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BundesligaBundesliga· Kick-off : Sunday, October 18, 2026, 16:30 (UK time)

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

Bundesliga, matchday 6: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim kicks off on Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 16:30 (UK time). Venue: Borussia-Park. Our model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach clear favourites: a 66% chance of winning, against 17% for the draw and 17% for 1899 Hoffenheim. On the correct score, 2-1 comes out on top (8.7%), followed by 3-1 (7.7%) and 1-1 (6.5%).

Borussia Mönchengladbach have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 10 and conceding 14. 1899 Hoffenheim have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 12. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Borussia Mönchengladbach score 2.00 and concede 2.80 goals per game; 1899 Hoffenheim score 1.40 and concede 2.40. In the table, Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 18th with 0 points from 4 games, 1899 Hoffenheim 14th with 3 points from 4. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Borussia Mönchengladbach have averaged 2.36 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.52 for 1899 Hoffenheim.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Borussia Mönchengladbach, 1 for 1899 Hoffenheim and 0 draws. The most recent ended Borussia Mönchengladbach 4-0 1899 Hoffenheim (May 16, 2026). 1899 Hoffenheim: Bernardo (doubtful) and A. Hajdari (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw" stands at 83%, "1899 Hoffenheim or draw" at 34% and "no draw" at 83%.

In short : Borussia Mönchengladbach are tipped by our AI model in this Borussia Mönchengladbach v 1899 Hoffenheim (66%). On recent form, Borussia Mönchengladbach have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5 while 1899 Hoffenheim are struggling (4 losses in 5). Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

66%
Borussia Mönchengladbach (Win)
17%
Draw
17%
1899 Hoffenheim (Win)

Double chance

83%
Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw
34%
1899 Hoffenheim or draw
83%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Borussia Mönchengladbach – 1899 Hoffenheim. 2-1 is the single most likely scoreline (8.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 35% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-1 1899 Hoffenheim8.7%
Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-1 1899 Hoffenheim7.7%
Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-1 1899 Hoffenheim6.5%
Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-0 1899 Hoffenheim6.5%
Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-2 1899 Hoffenheim5.8%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 2.67 expected goals for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 1.34 for 1899 Hoffenheim, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 76% and "both teams to score" at 69%. Goals look likely in this one. Borussia Mönchengladbach keep a clean sheet in 26% of scenarios, 1899 Hoffenheim in 7%.

Probability
Borussia Mönchengladbach expected goals2.67
1899 Hoffenheim expected goals1.34
Both teams to score69%
Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals76%
Over 3.5 goals57%
Borussia Mönchengladbach clean sheet26%
1899 Hoffenheim clean sheet7%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Borussia Mönchengladbach

DateOpponentScore
Oct 3, 2026FC St. Pauli · Club Friendlies1-1D
Sep 24, 2026Sportfreunde Siegen · Club Friendlies3-0W
Sep 19, 2026FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga3-4L
Sep 12, 2026SC Freiburg · Bundesliga0-5L
Sep 5, 2026SV Elversberg · Bundesliga3-4L

1899 Hoffenheim

DateOpponentScore
Sep 20, 2026SC Paderborn 07 · Bundesliga1-3L
Sep 17, 2026OFI · UEFA Europa League0-2L
Sep 12, 2026VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga2-1W
Sep 5, 2026Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga2-3L
Aug 29, 20261. FC Köln · Bundesliga2-3L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Borussia Mönchengladbach1804
1899 Hoffenheim1434

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach 4-0 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
Jan 14, 20261899 Hoffenheim 5-1 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga

Out and doubtful

Borussia Mönchengladbach

No absences reported.

1899 Hoffenheim

  • Bernardo (doubtful)
  • A. Hajdari (doubtful)

Most regular starters

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • J. Scally5/5
  • P. Sander5/5
  • F. Honorat4/5
  • M. Nicolas4/5
  • D. Herold3/5
  • F. Neuhaus3/5
  • H. Bolin3/5
  • K. Diks3/5
  • K. Itakura3/5
  • R. Hack3/5
  • T. Kleindienst3/5

1899 Hoffenheim

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • L. Avdullahu5/5
  • O. Baumann5/5
  • O. Kabak5/5
  • V. Coufal5/5
  • W. Burger5/5
  • A. Daghim4/5
  • A. Hajdari4/5
  • M. Rots4/5
  • A. Hlozek3/5
  • P. Wimmer3/5
  • T. Lemperle3/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim prediction?

Our AI gives Borussia Mönchengladbach a 66% chance of winning, the draw 17% and 1899 Hoffenheim 17%. Borussia Mönchengladbach are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

2-1 (8.7%), followed by 3-1 (7.7%), 1-1 (6.5%), 2-0 (6.5%) and 2-2 (5.8%).

Will both teams score in Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

The probability that both Borussia Mönchengladbach and 1899 Hoffenheim score is 69%. Borussia Mönchengladbach have a 26% chance of keeping a clean sheet, 1899 Hoffenheim 7%.

How many goals should we expect in Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

The model expects 4.01 goals (2.67 for Borussia Mönchengladbach, 1.34 for 1899 Hoffenheim). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 91%, over 2.5 goals 76%, over 3.5 goals 57%.

When and where is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim played?

Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 16:30 (UK time), Bundesliga, matchday 6. Venue: Borussia-Park.

What form are Borussia Mönchengladbach and 1899 Hoffenheim in?

Borussia Mönchengladbach: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 14 conceded). 1899 Hoffenheim: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 12 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Borussia Mönchengladbach and 1899 Hoffenheim?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Borussia Mönchengladbach, 1 for 1899 Hoffenheim and 0 draws. The most recent ended Borussia Mönchengladbach 4-0 1899 Hoffenheim (May 16, 2026).

How is the Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.67 for Borussia Mönchengladbach, 1.34 for 1899 Hoffenheim) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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Key terms explained