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Uruguayan Primera DivisiónUruguayan Primera División· Kick-off : Sunday, October 4, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)

Boston River vs Juventud: 0-0 result and AI prediction review

Boston RiverBoston River0 – 0JuventudJuventud

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Boston River 0-0 Juventud. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Juventud (39%), while a draw was rated at only 27%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (7.5%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.

Match analysis

Boston River and Juventud met on Sunday, October 4, 2026, a Uruguayan Primera División fixture. Venue: Parque Artigas, Las Piedras. Before kick-off, our model gave Boston River a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Juventud 39%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.6%), followed by 0-1 (10.1%) and 1-0 (9.3%).

Over their last 5 matches, Boston River have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Juventud are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 9 and conceding 4. Juventud therefore arrive in far better shape than Boston River. On average Boston River score 1.80 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Juventud score 1.80 and concede 0.80. In the table, Boston River sit 11th with 8 points from 8 games, Juventud 7th with 13 points from 8. The two teams are close in the standings.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Boston River, 0 for Juventud and 0 draws. The most recent ended Juventud 1-2 Boston River (Mar 30, 2026). In double chance terms, "Boston River or draw" stands at 61%, "Juventud or draw" at 66% and "no draw" at 73%.

In short : An evenly-matched game between Boston River and Juventud: our model sees no clear favourite. On recent form, Boston River have 2 wins, 0 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Juventud have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 53%).

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

34%
Boston River (Win)
27%
Draw
39%
Juventud (Win)

Double chance

61%
Boston River or draw
66%
Juventud or draw
73%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Boston River – Juventud. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Boston River 1-1 Juventud12.6%
Boston River 0-1 Juventud10.1%
Boston River 1-0 Juventud9.3%
Boston River 1-2 Juventud8.5%
Boston River 2-1 Juventud7.8%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.24 expected goals for Boston River and 1.35 for Juventud, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 48% and "both teams to score" at 53%. Boston River keep a clean sheet in 26% of scenarios, Juventud in 29%.

Probability
Boston River expected goals1.24
Juventud expected goals1.35
Both teams to score53%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Boston River clean sheet26%
Juventud clean sheet29%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Boston River

DateOpponentScore
Sep 26, 2026Penarol · Uruguayan Primera División1-2L
Sep 23, 2026Fenix · Copa Uruguay3-2W
Sep 19, 2026Progreso · Uruguayan Primera División1-2L
Sep 12, 2026Racing Montevideo · Uruguayan Primera División2-3L
Sep 9, 2026Colón · Copa Uruguay2-0W

Juventud

DateOpponentScore
Sep 27, 2026Cerro · Uruguayan Primera División0-0D
Sep 20, 2026Albion FC · Uruguayan Primera División3-1W
Sep 17, 2026Racing Montevideo · Copa Uruguay3-0W
Sep 13, 2026Danubio · Uruguayan Primera División1-1D
Sep 6, 2026Club Nacional · Uruguayan Primera División2-2D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Boston River1188
Juventud7138

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 30, 2026Juventud 1-2 Boston RiverUruguayan Primera División

Out and doubtful

Boston River

No absences reported.

Juventud

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Boston River

Starts over the last 3 matches (official line-ups).

  • B. Antunez3/3
  • F. Martinez3/3
  • J. Acosta3/3
  • L. Suhr3/3
  • L. Vazquez3/3
  • A. Aguirre2/3
  • F. Aristegui2/3
  • F. Bonfiglio2/3
  • M. Gonzalez2/3
  • M. Orona2/3
  • N. Siri2/3

Juventud

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Cruz4/4
  • E. Cecchini4/4
  • F. Barrandeguy4/4
  • G. Pereiro4/4
  • L. Roldan4/4
  • P. Pernicone4/4
  • S. Sosa4/4
  • K. Rolon3/4
  • R. Peralta3/4
  • B. Larregui2/4
  • D. Morosini2/4

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Boston River vs Juventud prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Boston River a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Juventud 39%. Juventud are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 0-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Boston River vs Juventud?

1-1 (12.6%), followed by 0-1 (10.1%), 1-0 (9.3%), 1-2 (8.5%) and 2-1 (7.8%).

Will both teams score in Boston River vs Juventud?

The probability that both Boston River and Juventud score is 53%. Boston River have a 26% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Juventud 29%.

How many goals should we expect in Boston River vs Juventud?

The model expects 2.59 goals (1.24 for Boston River, 1.35 for Juventud). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.

When and where is Boston River vs Juventud played?

Sunday, October 4, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), Uruguayan Primera División. Venue: Parque Artigas, Las Piedras.

What form are Boston River and Juventud in?

Boston River: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 9 conceded). Juventud: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 4 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Boston River and Juventud?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Boston River, 0 for Juventud and 0 draws. The most recent ended Juventud 1-2 Boston River (Mar 30, 2026).

What was the Boston River vs Juventud result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Boston River 0-0 Juventud. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Juventud (39%), while a draw was rated at only 27%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (7.5%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.

How is the Boston River vs Juventud prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.24 for Boston River, 1.35 for Juventud) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained