubtful: I. Gruev, M. Joseph, W. Gnonto and G. Gudmundsson. Brentford: A. Milambo and S. van den Berg. In double chance terms, "Leeds or draw" stands at 65%, "Brentford or draw" at 64% and "no draw" at 72%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

36%
Leeds (Win)
28%
Draw
35%
Brentford (Win)

Double chance

65%
Leeds or draw
64%
Brentford or draw
72%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Leeds – Brentford. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (13.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 53% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Leeds 1-1 Brentford13.2%
Leeds 1-0 Brentford11.5%
Leeds 0-1 Brentford11.3%
Leeds 0-0 Brentford9.8%
Leeds 2-1 Brentford7.7%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.17 expected goals for Leeds and 1.15 for Brentford, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 41% and "both teams to score" at 47%. Few goals are expected here. Leeds keep a clean sheet in 32% of scenarios, Brentford in 31%.

Probability
Leeds expected goals1.17
Brentford expected goals1.15
Both teams to score47%
Over 1.5 goals67%
Over 2.5 goals41%
Over 3.5 goals21%
Leeds clean sheet32%
Brentford clean sheet31%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Leeds

DateOpponentScore
Aug 25, 2026Nottingham Forest · EFL Cup2-0W
Aug 22, 2026Nottingham Forest · Premier League1-0W
Aug 15, 2026FC Augsburg · Club Friendlies4-0W
Aug 12, 2026Manchester United · Club Friendlies1-1D
Aug 8, 2026RB Leipzig · Club Friendlies2-0W

Brentford

DateOpponentScore
Aug 25, 2026Birmingham · EFL Cup6-1W
Aug 22, 2026Tottenham · Premier League3-0W
Aug 15, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt · Club Friendlies7-0W
Aug 8, 2026Rennes · Club Friendlies4-2W
May 24, 2026Liverpool · Premier League1-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Leeds1031
Brentford731

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026Leeds 0-0 BrentfordPremier League
Dec 14, 2025Brentford 1-1 LeedsPremier League

Out and doubtful

Leeds

  • I. Gruev (out)
  • M. Joseph (out)
  • W. Gnonto (out)
  • G. Gudmundsson (out)

Brentford

  • A. Milambo (out)
  • S. van den Berg (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Leeds vs Brentford prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Leeds a 36% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Brentford 35%. Leeds are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Leeds vs Brentford?

1-1 (13.2%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%), 0-1 (11.3%), 0-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (7.7%).

Will both teams score in Leeds vs Brentford?

The probability that both Leeds and Brentford score is 47%. Leeds have a 32% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Brentford 31%.

How many goals should we expect in Leeds vs Brentford?

The model expects 2.32 goals (1.17 for Leeds, 1.15 for Brentford). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 67%, over 2.5 goals 41%, over 3.5 goals 21%.

When and where is Leeds vs Brentford played?

Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), Premier League, matchday 2. Venue: Elland Road, Leeds.

What form are Leeds and Brentford in?

Leeds: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 1 conceded). Brentford: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (21 scored, 4 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Leeds and Brentford?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Leeds, 0 for Brentford and 2 draws. The most recent ended Leeds 0-0 Brentford (Mar 21, 2026).

What was the Leeds vs Brentford result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Leeds 1-1 Brentford. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Leeds (36%), while a draw was rated at only 28%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (13.2%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (47%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (41%): correct.

How is the Leeds vs Brentford prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.17 for Leeds, 1.15 for Brentford) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained