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Premier LeaguePremier League· Kick-off : Saturday, September 5, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)

Fulham vs Crystal Palace: 2-3 result and AI prediction review

FulhamFulham2 – 3Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 2-1

Final score: Fulham 2-3 Crystal Palace. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Fulham (66%), while victory for Crystal Palace was rated at only 16%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.1%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (63%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (70%): correct.

Match analysis

Fulham and Crystal Palace met on Saturday, September 5, 2026, a Premier League, matchday 3 fixture. Venue: Craven Cottage, London. Before kick-off, our model gave Fulham a 66% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Crystal Palace 16%. On the correct score, 2-1 comes out on top (9.4%), followed by 2-0 (8.1%) and 1-1 (7.7%).

Over their last 5 matches, Fulham have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Crystal Palace have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 13. Fulham therefore arrive in far better shape than Crystal Palace. On average Fulham score 1.60 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Crystal Palace score 0.60 and concede 2.60. In the table, Fulham sit 16th with 0 points from 2 games, Crystal Palace 18th with 0 points from 2. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Fulham have averaged 2.16 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.31 for Crystal Palace.

In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Fulham, 2 for Crystal Palace and 1 draw. The most recent ended Fulham 1-2 Crystal Palace (Aug 7, 2026). Fulham out or doubtful: T. Cairney, L. De Fougerolles, H. Larsson and Manuel Angel. Crystal Palace: J. Mateta, C. Riad, I. Sarr, H. Ahanor and B. Chilwell. In double chance terms, "Fulham or draw" stands at 84%, "Crystal Palace or draw" at 34% and "no draw" at 82%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

66%
Fulham (Win)
18%
Draw
16%
Crystal Palace (Win)

Double chance

84%
Fulham or draw
34%
Crystal Palace or draw
82%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Fulham – Crystal Palace. 2-1 is the single most likely scoreline (9.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 40% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Fulham 2-1 Crystal Palace9.4%
Fulham 2-0 Crystal Palace8.1%
Fulham 1-1 Crystal Palace7.7%
Fulham 3-1 Crystal Palace7.7%
Fulham 1-0 Crystal Palace6.7%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 2.44 expected goals for Fulham and 1.16 for Crystal Palace, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 70% and "both teams to score" at 63%. Goals look likely in this one. Fulham keep a clean sheet in 31% of scenarios, Crystal Palace in 9%.

Probability
Fulham expected goals2.44
Crystal Palace expected goals1.16
Both teams to score63%
Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Over 3.5 goals49%
Fulham clean sheet31%
Crystal Palace clean sheet9%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Fulham

DateOpponentScore
Aug 30, 2026Sunderland · Premier League0-1L
Aug 27, 2026AFC Wimbledon · EFL Cup3-0W
Aug 24, 2026Chelsea · Premier League2-3L
Aug 15, 2026VfB Stuttgart · Club Friendlies1-0W
Aug 12, 2026Malaga · Club Friendlies2-2D

Crystal Palace

DateOpponentScore
Aug 28, 2026Manchester City · Premier League1-4L
Aug 22, 2026Everton · Premier League0-2L
Aug 15, 2026SC Freiburg · Club Friendlies0-3L
Aug 7, 2026Fulham · Club Friendlies2-1W
Jul 25, 2026Bromley · Club Friendlies0-3L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Fulham1602
Crystal Palace1802

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 7, 2026Fulham 1-2 Crystal PalaceClub Friendlies
Jan 1, 2026Crystal Palace 1-1 FulhamPremier League
Dec 7, 2025Fulham 1-2 Crystal PalacePremier League

Out and doubtful

Fulham

  • T. Cairney (out)
  • L. De Fougerolles (out)
  • H. Larsson (out)
  • Manuel Angel (out)

Crystal Palace

  • J. Mateta (out)
  • C. Riad (out)
  • I. Sarr (out)
  • H. Ahanor (out)
  • B. Chilwell (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Fulham vs Crystal Palace prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Fulham a 66% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Crystal Palace 16%. Fulham are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-3.

What is the most likely correct score for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

2-1 (9.4%), followed by 2-0 (8.1%), 1-1 (7.7%), 3-1 (7.7%) and 1-0 (6.7%).

Will both teams score in Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

The probability that both Fulham and Crystal Palace score is 63%. Fulham have a 31% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Crystal Palace 9%.

How many goals should we expect in Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

The model expects 3.60 goals (2.44 for Fulham, 1.16 for Crystal Palace). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 87%, over 2.5 goals 70%, over 3.5 goals 49%.

When and where is Fulham vs Crystal Palace played?

Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Premier League, matchday 3. Venue: Craven Cottage, London.

What form are Fulham and Crystal Palace in?

Fulham: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 6 conceded). Crystal Palace: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 13 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Fulham and Crystal Palace?

In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Fulham, 2 for Crystal Palace and 1 draw. The most recent ended Fulham 1-2 Crystal Palace (Aug 7, 2026).

What was the Fulham vs Crystal Palace result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Fulham 2-3 Crystal Palace. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Fulham (66%), while victory for Crystal Palace was rated at only 16%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.1%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (63%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (70%): correct.

How is the Fulham vs Crystal Palace prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.44 for Fulham, 1.16 for Crystal Palace) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained