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Uruguayan Primera DivisiónUruguayan Primera División· Kick-off : Sunday, October 11, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)

Juventud vs Racing Montevideo: 2-0 result and AI prediction review

JuventudJuventud2 – 0Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: Juventud 2-0 Racing Montevideo. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Juventud was the model's favourite outcome (61%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.1%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (50%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (52%): missed.

Match analysis

Juventud vs Racing Montevideo was played on Sunday, October 11, 2026 (Uruguayan Primera División). Venue: Parque Artigas, Las Piedras. Before kick-off, our model gave Juventud a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Racing Montevideo 17%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (11.8%), ahead of 2-0 (11.1%) and 1-1 (10.5%).

Juventud are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 7 and conceding 1. Racing Montevideo have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 8. Recent momentum is clearly with Juventud. On average Juventud score 1.40 and concede 0.20 goals per game; Racing Montevideo score 0.80 and concede 1.60. In the table, Juventud sit 8th with 14 points from 9 games, Racing Montevideo 10th with 12 points from 9. The two teams are close in the standings.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Juventud, 1 for Racing Montevideo and 1 draw. The most recent ended Juventud 3-0 Racing Montevideo (Sep 17, 2026). In double chance terms, "Juventud or draw" stands at 83%, "Racing Montevideo or draw" at 39% and "no draw" at 78%.

In short : Juventud are tipped by our AI model in this Juventud v Racing Montevideo (61%). In the table, Juventud (8th, 14 pts) host Racing Montevideo (10th, 12 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

61%
Juventud (Win)
22%
Draw
17%
Racing Montevideo (Win)

Double chance

83%
Juventud or draw
39%
Racing Montevideo or draw
78%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Juventud – Racing Montevideo. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Juventud 1-0 Racing Montevideo11.8%
Juventud 2-0 Racing Montevideo11.1%
Juventud 1-1 Racing Montevideo10.5%
Juventud 2-1 Racing Montevideo9.9%
Juventud 3-0 Racing Montevideo6.9%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.77 goals in total (1.88 for Juventud, 0.89 for Racing Montevideo): over 2.5 goals has a 52% probability and both teams to score 50%. Juventud keep a clean sheet in 41% of scenarios, Racing Montevideo in 15%.

Probability
Juventud expected goals1.88
Racing Montevideo expected goals0.89
Both teams to score50%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Juventud clean sheet41%
Racing Montevideo clean sheet15%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Juventud

DateOpponentScore
Oct 8, 2026Plaza Colonia · Copa Uruguay1-0W
Oct 4, 2026Boston River · Uruguayan Primera División0-0D
Sep 27, 2026Cerro · Uruguayan Primera División0-0D
Sep 20, 2026Albion FC · Uruguayan Primera División3-1W
Sep 17, 2026Racing Montevideo · Copa Uruguay3-0W

Racing Montevideo

DateOpponentScore
Oct 4, 2026Penarol · Uruguayan Primera División0-1L
Sep 26, 2026Progreso · Uruguayan Primera División1-2L
Sep 21, 2026Liverpool Montevideo · Uruguayan Primera División0-0D
Sep 17, 2026Juventud · Copa Uruguay0-3L
Sep 12, 2026Boston River · Uruguayan Primera División3-2W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Juventud8149
Racing Montevideo10129

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 17, 2026Juventud 3-0 Racing MontevideoCopa Uruguay
Apr 4, 2026Racing Montevideo 2-1 JuventudPrimera División
Oct 20, 2025Racing Montevideo 0-0 JuventudPrimera División - Clausura
Jun 8, 2025Juventud 2-1 Racing MontevideoPrimera División - Apertura
Apr 19, 2025Juventud 1-0 Racing MontevideoPrimera División - Apertura

Out and doubtful

Juventud

No absences reported.

Racing Montevideo

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Juventud

Starts over the last 3 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Cruz3/3
  • D. Morosini3/3
  • F. Barrandeguy3/3
  • G. Pereiro3/3
  • K. Rolon3/3
  • L. Roldan3/3
  • R. Peralta3/3
  • S. Sosa3/3
  • E. Cecchini2/3
  • F. Mimbacas2/3
  • P. Pernicone2/3

Racing Montevideo

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Vazquez4/4
  • Agustin De la Cuesta4/4
  • E. Da Silva4/4
  • F. Alvarez4/4
  • F. Varese4/4
  • S. Da Silva4/4
  • Y. Oyarzo4/4
  • F. Gonzalez3/4
  • M. Ferreira3/4
  • Brazionis2/4
  • G. Cotugno2/4

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Juventud vs Racing Montevideo prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Juventud a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Racing Montevideo 17%. Juventud are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Juventud vs Racing Montevideo?

1-0 (11.8%), followed by 2-0 (11.1%), 1-1 (10.5%), 2-1 (9.9%) and 3-0 (6.9%).

Will both teams score in Juventud vs Racing Montevideo?

The probability that both Juventud and Racing Montevideo score is 50%. Juventud have a 41% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Racing Montevideo 15%.

How many goals should we expect in Juventud vs Racing Montevideo?

The model expects 2.77 goals (1.88 for Juventud, 0.89 for Racing Montevideo). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 76%, over 2.5 goals 52%, over 3.5 goals 30%.

When and where is Juventud vs Racing Montevideo played?

Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Uruguayan Primera División. Venue: Parque Artigas, Las Piedras.

What form are Juventud and Racing Montevideo in?

Juventud: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 1 conceded). Racing Montevideo: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 8 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Juventud and Racing Montevideo?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Juventud, 1 for Racing Montevideo and 1 draw. The most recent ended Juventud 3-0 Racing Montevideo (Sep 17, 2026).

What was the Juventud vs Racing Montevideo result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Juventud 2-0 Racing Montevideo. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Juventud was the model's favourite outcome (61%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.1%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (50%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (52%): missed.

How is the Juventud vs Racing Montevideo prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.88 for Juventud, 0.89 for Racing Montevideo) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained