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Uruguayan Primera DivisiónUruguayan Primera División· Kick-off : Tuesday, October 6, 2026, 00:00 (UK time)

Club Nacional vs Atletico Torque prediction: correct score and AI tips

Club NacionalClub Nacional–Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque

Match analysis

Uruguayan Primera División: Club Nacional vs Atletico Torque kicks off on Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 00:00 (UK time). Venue: Gran Parque Central, Montevideo. It is a tight call: 38% for Club Nacional, 26% for the draw and 36% for Atletico Torque. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.6%), followed by 1-0 (9.8%) and 0-1 (9.6%).

Club Nacional are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 7 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Atletico Torque have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Club Nacional score 1.40 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Atletico Torque score 2.00 and concede 1.00. In the table, Club Nacional sit 8th with 11 points from 7 games, Atletico Torque 1st with 18 points from 6. 7 places separate the two sides.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Club Nacional, 0 for Atletico Torque and 0 draws. The most recent ended Atletico Torque 1-2 Club Nacional (May 16, 2026). In double chance terms, "Club Nacional or draw" stands at 64%, "Atletico Torque or draw" at 62% and "no draw" at 74%.

In short : Club Nacional host Atletico Torque in a tight contest where a draw stays on the table (26%). In the table, Club Nacional (8th, 11 pts) host Atletico Torque (1st, 18 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

38%
Club Nacional (Win)
26%
Draw
36%
Atletico Torque (Win)

Double chance

64%
Club Nacional or draw
62%
Atletico Torque or draw
74%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Club Nacional – Atletico Torque. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Club Nacional 1-1 Atletico Torque12.6%
Club Nacional 1-0 Atletico Torque9.8%
Club Nacional 0-1 Atletico Torque9.6%
Club Nacional 2-1 Atletico Torque8.2%
Club Nacional 1-2 Atletico Torque8.1%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.31 expected goals for Club Nacional and 1.28 for Atletico Torque, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 48% and "both teams to score" at 53%. Club Nacional keep a clean sheet in 28% of scenarios, Atletico Torque in 27%.

Probability
Club Nacional expected goals1.31
Atletico Torque expected goals1.28
Both teams to score53%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Club Nacional clean sheet28%
Atletico Torque clean sheet27%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Club Nacional

DateOpponentScore
Sep 6, 2026Juventud · Uruguayan Primera División2-2D
Sep 3, 2026CA River Plate · Copa Uruguay3-2W
Aug 30, 2026Penarol · Uruguayan Primera División1-0W
Aug 27, 2026Albion FC · Copa Uruguay0-0D
Aug 23, 2026Progreso · Uruguayan Primera División1-0W

Atletico Torque

DateOpponentScore
Sep 14, 2026Liverpool Montevideo · Uruguayan Primera División3-1W
Sep 11, 2026Cienciano · CONMEBOL Sudamericana0-2L
Sep 4, 2026Cerro Largo · Uruguayan Primera División2-1W
Sep 2, 2026Danubio · Copa Uruguay2-0W
Aug 29, 2026Defensor Sporting · Uruguayan Primera División3-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Club Nacional8117
Atletico Torque1186

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026Atletico Torque 1-2 Club NacionalUruguayan Primera División
Mar 28, 2026Atletico Torque 2-3 Club NacionalUruguayan Primera División

Out and doubtful

Club Nacional

No absences reported.

Atletico Torque

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Club Nacional

Starts over the last 3 matches (official line-ups).

  • F. Calvo3/3
  • L. Mejia3/3
  • L. Rodriguez3/3
  • S. Coates3/3
  • E. Ancheta2/3
  • G. N. Martirena Torres2/3
  • L. Boggio2/3
  • M. Gomez2/3
  • S. Silva2/3
  • T. Viera2/3
  • A. dos Santos1/3

Atletico Torque

Starts over the last 3 matches (official line-ups).

  • F. Silvera3/3
  • G. Kagelmacher3/3
  • G. Montes3/3
  • K. Silva3/3
  • P. Siles3/3
  • E. Aguero2/3
  • E. Obregon2/3
  • F. Pizzichillo2/3
  • G. Rodriguez2/3
  • L. Andrade2/3
  • S. Rodriguez2/3

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Club Nacional vs Atletico Torque prediction?

Our AI gives Club Nacional a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Atletico Torque 36%. Club Nacional are therefore slight favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Club Nacional vs Atletico Torque?

1-1 (12.6%), followed by 1-0 (9.8%), 0-1 (9.6%), 2-1 (8.2%) and 1-2 (8.1%).

Will both teams score in Club Nacional vs Atletico Torque?

The probability that both Club Nacional and Atletico Torque score is 53%. Club Nacional have a 28% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Atletico Torque 27%.

How many goals should we expect in Club Nacional vs Atletico Torque?

The model expects 2.59 goals (1.31 for Club Nacional, 1.28 for Atletico Torque). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.

When and where is Club Nacional vs Atletico Torque played?

Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 00:00 (UK time), Uruguayan Primera División. Venue: Gran Parque Central, Montevideo.

What form are Club Nacional and Atletico Torque in?

Club Nacional: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 4 conceded). Atletico Torque: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 5 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Club Nacional and Atletico Torque?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Club Nacional, 0 for Atletico Torque and 0 draws. The most recent ended Atletico Torque 1-2 Club Nacional (May 16, 2026).

How is the Club Nacional vs Atletico Torque prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.31 for Club Nacional, 1.28 for Atletico Torque) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained