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Premier LeaguePremier League· Kick-off : Sunday, August 30, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)

Sunderland vs Fulham: 1-0 result and AI prediction review

SunderlandSunderland1 – 0FulhamFulham

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 0-2

Final score: Sunderland 1-0 Fulham. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Fulham (72%), while victory for Sunderland was rated at only 11%. The model considered this score unlikely (3.2%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (64%): missed.

Match analysis

Sunderland and Fulham met on Sunday, August 30, 2026, a Premier League, matchday 2 fixture. Venue: Stadium of Light, Sunderland. Before kick-off, our model gave Sunderland a 11% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Fulham 72%. On the correct score, 0-2 comes out on top (10.9%), followed by 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-1 (9.0%).

Over their last 5 matches, Sunderland have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Fulham have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Sunderland therefore arrive in far better shape than Fulham. On average Sunderland score 2.40 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Fulham score 1.80 and concede 1.40. In the table, Sunderland sit 15th with 0 points from 1 games, Fulham 14th with 0 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Sunderland have averaged 0.76 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.77 for Fulham.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Sunderland, 2 for Fulham and 0 draws. The most recent ended Sunderland 1-3 Fulham (Feb 22, 2026). Sunderland out or doubtful: S. Adingra and D. Methalie. Fulham: T. Cairney and L. De Fougerolles. In double chance terms, "Sunderland or draw" stands at 28%, "Fulham or draw" at 89% and "no draw" at 83%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

11%
Sunderland (Win)
17%
Draw
72%
Fulham (Win)

Double chance

28%
Sunderland or draw
89%
Fulham or draw
83%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Sunderland – Fulham. 0-2 is the single most likely scoreline (10.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 46% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Sunderland 0-2 Fulham10.9%
Sunderland 1-2 Fulham9.5%
Sunderland 0-1 Fulham9.0%
Sunderland 0-3 Fulham8.8%
Sunderland 1-1 Fulham7.8%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 0.87 expected goals for Sunderland and 2.42 for Fulham, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 64% and "both teams to score" at 53%. Goals look likely in this one. Sunderland keep a clean sheet in 9% of scenarios, Fulham in 42%.

Probability
Sunderland expected goals0.87
Fulham expected goals2.42
Both teams to score53%
Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals42%
Sunderland clean sheet9%
Fulham clean sheet42%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Sunderland

DateOpponentScore
Aug 22, 2026Ipswich · Premier League1-2L
Aug 15, 2026Rennes · Club Friendlies2-1W
Aug 8, 2026Lens · Club Friendlies2-0W
Jul 18, 2026York · Club Friendlies5-1W
May 24, 2026Chelsea · Premier League2-1W

Fulham

DateOpponentScore
Aug 27, 2026AFC Wimbledon · EFL Cup3-0W
Aug 24, 2026Chelsea · Premier League2-3L
Aug 15, 2026VfB Stuttgart · Club Friendlies1-0W
Aug 12, 2026Malaga · Club Friendlies2-2D
Aug 7, 2026Crystal Palace · Club Friendlies1-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Sunderland1501
Fulham1401

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 22, 2026Sunderland 1-3 FulhamPremier League
Nov 22, 2025Fulham 1-0 SunderlandPremier League

Out and doubtful

Sunderland

  • S. Adingra (out)
  • D. Methalie (out)

Fulham

  • T. Cairney (out)
  • L. De Fougerolles (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Sunderland vs Fulham prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Sunderland a 11% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Fulham 72%. Fulham are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Sunderland vs Fulham?

0-2 (10.9%), followed by 1-2 (9.5%), 0-1 (9.0%), 0-3 (8.8%) and 1-1 (7.8%).

Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Fulham?

The probability that both Sunderland and Fulham score is 53%. Sunderland have a 9% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Fulham 42%.

How many goals should we expect in Sunderland vs Fulham?

The model expects 3.29 goals (0.87 for Sunderland, 2.42 for Fulham). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 84%, over 2.5 goals 64%, over 3.5 goals 42%.

When and where is Sunderland vs Fulham played?

Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), Premier League, matchday 2. Venue: Stadium of Light, Sunderland.

What form are Sunderland and Fulham in?

Sunderland: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 5 conceded). Fulham: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Sunderland and Fulham?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Sunderland, 2 for Fulham and 0 draws. The most recent ended Sunderland 1-3 Fulham (Feb 22, 2026).

What was the Sunderland vs Fulham result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Sunderland 1-0 Fulham. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Fulham (72%), while victory for Sunderland was rated at only 11%. The model considered this score unlikely (3.2%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (64%): missed.

How is the Sunderland vs Fulham prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.87 for Sunderland, 2.42 for Fulham) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained