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Taça de PortugalTaça de Portugal· Kick-off : Saturday, October 17, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)

Vianense vs Leixoes prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

Vianense take on Leixoes on Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), a Taça de Portugal fixture. Nothing is settled in advance: the AI gives Vianense 40%, Leixoes 34% and the draw 26%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.6%), ahead of 1-0 (10.3%) and 0-1 (9.2%).

Over their last 5 matches, Vianense have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 14 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Leixoes have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 11 and conceding 5. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Vianense score 2.80 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Leixoes score 2.20 and concede 1.00.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Vianense and Leixoes: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Vianense or draw" stands at 66%, "Leixoes or draw" at 60% and "no draw" at 74%.

In short : Vianense and Leixoes meet in a wide-open clash with no clear favourite (draw at 26%). On recent form, Vianense have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while Leixoes have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

40%
Vianense (Win)
26%
Draw
34%
Leixoes (Win)

Double chance

66%
Vianense or draw
60%
Leixoes or draw
74%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Vianense – Leixoes. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Vianense 1-1 Leixoes12.6%
Vianense 1-0 Leixoes10.3%
Vianense 0-1 Leixoes9.2%
Vianense 2-1 Leixoes8.5%
Vianense 1-2 Leixoes7.7%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.58 goals in total (1.36 for Vianense, 1.22 for Leixoes): over 2.5 goals has a 48% probability and both teams to score 52%. Vianense keep a clean sheet in 30% of scenarios, Leixoes in 26%.

Probability
Vianense expected goals1.36
Leixoes expected goals1.22
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Vianense clean sheet30%
Leixoes clean sheet26%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Vianense

DateOpponentScore
Sep 12, 2026Varzim · Liga 32-1W
Sep 5, 2026Pacos Ferreira · Liga 32-2D
Aug 30, 2026Minas de Argozelo · Taça de Portugal8-0W
Aug 23, 2026AD Marco 09 · Liga 30-2L
Aug 15, 2026Trofense · Liga 32-0W

Leixoes

DateOpponentScore
Sep 20, 2026Cinfães · Taça de Portugal4-0W
Sep 11, 2026Torreense · Liga Portugal 20-0D
Sep 6, 2026Amarante · Liga Portugal 23-1W
Aug 29, 2026Portimonense · Liga Portugal 22-0W
Aug 22, 2026União de Leiria · Liga Portugal 22-4L

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Vianense and Leixoes: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Vianense

No absences reported.

Leixoes

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Vianense

Starts over the last 3 matches (official line-ups).

  • B. Silva3/3
  • D. Maga3/3
  • G. Faria3/3
  • J. Castro3/3
  • J. Faria3/3
  • Laercio3/3
  • M. Conceicao3/3
  • N. Silva3/3
  • P. Soares3/3
  • Reko3/3
  • Rashid2/3

Leixoes

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • B. Rochez4/4
  • C. Araujo4/4
  • Matheus Costa4/4
  • S. Agra4/4
  • A. Balde3/4
  • Luccas Paraizo3/4
  • N. Serif3/4
  • Paulinho3/4
  • R. Barbosa3/4
  • I. Stefanovic2/4
  • L. Figueiredo2/4

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Vianense vs Leixoes prediction?

Our AI gives Vianense a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Leixoes 34%. Vianense are therefore slight favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Vianense vs Leixoes?

1-1 (12.6%), followed by 1-0 (10.3%), 0-1 (9.2%), 2-1 (8.5%) and 1-2 (7.7%).

Will both teams score in Vianense vs Leixoes?

The probability that both Vianense and Leixoes score is 52%. Vianense have a 30% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Leixoes 26%.

How many goals should we expect in Vianense vs Leixoes?

The model expects 2.58 goals (1.36 for Vianense, 1.22 for Leixoes). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.

When and where is Vianense vs Leixoes played?

Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Taça de Portugal.

What form are Vianense and Leixoes in?

Vianense: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 5 conceded). Leixoes: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 5 conceded).

How is the Vianense vs Leixoes prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.36 for Vianense, 1.22 for Leixoes) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained