Premier League· Kick-off : Monday, August 24, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Fulham vs Chelsea: 2-3 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Fulham 2-3 Chelsea. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Chelsea at 53%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (52%): correct.
Match analysis
Fulham and Chelsea met on Monday, August 24, 2026, a Premier League, matchday 1 fixture. Venue: Craven Cottage, London. Before kick-off, our model gave Fulham a 23% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chelsea 53%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.4%), followed by 0-1 (10.9%) and 1-2 (9.7%).
Over their last 5 matches, Fulham have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Chelsea have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Fulham score 1.40 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Chelsea score 2.00 and concede 1.40.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Fulham, 1 for Chelsea and 0 draws. The most recent ended Fulham 2-1 Chelsea (Jan 7, 2026). Fulham out or doubtful: J. Andersen and T. Cairney. Chelsea: W. Fofana and J. Henderson. In double chance terms, "Fulham or draw" stands at 47%, "Chelsea or draw" at 77% and "no draw" at 76%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Fulham – Chelsea. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Fulham 1-1 Chelsea | 11.4% |
| Fulham 0-1 Chelsea | 10.9% |
| Fulham 1-2 Chelsea | 9.7% |
| Fulham 0-2 Chelsea | 9.3% |
| Fulham 1-0 Chelsea | 6.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.04 expected goals for Fulham and 1.71 for Chelsea, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 52% and "both teams to score" at 53%. Fulham keep a clean sheet in 18% of scenarios, Chelsea in 35%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Fulham expected goals | 1.04 |
| Chelsea expected goals | 1.71 |
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% |
| Fulham clean sheet | 18% |
| Chelsea clean sheet | 35% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Fulham
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Malaga · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Crystal Palace · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Farense · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
Chelsea
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Real Sociedad · Club Friendlies | 3-1 | W |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Johor Darul Takzim FC · Club Friendlies | 3-3 | D |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AC Milan · Club Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Juventus · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tottenham · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| Chelsea | 11 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | Fulham 2-1 Chelsea | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Chelsea 2-0 Fulham | Premier League |
Out and doubtful
Fulham
- J. Andersen (out)
- T. Cairney (out)
Chelsea
- W. Fofana (out)
- J. Henderson (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Arsenal 3-0 CoventryAug 21, 2026
- Hull City 2-0 Manchester UnitedAug 22, 2026
- Everton 2-0 Crystal PalaceAug 22, 2026
- Nottingham Forest 0-1 LeedsAug 22, 2026
- Ipswich 2-1 SunderlandAug 22, 2026
- Brentford 3-0 TottenhamAug 22, 2026
- Manchester City 2-1 BournemouthAug 23, 2026
- Brighton 4-0 Aston VillaAug 23, 2026
- Newcastle 2-2 LiverpoolAug 23, 2026
- Crystal Palace 1-4 Manchester CityAug 28, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Fulham vs Chelsea prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Fulham a 23% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chelsea 53%. Chelsea are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-3.
What is the most likely correct score for Fulham vs Chelsea?
1-1 (11.4%), followed by 0-1 (10.9%), 1-2 (9.7%), 0-2 (9.3%) and 1-0 (6.6%).
Will both teams score in Fulham vs Chelsea?
The probability that both Fulham and Chelsea score is 53%. Fulham have a 18% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Chelsea 35%.
How many goals should we expect in Fulham vs Chelsea?
The model expects 2.75 goals (1.04 for Fulham, 1.71 for Chelsea). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 76%, over 2.5 goals 52%, over 3.5 goals 30%.
When and where is Fulham vs Chelsea played?
Monday, August 24, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), Premier League, matchday 1. Venue: Craven Cottage, London.
What form are Fulham and Chelsea in?
Fulham: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 6 conceded). Chelsea: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Fulham and Chelsea?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Fulham, 1 for Chelsea and 0 draws. The most recent ended Fulham 2-1 Chelsea (Jan 7, 2026).
What was the Fulham vs Chelsea result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Fulham 2-3 Chelsea. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Chelsea at 53%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (52%): correct.
How is the Fulham vs Chelsea prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.04 for Fulham, 1.71 for Chelsea) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Fulham predictions
- All Chelsea predictions
- Premier League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology