Premier League· Kick-off : Saturday, August 22, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)
Ipswich vs Sunderland: 2-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Ipswich 2-1 Sunderland. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Ipswich was the model's favourite outcome (53%). The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (9.7%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): missed.
Match analysis
Ipswich vs Sunderland was played on Saturday, August 22, 2026 (Premier League, matchday 1). Venue: Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich. Before kick-off, our model gave Ipswich a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sunderland 23%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (11.6%), ahead of 1-1 (11.6%) and 2-0 (9.7%).
Over their last 5 matches, Ipswich have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Sunderland are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 14 and conceding 4. Recent momentum is clearly with Sunderland. On average Ipswich score 2.00 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Sunderland score 2.80 and concede 0.80.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Ipswich, 2 for Sunderland and 1 draw. Ipswich out or doubtful: A. Matusiwa and J. Taylor. Sunderland: S. Adingra. In double chance terms, "Ipswich or draw" stands at 77%, "Sunderland or draw" at 47% and "no draw" at 76%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Ipswich – Sunderland. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Ipswich 1-0 Sunderland | 11.6% |
| Ipswich 1-1 Sunderland | 11.6% |
| Ipswich 2-0 Sunderland | 9.7% |
| Ipswich 2-1 Sunderland | 9.7% |
| Ipswich 0-0 Sunderland | 6.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.67 goals in total (1.67 for Ipswich, 1.00 for Sunderland): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 51%. Ipswich keep a clean sheet in 37% of scenarios, Sunderland in 19%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Ipswich expected goals | 1.67 |
| Sunderland expected goals | 1.00 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Ipswich clean sheet | 37% |
| Sunderland clean sheet | 19% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Ipswich
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Union Berlin · Club Friendlies | 4-2 | W |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano · Club Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Le Havre · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wycombe · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oxford United · Club Friendlies | 0-2 | L |
Sunderland
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rennes · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lens · Club Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| Jul 18, 2026 | York · Club Friendlies | 5-1 | W |
| May 24, 2026 | Chelsea · Premier League | 2-1 | W |
| May 17, 2026 | Everton · Premier League | 3-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| Sunderland | 10 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Ipswich, 2 for Sunderland and 1 draw.
Out and doubtful
Ipswich
- A. Matusiwa (out)
- J. Taylor (out)
Sunderland
- S. Adingra (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Arsenal 3-0 CoventryAug 21, 2026
- Hull City 2-0 Manchester UnitedAug 22, 2026
- Everton 2-0 Crystal PalaceAug 22, 2026
- Nottingham Forest 0-1 LeedsAug 22, 2026
- Brentford 3-0 TottenhamAug 22, 2026
- Manchester City 2-1 BournemouthAug 23, 2026
- Brighton 4-0 Aston VillaAug 23, 2026
- Newcastle 2-2 LiverpoolAug 23, 2026
- Fulham 2-3 ChelseaAug 24, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Ipswich vs Sunderland prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Ipswich a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sunderland 23%. Ipswich are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Ipswich vs Sunderland?
1-0 (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.6%), 2-0 (9.7%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 0-0 (6.9%).
Will both teams score in Ipswich vs Sunderland?
The probability that both Ipswich and Sunderland score is 51%. Ipswich have a 37% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Sunderland 19%.
How many goals should we expect in Ipswich vs Sunderland?
The model expects 2.67 goals (1.67 for Ipswich, 1.00 for Sunderland). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Ipswich vs Sunderland played?
Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Premier League, matchday 1. Venue: Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich.
What form are Ipswich and Sunderland in?
Ipswich: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 5 conceded). Sunderland: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 4 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Ipswich and Sunderland?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Ipswich, 2 for Sunderland and 1 draw.
What was the Ipswich vs Sunderland result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Ipswich 2-1 Sunderland. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Ipswich was the model's favourite outcome (53%). The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (9.7%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): missed.
How is the Ipswich vs Sunderland prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.67 for Ipswich, 1.00 for Sunderland) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Ipswich predictions
- All Sunderland predictions
- Premier League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology