Colombian Primera A· Kick-off : Wednesday, October 14, 2026, 00:30 (UK time)
Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas: 1-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Bucaramanga 1-1 Águilas Doradas. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Bucaramanga (69%), while a draw was rated at only 18%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (8.6%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (61%): missed.
Match analysis
Bucaramanga and Águilas Doradas met on Wednesday, October 14, 2026, a Colombian Primera A fixture. Venue: Estadio Américo Montanini, Bucaramanga. Before kick-off, our model gave Bucaramanga a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Águilas Doradas 13%. On the correct score, 2-0 comes out on top (11.0%), followed by 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.7%).
Bucaramanga are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 13 and conceding 5. Águilas Doradas have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 7. Bucaramanga therefore arrive in far better shape than Águilas Doradas. On average Bucaramanga score 2.60 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Águilas Doradas score 1.20 and concede 1.40. In the table, Bucaramanga sit 4th with 23 points from 11 games, Águilas Doradas 11th with 15 points from 12. 7 places separate the two sides.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 4 wins for Bucaramanga, 1 for Águilas Doradas and 0 draws. The most recent ended Águilas Doradas 2-1 Bucaramanga (Apr 7, 2026). In double chance terms, "Bucaramanga or draw" stands at 87%, "Águilas Doradas or draw" at 31% and "no draw" at 82%.
In short : Our model backs Bucaramanga to edge Águilas Doradas (69% probability). In the table, Bucaramanga (4th, 23 pts) host Águilas Doradas (11th, 15 pts). The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 61%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Bucaramanga – Águilas Doradas. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 47% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Bucaramanga 2-0 Águilas Doradas | 11.0% |
| Bucaramanga 1-0 Águilas Doradas | 9.7% |
| Bucaramanga 2-1 Águilas Doradas | 9.7% |
| Bucaramanga 1-1 Águilas Doradas | 8.6% |
| Bucaramanga 3-0 Águilas Doradas | 8.4% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.27 expected goals for Bucaramanga and 0.88 for Águilas Doradas, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 61% and "both teams to score" at 53%. Goals look likely in this one. Bucaramanga keep a clean sheet in 42% of scenarios, Águilas Doradas in 10%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Bucaramanga expected goals | 2.27 |
| Águilas Doradas expected goals | 0.88 |
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% |
| Bucaramanga clean sheet | 42% |
| Águilas Doradas clean sheet | 10% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Bucaramanga
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Junior · Colombian Primera A | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Once Caldas · Colombian Primera A | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Internacional de Bogota · Colombian Primera A | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Independiente Medellin · Colombian Primera A | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Deportivo Pereira · Colombian Primera A | 3-1 | W |
Águilas Doradas
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alianza Valledupar · Colombian Primera A | 2-2 | D |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Jaguares · Colombian Primera A | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Deportivo Cali · Colombian Primera A | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 24, 2026 | America de Cali · Colombian Primera A | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Deportivo Pereira · Colombian Primera A | 2-2 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bucaramanga | 4 | 23 | 11 |
| Águilas Doradas | 11 | 15 | 12 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2026 | Águilas Doradas 2-1 Bucaramanga | Primera A |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Bucaramanga 4-0 Águilas Doradas | Primera A |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Águilas Doradas 0-1 Bucaramanga | Primera A |
| Oct 21, 2024 | Águilas Doradas 1-3 Bucaramanga | Primera A |
| Mar 27, 2024 | Bucaramanga 1-0 Águilas Doradas | Primera A |
Out and doubtful
Bucaramanga
No absences reported.
Águilas Doradas
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Bucaramanga
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Romana3/5
- E. Batalla3/5
- F. Charrupi3/5
- F. Hinestroza3/5
- F. Sambueza3/5
- Fabry3/5
- J. Ortiz3/5
- L. Pons3/5
- N. Castrillon3/5
- Carlos Romaña2/5
- Cristopher Fiermarín2/5
Águilas Doradas
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Mosquera5/5
- A. Ricaurte5/5
- F. Lozano5/5
- J. Mena5/5
- J. Ontaneda5/5
- J. Soto5/5
- E. Arizalas4/5
- F. A. Suarez Chalare4/5
- I. Rojas4/5
- A. Vasquez3/5
- D. Lozano2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Once Caldas 1-0 LlanerosOct 10, 2026
- Deportivo Pereira 0-0 Deportivo CaliOct 10, 2026
- Junior 2-2 Internacional de BogotaOct 11, 2026
- Jaguares 3-2 Deportes TolimaOct 11, 2026
- Chico 0-1 CucutaOct 12, 2026
- America de Cali 1-2 Independiente MedellinOct 12, 2026
- Millonarios – Once CaldasOct 14, 2026
- Junior 1-1 Deportivo PereiraOct 14, 2026
- Santa Fe – JaguaresOct 16, 2026
- Chico – Atletico NacionalOct 17, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Bucaramanga a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Águilas Doradas 13%. Bucaramanga are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas?
2-0 (11.0%), followed by 1-0 (9.7%), 2-1 (9.7%), 1-1 (8.6%) and 3-0 (8.4%).
Will both teams score in Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas?
The probability that both Bucaramanga and Águilas Doradas score is 53%. Bucaramanga have a 42% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Águilas Doradas 10%.
How many goals should we expect in Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas?
The model expects 3.15 goals (2.27 for Bucaramanga, 0.88 for Águilas Doradas). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 82%, over 2.5 goals 61%, over 3.5 goals 39%.
When and where is Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas played?
Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 00:30 (UK time), Colombian Primera A. Venue: Estadio Américo Montanini, Bucaramanga.
What form are Bucaramanga and Águilas Doradas in?
Bucaramanga: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 5 conceded). Águilas Doradas: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Bucaramanga and Águilas Doradas?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 4 wins for Bucaramanga, 1 for Águilas Doradas and 0 draws. The most recent ended Águilas Doradas 2-1 Bucaramanga (Apr 7, 2026).
What was the Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Bucaramanga 1-1 Águilas Doradas. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Bucaramanga (69%), while a draw was rated at only 18%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (8.6%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (61%): missed.
How is the Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.27 for Bucaramanga, 0.88 for Águilas Doradas) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Bucaramanga predictions
- All Águilas Doradas predictions
- Colombian Primera A predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology