Premier League· Kick-off : Saturday, August 22, 2026, 12:30 (UK time)
Hull City vs Manchester United: 2-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Hull City 2-0 Manchester United. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Manchester United (71%), while victory for Hull City was rated at only 10%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.3%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (40%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): correct.
Match analysis
Hull City vs Manchester United was played on Saturday, August 22, 2026 (Premier League, matchday 1). Venue: MKM Stadium, Hull. Before kick-off, our model gave Hull City a 10% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Manchester United 71%. The most likely correct score is 0-2 (14.6%), ahead of 0-1 (14.2%) and 0-3 (9.9%).
Over their last 5 matches, Hull City have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Manchester United have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 11 and conceding 7. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Hull City score 1.20 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Manchester United score 2.20 and concede 1.40.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Hull City, 2 for Manchester United and 2 draws. Hull City out or doubtful: J. Butland, J. Gelhardt, D. Gyabi, C. Hughes and M. Jacob. Manchester United: T. Heaton, M. Ugarte, M. de Ligt, K. Darlow and M. Mount. In double chance terms, "Hull City or draw" stands at 29%, "Manchester United or draw" at 90% and "no draw" at 81%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Hull City – Manchester United. 0-2 is the single most likely scoreline (14.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 57% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Hull City 0-2 Manchester United | 14.6% |
| Hull City 0-1 Manchester United | 14.2% |
| Hull City 0-3 Manchester United | 9.9% |
| Hull City 1-2 Manchester United | 9.0% |
| Hull City 1-1 Manchester United | 8.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.67 goals in total (0.62 for Hull City, 2.05 for Manchester United): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 40%. Hull City keep a clean sheet in 13% of scenarios, Manchester United in 54%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Hull City expected goals | 0.62 |
| Manchester United expected goals | 2.05 |
| Both teams to score | 40% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Hull City clean sheet | 13% |
| Manchester United clean sheet | 54% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Hull City
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nice · Club Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Club Friendlies | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kasımpaşa · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Rizespor · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Konyaspor · Club Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
Manchester United
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | AC Milan · Club Friendlies | 2-4 | L |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Leeds · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Atletico Madrid · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Rosenborg · Club Friendlies | 5-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| Manchester United | 8 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Hull City, 2 for Manchester United and 2 draws.
Out and doubtful
Hull City
- J. Butland (out)
- J. Gelhardt (out)
- D. Gyabi (out)
- C. Hughes (out)
- M. Jacob (out)
Manchester United
- T. Heaton (out)
- M. Ugarte (out)
- M. de Ligt (out)
- K. Darlow (out)
- M. Mount (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Arsenal 3-0 CoventryAug 21, 2026
- Everton 2-0 Crystal PalaceAug 22, 2026
- Nottingham Forest 0-1 LeedsAug 22, 2026
- Ipswich 2-1 SunderlandAug 22, 2026
- Brentford 3-0 TottenhamAug 22, 2026
- Manchester City 2-1 BournemouthAug 23, 2026
- Brighton 4-0 Aston VillaAug 23, 2026
- Newcastle 2-2 LiverpoolAug 23, 2026
- Fulham 2-3 ChelseaAug 24, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Hull City vs Manchester United prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Hull City a 10% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Manchester United 71%. Manchester United are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Hull City vs Manchester United?
0-2 (14.6%), followed by 0-1 (14.2%), 0-3 (9.9%), 1-2 (9.0%) and 1-1 (8.8%).
Will both teams score in Hull City vs Manchester United?
The probability that both Hull City and Manchester United score is 40%. Hull City have a 13% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Manchester United 54%.
How many goals should we expect in Hull City vs Manchester United?
The model expects 2.67 goals (0.62 for Hull City, 2.05 for Manchester United). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Hull City vs Manchester United played?
Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 12:30 (UK time), Premier League, matchday 1. Venue: MKM Stadium, Hull.
What form are Hull City and Manchester United in?
Hull City: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 4 conceded). Manchester United: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Hull City and Manchester United?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Hull City, 2 for Manchester United and 2 draws.
What was the Hull City vs Manchester United result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Hull City 2-0 Manchester United. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Manchester United (71%), while victory for Hull City was rated at only 10%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.3%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (40%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): correct.
How is the Hull City vs Manchester United prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.62 for Hull City, 2.05 for Manchester United) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Hull City predictions
- All Manchester United predictions
- Premier League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology