Premier League· Kick-off : Saturday, September 5, 2026, 17:30 (UK time)
Hull City vs Aston Villa: 0-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Hull City 0-0 Aston Villa. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Hull City (88%), while a draw was rated at only 10%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (5.8%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (21%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (54%): missed.
Match analysis
Hull City vs Aston Villa was played on Saturday, September 5, 2026 (Premier League, matchday 3). Venue: MKM Stadium, Hull. Before kick-off, our model gave Hull City a 88% chance of winning, the draw 10% and Aston Villa 2%. The most likely correct score is 2-0 (19.6%), ahead of 3-0 (16.9%) and 1-0 (15.0%).
Over their last 5 matches, Hull City have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 4 and conceding 3. Aston Villa have not won any of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 5 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 11. Recent momentum is clearly with Hull City. On average Hull City score 0.80 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Aston Villa score 0.60 and concede 2.20. In the table, Hull City sit 3rd with 6 points from 2 games, Aston Villa 19th with 0 points from 2. 16 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Hull City have averaged 1.21 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.31 for Aston Villa.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Hull City, 1 for Aston Villa and 3 draws. Hull City out or doubtful: J. Butland, D. Gyabi, C. Hughes, E. Matazo and O. Zambrano. Aston Villa: L. Bailey, Joao Gomes, B. Madjo, J. Manzambi and A. Onana. In double chance terms, "Hull City or draw" stands at 98%, "Aston Villa or draw" at 12% and "no draw" at 90%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Hull City – Aston Villa. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (19.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 68% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Hull City 2-0 Aston Villa | 19.6% |
| Hull City 3-0 Aston Villa | 16.9% |
| Hull City 1-0 Aston Villa | 15.0% |
| Hull City 4-0 Aston Villa | 11.0% |
| Hull City 0-0 Aston Villa | 5.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.85 goals in total (2.60 for Hull City, 0.25 for Aston Villa): over 2.5 goals has a 54% probability and both teams to score 21%. Hull City keep a clean sheet in 78% of scenarios, Aston Villa in 7%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Hull City expected goals | 2.60 |
| Aston Villa expected goals | 0.25 |
| Both teams to score | 21% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% |
| Hull City clean sheet | 78% |
| Aston Villa clean sheet | 7% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Hull City
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Coventry · Premier League | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Stoke City · EFL Cup | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Manchester United · Premier League | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nice · Club Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Club Friendlies | 0-2 | L |
Aston Villa
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | Arsenal · Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Brighton · Premier League | 0-4 | L |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain · UEFA Super Cup | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Bayern München · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| Aston Villa | 19 | 0 | 2 |
Head-to-head
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Hull City, 1 for Aston Villa and 3 draws.
Out and doubtful
Hull City
- J. Butland (out)
- D. Gyabi (out)
- C. Hughes (out)
- E. Matazo (out)
- O. Zambrano (out)
Aston Villa
- L. Bailey (out)
- Joao Gomes (out)
- B. Madjo (out)
- J. Manzambi (out)
- A. Onana (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Ipswich 0-2 LiverpoolSep 4, 2026
- Newcastle 2-2 BournemouthSep 5, 2026
- Brighton 1-1 LeedsSep 5, 2026
- Nottingham Forest 0-0 TottenhamSep 5, 2026
- Brentford 1-1 SunderlandSep 5, 2026
- Fulham 2-3 Crystal PalaceSep 5, 2026
- Manchester City 1-0 CoventrySep 5, 2026
- Everton 2-2 Manchester UnitedSep 6, 2026
- Arsenal 2-1 ChelseaSep 6, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Hull City vs Aston Villa prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Hull City a 88% chance of winning, the draw 10% and Aston Villa 2%. Hull City are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Hull City vs Aston Villa?
2-0 (19.6%), followed by 3-0 (16.9%), 1-0 (15.0%), 4-0 (11.0%) and 0-0 (5.8%).
Will both teams score in Hull City vs Aston Villa?
The probability that both Hull City and Aston Villa score is 21%. Hull City have a 78% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Aston Villa 7%.
How many goals should we expect in Hull City vs Aston Villa?
The model expects 2.85 goals (2.60 for Hull City, 0.25 for Aston Villa). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 78%, over 2.5 goals 54%, over 3.5 goals 32%.
When and where is Hull City vs Aston Villa played?
Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time), Premier League, matchday 3. Venue: MKM Stadium, Hull.
What form are Hull City and Aston Villa in?
Hull City: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 3 conceded). Aston Villa: 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 11 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Hull City and Aston Villa?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Hull City, 1 for Aston Villa and 3 draws.
What was the Hull City vs Aston Villa result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Hull City 0-0 Aston Villa. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Hull City (88%), while a draw was rated at only 10%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (5.8%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (21%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (54%): missed.
How is the Hull City vs Aston Villa prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.60 for Hull City, 0.25 for Aston Villa) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Hull City predictions
- All Aston Villa predictions
- Premier League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology