Uruguayan Primera División· Kick-off : Sunday, October 4, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)
Boston River vs Juventud prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Boston River take on Juventud on Sunday, October 4, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), a Uruguayan Primera División fixture. Venue: Parque Artigas, Las Piedras. It is a tight call: 35% for Boston River, 27% for the draw and 38% for Juventud. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.6%), followed by 0-1 (10.0%) and 1-0 (9.5%).
Over their last 5 matches, Boston River have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 12. Juventud are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 9 and conceding 5. Juventud therefore arrive in far better shape than Boston River. On average Boston River score 2.00 and concede 2.40 goals per game; Juventud score 1.80 and concede 1.00. In the table, Boston River sit 11th with 8 points from 7 games, Juventud 5th with 12 points from 7. 6 places separate the two sides.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Boston River, 0 for Juventud and 0 draws. The most recent ended Juventud 1-2 Boston River (Mar 30, 2026). In double chance terms, "Boston River or draw" stands at 62%, "Juventud or draw" at 65% and "no draw" at 73%.
In short : An evenly-matched game between Boston River and Juventud: our model sees no clear favourite. On recent form, Boston River have 2 wins, 0 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Juventud have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 53%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Boston River – Juventud. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Boston River 1-1 Juventud | 12.6% |
| Boston River 0-1 Juventud | 10.0% |
| Boston River 1-0 Juventud | 9.5% |
| Boston River 1-2 Juventud | 8.3% |
| Boston River 2-1 Juventud | 7.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.26 expected goals for Boston River and 1.32 for Juventud, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 48% and "both teams to score" at 53%. Boston River keep a clean sheet in 27% of scenarios, Juventud in 28%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Boston River expected goals | 1.26 |
| Juventud expected goals | 1.32 |
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Boston River clean sheet | 27% |
| Juventud clean sheet | 28% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Boston River
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Cerro Largo · Primera División - Apertura | 0-3 | L |
| May 20, 2026 | O'Higgins · CONMEBOL Sudamericana | 3-2 | W |
| May 16, 2026 | Cerro · Primera División - Apertura | 4-1 | W |
| May 11, 2026 | Deportivo Maldonado · Primera División - Apertura | 1-2 | L |
| May 7, 2026 | Millonarios · CONMEBOL Sudamericana | 2-4 | L |
Juventud
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2026 | Puerto Cabello · CONMEBOL Sudamericana | 1-1 | D |
| May 16, 2026 | Progreso · Primera División - Apertura | 2-0 | W |
| May 10, 2026 | Defensor Sporting · Primera División - Apertura | 2-1 | W |
| May 5, 2026 | Atletico-MG · CONMEBOL Sudamericana | 2-2 | D |
| May 2, 2026 | Wanderers · Primera División - Apertura | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boston River | 11 | 8 | 7 |
| Juventud | 5 | 12 | 7 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | Juventud 1-2 Boston River | Uruguayan Primera División |
Out and doubtful
Boston River
No absences reported.
Juventud
No absences reported.
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Boston River vs Juventud prediction?
Our AI gives Boston River a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Juventud 38%. Juventud are therefore slight favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Boston River vs Juventud?
1-1 (12.6%), followed by 0-1 (10.0%), 1-0 (9.5%), 1-2 (8.3%) and 2-1 (7.9%).
Will both teams score in Boston River vs Juventud?
The probability that both Boston River and Juventud score is 53%. Boston River have a 27% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Juventud 28%.
How many goals should we expect in Boston River vs Juventud?
The model expects 2.58 goals (1.26 for Boston River, 1.32 for Juventud). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.
When and where is Boston River vs Juventud played?
Sunday, October 4, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), Uruguayan Primera División. Venue: Parque Artigas, Las Piedras.
What form are Boston River and Juventud in?
Boston River: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 12 conceded). Juventud: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Boston River and Juventud?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Boston River, 0 for Juventud and 0 draws. The most recent ended Juventud 1-2 Boston River (Mar 30, 2026).
How is the Boston River vs Juventud prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.26 for Boston River, 1.32 for Juventud) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Boston River predictions
- All Juventud predictions
- Uruguayan Primera División predictions
- Today’s predictions
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