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Uruguayan Primera DivisiónUruguayan Primera División· Kick-off : Friday, October 9, 2026, 21:00 (UK time)

Atletico Torque vs Danubio: 1-0 result and AI prediction review

Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1 – 0DanubioDanubio

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 2-0

Final score: Atletico Torque 1-0 Danubio. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Atletico Torque at 80%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (10.0%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (43%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (64%): missed.

Match analysis

Atletico Torque and Danubio met on Friday, October 9, 2026, a Uruguayan Primera División fixture. Venue: Estadio Centenario, Montevideo. Before kick-off, our model gave Atletico Torque a 80% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Danubio 7%. On the correct score, 2-0 comes out on top (13.2%), followed by 3-0 (11.7%) and 1-0 (10.0%).

Atletico Torque have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 8 and conceding 9. Danubio have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 5 and conceding 5. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Atletico Torque score 1.60 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Danubio score 1.00 and concede 1.00. In the table, Atletico Torque sit 2nd with 19 points from 9 games, Danubio 13th with 7 points from 9. 11 places separate the two sides.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Atletico Torque, 0 for Danubio and 1 draw. The most recent ended Atletico Torque 1-0 Danubio (Jul 24, 2026). In double chance terms, "Atletico Torque or draw" stands at 93%, "Danubio or draw" at 20% and "no draw" at 87%.

In short : Our model backs Atletico Torque to edge Danubio (80% probability). In the table, Atletico Torque (2nd, 19 pts) host Danubio (13th, 7 pts). The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 64%).

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

80%
Atletico Torque (Win)
13%
Draw
7%
Danubio (Win)

Double chance

93%
Atletico Torque or draw
20%
Danubio or draw
87%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Atletico Torque – Danubio. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (13.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Atletico Torque 2-0 Danubio13.2%
Atletico Torque 3-0 Danubio11.7%
Atletico Torque 1-0 Danubio10.0%
Atletico Torque 2-1 Danubio8.3%
Atletico Torque 4-0 Danubio7.7%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 2.65 expected goals for Atletico Torque and 0.63 for Danubio, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 64% and "both teams to score" at 43%. Goals look likely in this one. Atletico Torque keep a clean sheet in 53% of scenarios, Danubio in 7%.

Probability
Atletico Torque expected goals2.65
Danubio expected goals0.63
Both teams to score43%
Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals42%
Atletico Torque clean sheet53%
Danubio clean sheet7%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Atletico Torque

DateOpponentScore
Oct 6, 2026Club Nacional · Uruguayan Primera División0-2L
Oct 1, 2026Penarol · Uruguayan Primera División1-1D
Sep 27, 2026Deportivo Maldonado · Uruguayan Primera División0-2L
Sep 24, 2026Atenas · Copa Uruguay3-3D
Sep 21, 2026Central Espanol · Uruguayan Primera División4-1W

Danubio

DateOpponentScore
Oct 4, 2026Cerro Largo · Uruguayan Primera División2-1W
Sep 27, 2026Defensor Sporting · Uruguayan Primera División0-1L
Sep 24, 2026Penarol · Copa Uruguay1-1D
Sep 20, 2026Wanderers · Uruguayan Primera División1-1D
Sep 13, 2026Juventud · Uruguayan Primera División1-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Atletico Torque2199
Danubio1379

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 24, 2026Atletico Torque 1-0 DanubioUruguayan Primera División
Apr 4, 2026Danubio 1-1 Atletico TorqueUruguayan Primera División

Out and doubtful

Atletico Torque

No absences reported.

Danubio

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Atletico Torque

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • E. Aguero4/4
  • F. Pizzichillo4/4
  • F. Silvera4/4
  • F. Torgnascioli4/4
  • G. Montes4/4
  • K. Silva4/4
  • L. Andrade4/4
  • D. Guzman3/4
  • E. Obregon3/4
  • B. Gutierrez2/4
  • G. Kagelmacher2/4

Danubio

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • L. Sosa4/4
  • M. Goicoechea4/4
  • M. Peralta4/4
  • M. Rinaldi4/4
  • S. Rodriguez4/4
  • T. Cavanagh4/4
  • F. Balatti3/4
  • J. Millan3/4
  • M. Brasil3/4
  • S. Fernandez3/4
  • B. Tomatis2/4

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Atletico Torque vs Danubio prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Atletico Torque a 80% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Danubio 7%. Atletico Torque are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Atletico Torque vs Danubio?

2-0 (13.2%), followed by 3-0 (11.7%), 1-0 (10.0%), 2-1 (8.3%) and 4-0 (7.7%).

Will both teams score in Atletico Torque vs Danubio?

The probability that both Atletico Torque and Danubio score is 43%. Atletico Torque have a 53% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Danubio 7%.

How many goals should we expect in Atletico Torque vs Danubio?

The model expects 3.28 goals (2.65 for Atletico Torque, 0.63 for Danubio). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 84%, over 2.5 goals 64%, over 3.5 goals 42%.

When and where is Atletico Torque vs Danubio played?

Friday, October 9, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time), Uruguayan Primera División. Venue: Estadio Centenario, Montevideo.

What form are Atletico Torque and Danubio in?

Atletico Torque: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 9 conceded). Danubio: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 5 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Atletico Torque and Danubio?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Atletico Torque, 0 for Danubio and 1 draw. The most recent ended Atletico Torque 1-0 Danubio (Jul 24, 2026).

What was the Atletico Torque vs Danubio result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Atletico Torque 1-0 Danubio. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Atletico Torque at 80%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (10.0%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (43%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (64%): missed.

How is the Atletico Torque vs Danubio prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.65 for Atletico Torque, 0.63 for Danubio) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained