Premier League· Kick-off : Saturday, August 29, 2026, 17:30 (UK time)
Tottenham vs Newcastle: 0-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Tottenham 0-2 Newcastle. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Newcastle was the model's favourite outcome (61%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (14.3%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (35%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (36%): correct.
Match analysis
Tottenham vs Newcastle was played on Saturday, August 29, 2026 (Premier League, matchday 2). Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London. Before kick-off, our model gave Tottenham a 14% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Newcastle 61%. The most likely correct score is 0-1 (18.4%), ahead of 0-2 (14.3%) and 0-0 (11.8%).
Over their last 5 matches, Tottenham have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 11 and conceding 7. Newcastle have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 8 and conceding 10. Recent momentum is clearly with Tottenham. On average Tottenham score 2.20 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Newcastle score 1.60 and concede 2.00. In the table, Tottenham sit 18th with 0 points from 1 games, Newcastle 11th with 1 points from 1. 7 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Tottenham have averaged 0.57 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.58 for Newcastle.
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Tottenham, 2 for Newcastle and 1 draw. The most recent ended Tottenham 1-2 Newcastle (Feb 10, 2026). Tottenham out or doubtful: D. Kulusevski, J. Maddison, W. Odobert, X. Simons and M. Kudus. Newcastle: Joelinton, V. Livramento, D. Burn and W. Osula. In double chance terms, "Tottenham or draw" stands at 39%, "Newcastle or draw" at 86% and "no draw" at 75%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Tottenham – Newcastle. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (18.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 63% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Tottenham 0-1 Newcastle | 18.4% |
| Tottenham 0-2 Newcastle | 14.3% |
| Tottenham 0-0 Newcastle | 11.8% |
| Tottenham 1-1 Newcastle | 10.6% |
| Tottenham 1-2 Newcastle | 8.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.14 goals in total (0.58 for Tottenham, 1.56 for Newcastle): over 2.5 goals has a 36% probability and both teams to score 35%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Tottenham keep a clean sheet in 21% of scenarios, Newcastle in 56%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Tottenham expected goals | 0.58 |
| Newcastle expected goals | 1.56 |
| Both teams to score | 35% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% |
| Tottenham clean sheet | 21% |
| Newcastle clean sheet | 56% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Tottenham
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Charlton · EFL Cup | 5-1 | W |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Brentford · Premier League | 0-3 | L |
| Aug 16, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim · Club Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Getafe · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
Newcastle
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | West Brom · EFL Cup | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Liverpool · Premier League | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Strasbourg · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Everton · Club Friendlies | 1-3 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | 18 | 0 | 1 |
| Newcastle | 11 | 1 | 1 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026 | Tottenham 1-2 Newcastle | Premier League |
| Dec 2, 2025 | Newcastle 2-2 Tottenham | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Newcastle 2-0 Tottenham | EFL Cup |
Out and doubtful
Tottenham
- D. Kulusevski (out)
- J. Maddison (out)
- W. Odobert (out)
- X. Simons (out)
- M. Kudus (out)
Newcastle
- Joelinton (out)
- V. Livramento (out)
- D. Burn (out)
- W. Osula (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Crystal Palace 1-4 Manchester CityAug 28, 2026
- Liverpool 2-2 Nottingham ForestAug 29, 2026
- Bournemouth 1-1 EvertonAug 29, 2026
- Coventry 0-1 Hull CityAug 29, 2026
- Chelsea 4-3 BrightonAug 30, 2026
- Leeds 1-1 BrentfordAug 30, 2026
- Sunderland 1-0 FulhamAug 30, 2026
- Manchester United 5-2 IpswichAug 30, 2026
- Aston Villa 0-1 ArsenalAug 31, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Tottenham vs Newcastle prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Tottenham a 14% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Newcastle 61%. Newcastle are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Tottenham vs Newcastle?
0-1 (18.4%), followed by 0-2 (14.3%), 0-0 (11.8%), 1-1 (10.6%) and 1-2 (8.3%).
Will both teams score in Tottenham vs Newcastle?
The probability that both Tottenham and Newcastle score is 35%. Tottenham have a 21% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Newcastle 56%.
How many goals should we expect in Tottenham vs Newcastle?
The model expects 2.14 goals (0.58 for Tottenham, 1.56 for Newcastle). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 63%, over 2.5 goals 36%, over 3.5 goals 17%.
When and where is Tottenham vs Newcastle played?
Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time), Premier League, matchday 2. Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London.
What form are Tottenham and Newcastle in?
Tottenham: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 7 conceded). Newcastle: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 10 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Tottenham and Newcastle?
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Tottenham, 2 for Newcastle and 1 draw. The most recent ended Tottenham 1-2 Newcastle (Feb 10, 2026).
What was the Tottenham vs Newcastle result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Tottenham 0-2 Newcastle. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Newcastle was the model's favourite outcome (61%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (14.3%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (35%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (36%): correct.
How is the Tottenham vs Newcastle prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.58 for Tottenham, 1.56 for Newcastle) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Tottenham predictions
- All Newcastle predictions
- Premier League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology