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Uruguayan Primera DivisiónUruguayan Primera División· Kick-off : Sunday, October 11, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)

Cerro Largo vs Albion FC: 0-1 result and AI prediction review

Cerro LargoCerro Largo0 – 1Albion FCAlbion FC

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Cerro Largo 0-1 Albion FC. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Cerro Largo (51%), while victory for Albion FC was rated at only 24%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (7.3%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.

Match analysis

Cerro Largo vs Albion FC was played on Sunday, October 11, 2026 (Uruguayan Primera División). Venue: Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla, Melo. Before kick-off, our model gave Cerro Largo a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Albion FC 24%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.8%), ahead of 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.5%).

Cerro Largo have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 6. Albion FC have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 10. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Cerro Largo score 0.40 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Albion FC score 1.20 and concede 2.00. In the table, Cerro Largo sit 14th with 5 points from 9 games, Albion FC 16th with 3 points from 9. The two teams are close in the standings.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Cerro Largo, 0 for Albion FC and 1 draw. The most recent ended Albion FC 2-2 Cerro Largo (Apr 5, 2026). In double chance terms, "Cerro Largo or draw" stands at 76%, "Albion FC or draw" at 49% and "no draw" at 75%.

In short : Our model backs Cerro Largo to edge Albion FC (51% probability). On recent form, Cerro Largo have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Albion FC have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 52%).

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

51%
Cerro Largo (Win)
25%
Draw
24%
Albion FC (Win)

Double chance

76%
Cerro Largo or draw
49%
Albion FC or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Cerro Largo – Albion FC. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Cerro Largo 1-1 Albion FC11.8%
Cerro Largo 1-0 Albion FC11.4%
Cerro Largo 2-1 Albion FC9.5%
Cerro Largo 2-0 Albion FC9.3%
Cerro Largo 0-1 Albion FC7.3%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.65 goals in total (1.62 for Cerro Largo, 1.03 for Albion FC): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. Cerro Largo keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Albion FC in 20%.

Probability
Cerro Largo expected goals1.62
Albion FC expected goals1.03
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Cerro Largo clean sheet36%
Albion FC clean sheet20%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Cerro Largo

DateOpponentScore
Oct 4, 2026Danubio · Uruguayan Primera División1-2L
Sep 30, 2026Rentistas · Copa Uruguay1-0W
Sep 26, 2026Club Nacional · Uruguayan Primera División0-2L
Sep 19, 2026Deportivo Maldonado · Uruguayan Primera División0-2L
Sep 13, 2026Central Espanol · Uruguayan Primera División0-0D

Albion FC

DateOpponentScore
Oct 3, 2026Defensor Sporting · Uruguayan Primera División3-2W
Sep 29, 2026Wanderers · Uruguayan Primera División1-2L
Sep 20, 2026Juventud · Uruguayan Primera División1-3L
Sep 16, 2026CA River Plate · Copa Uruguay0-0D
Sep 13, 2026Penarol · Uruguayan Primera División1-3L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Cerro Largo1459
Albion FC1639

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 5, 2026Albion FC 2-2 Cerro LargoUruguayan Primera División

Out and doubtful

Cerro Largo

No absences reported.

Albion FC

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Cerro Largo

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Hernandez4/4
  • A. Pandiani4/4
  • N. Ramos4/4
  • P. M. Gonzalez Ojeda4/4
  • S. Franca4/4
  • S. Marcel4/4
  • A. Piegas3/4
  • A. Segovia3/4
  • M. Garcia3/4
  • S. Assis3/4
  • A. de Luca2/4

Albion FC

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • F. Couture4/4
  • F. Ginella4/4
  • H. Toledo4/4
  • J. Alvarez4/4
  • S. Jaume4/4
  • B. Llana3/4
  • P. Alcoba3/4
  • S. Costa3/4
  • T. Moschion3/4
  • A. Lopez2/4
  • I. Zufiaurre2/4

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Cerro Largo vs Albion FC prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Cerro Largo a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Albion FC 24%. Cerro Largo are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Cerro Largo vs Albion FC?

1-1 (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%), 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.3%) and 0-1 (7.3%).

Will both teams score in Cerro Largo vs Albion FC?

The probability that both Cerro Largo and Albion FC score is 52%. Cerro Largo have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Albion FC 20%.

How many goals should we expect in Cerro Largo vs Albion FC?

The model expects 2.65 goals (1.62 for Cerro Largo, 1.03 for Albion FC). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is Cerro Largo vs Albion FC played?

Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), Uruguayan Primera División. Venue: Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla, Melo.

What form are Cerro Largo and Albion FC in?

Cerro Largo: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 6 conceded). Albion FC: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 10 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Cerro Largo and Albion FC?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Cerro Largo, 0 for Albion FC and 1 draw. The most recent ended Albion FC 2-2 Cerro Largo (Apr 5, 2026).

What was the Cerro Largo vs Albion FC result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Cerro Largo 0-1 Albion FC. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Cerro Largo (51%), while victory for Albion FC was rated at only 24%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (7.3%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.

How is the Cerro Largo vs Albion FC prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.62 for Cerro Largo, 1.03 for Albion FC) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained