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Premier LeaguePremier League· Kick-off : Saturday, August 22, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)

Everton vs Crystal Palace: 2-0 result and AI prediction review

EvertonEverton2 – 0Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Everton 2-0 Crystal Palace. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Everton at 43%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (9.3%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.

Match analysis

Everton and Crystal Palace met on Saturday, August 22, 2026, a Premier League, matchday 1 fixture. Venue: Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool. Before kick-off, our model gave Everton a 43% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Crystal Palace 30%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.5%).

Over their last 5 matches, Everton have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Crystal Palace have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Everton score 1.40 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Crystal Palace score 1.60 and concede 1.60.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Everton, 0 for Crystal Palace and 1 draw. The most recent ended Crystal Palace 2-2 Everton (May 10, 2026). Everton out or doubtful: J. Garner, T. Iroegbunam and C. Norgaard. Crystal Palace: D. Henderson. In double chance terms, "Everton or draw" stands at 70%, "Crystal Palace or draw" at 57% and "no draw" at 72%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

43%
Everton (Win)
28%
Draw
30%
Crystal Palace (Win)

Double chance

70%
Everton or draw
57%
Crystal Palace or draw
72%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Everton – Crystal Palace. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Everton 1-1 Crystal Palace11.8%
Everton 1-0 Crystal Palace11.4%
Everton 2-1 Crystal Palace9.5%
Everton 2-0 Crystal Palace9.3%
Everton 0-1 Crystal Palace7.3%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.62 expected goals for Everton and 1.03 for Crystal Palace, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Everton keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Crystal Palace in 20%.

Probability
Everton expected goals1.62
Crystal Palace expected goals1.03
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Everton clean sheet36%
Crystal Palace clean sheet20%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Everton

DateOpponentScore
Aug 15, 2026Lille · Club Friendlies1-1D
Aug 12, 2026Newcastle · Club Friendlies3-1W
Aug 8, 2026VfB Stuttgart · Club Friendlies1-3L
Aug 1, 2026Hamburger SV · Club Friendlies2-1W
Jul 28, 2026Stoke City · Club Friendlies0-1L

Crystal Palace

DateOpponentScore
Aug 15, 2026SC Freiburg · Club Friendlies0-3L
Aug 7, 2026Fulham · Club Friendlies2-1W
Jul 25, 2026Bromley · Club Friendlies0-3L
Jul 18, 2026Swindon Town · Club Friendlies5-1W
May 27, 2026Rayo Vallecano · UEFA Conference League1-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Everton400
Crystal Palace1200

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Crystal Palace 2-2 EvertonPremier League
Oct 5, 2025Everton 2-1 Crystal PalacePremier League

Out and doubtful

Everton

  • J. Garner (out)
  • T. Iroegbunam (out)
  • C. Norgaard (out)

Crystal Palace

  • D. Henderson (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Everton vs Crystal Palace prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Everton a 43% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Crystal Palace 30%. Everton are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 2-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Everton vs Crystal Palace?

1-1 (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%), 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.3%) and 0-1 (7.3%).

Will both teams score in Everton vs Crystal Palace?

The probability that both Everton and Crystal Palace score is 52%. Everton have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Crystal Palace 20%.

How many goals should we expect in Everton vs Crystal Palace?

The model expects 2.65 goals (1.62 for Everton, 1.03 for Crystal Palace). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is Everton vs Crystal Palace played?

Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Premier League, matchday 1. Venue: Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool.

What form are Everton and Crystal Palace in?

Everton: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 7 conceded). Crystal Palace: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 8 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Everton and Crystal Palace?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Everton, 0 for Crystal Palace and 1 draw. The most recent ended Crystal Palace 2-2 Everton (May 10, 2026).

What was the Everton vs Crystal Palace result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Everton 2-0 Crystal Palace. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Everton at 43%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (9.3%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.

How is the Everton vs Crystal Palace prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.62 for Everton, 1.03 for Crystal Palace) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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Key terms explained