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BundesligaBundesliga· Kick-off : Friday, October 16, 2026, 19:30 (UK time)

Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

Bundesliga, matchday 6: Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln kicks off on Friday, October 16, 2026 at 19:30 (UK time). Venue: Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt. Eintracht Frankfurt start as favourites with a 50% chance of victory; 1. FC Köln are given 30% and the draw 20%. On the correct score, 2-1 comes out on top (7.6%), followed by 2-2 (7.0%) and 1-1 (6.3%).

Over their last 5 matches, Eintracht Frankfurt have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 13 and conceding 10. 1. FC Köln have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 8 and conceding 11. Eintracht Frankfurt therefore arrive in far better shape than 1. FC Köln. On average Eintracht Frankfurt score 2.60 and concede 2.00 goals per game; 1. FC Köln score 1.60 and concede 2.20. In the table, Eintracht Frankfurt sit 10th with 5 points from 4 games, 1. FC Köln 13th with 4 points from 4. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Eintracht Frankfurt have averaged 1.85 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.40 for 1. FC Köln.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Eintracht Frankfurt, 0 for 1. FC Köln and 1 draw. The most recent ended Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 1. FC Köln (Apr 5, 2026). Eintracht Frankfurt out or doubtful: J. Maluze (doubtful) and J. Ngankam (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Eintracht Frankfurt or draw" stands at 70%, "1. FC Köln or draw" at 50% and "no draw" at 80%.

In short : Eintracht Frankfurt are favourites for this Eintracht Frankfurt v 1. FC Köln, with a 50% win probability from our model. On recent form, Eintracht Frankfurt have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in 5 while 1. FC Köln have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5. One to watch: Eintracht Frankfurt will be without J. Maluze and J. Ngankam.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

50%
Eintracht Frankfurt (Win)
20%
Draw
30%
1. FC Köln (Win)

Double chance

70%
Eintracht Frankfurt or draw
50%
1. FC Köln or draw
80%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Eintracht Frankfurt – 1. FC Köln. 2-1 is the single most likely scoreline (7.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 33% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 1. FC Köln7.6%
Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 1. FC Köln7.0%
Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 1. FC Köln6.3%
Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1 1. FC Köln6.0%
Eintracht Frankfurt 1-2 1. FC Köln5.9%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 2.39 expected goals for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.86 for 1. FC Köln, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 80% and "both teams to score" at 77%. Goals look likely in this one. Eintracht Frankfurt keep a clean sheet in 16% of scenarios, 1. FC Köln in 9%.

Probability
Eintracht Frankfurt expected goals2.39
1. FC Köln expected goals1.86
Both teams to score77%
Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals80%
Over 3.5 goals61%
Eintracht Frankfurt clean sheet16%
1. FC Köln clean sheet9%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Eintracht Frankfurt

DateOpponentScore
Oct 2, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig · Club Friendlies4-0W
Sep 19, 2026SC Freiburg · Bundesliga2-2D
Sep 12, 2026FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga3-1W
Sep 6, 2026FC Augsburg · Bundesliga1-4L
Aug 29, 2026Union Berlin · Bundesliga3-3D

1. FC Köln

DateOpponentScore
Oct 3, 2026FC Viktoria Köln · Club Friendlies2-2D
Sep 19, 2026Hamburger SV · Bundesliga1-2L
Sep 12, 2026Werder Bremen · Bundesliga1-1D
Sep 4, 2026VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga1-4L
Aug 29, 20261899 Hoffenheim · Bundesliga3-2W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Eintracht Frankfurt1054
1. FC Köln1344

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 5, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 1. FC KölnBundesliga
Nov 22, 20251. FC Köln 3-4 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga

Out and doubtful

Eintracht Frankfurt

  • J. Maluze (doubtful)
  • J. Ngankam (doubtful)

1. FC Köln

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Eintracht Frankfurt

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • C. Uzun4/4
  • E. Baum4/4
  • J. Burkardt4/4
  • K. Kosugi4/4
  • N. Atubolu4/4
  • R. Koch4/4
  • R. Onyedika4/4
  • L. Brassier3/4
  • R. Doan3/4
  • Y. Ebnoutalib3/4
  • J. Maluze2/4

1. FC Köln

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • T. Krauss5/5
  • A. Castro-Montes4/5
  • G. Mensah4/5
  • J. Simpson-Pusey4/5
  • L. Lochoshvili4/5
  • M. Schwabe4/5
  • E. Skhiri3/5
  • J. Thielmann3/5
  • L. Maina3/5
  • T. Dallinga3/5
  • I. Johannesson2/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln prediction?

Our AI gives Eintracht Frankfurt a 50% chance of winning, the draw 20% and 1. FC Köln 30%. Eintracht Frankfurt are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln?

2-1 (7.6%), followed by 2-2 (7.0%), 1-1 (6.3%), 3-1 (6.0%) and 1-2 (5.9%).

Will both teams score in Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln?

The probability that both Eintracht Frankfurt and 1. FC Köln score is 77%. Eintracht Frankfurt have a 16% chance of keeping a clean sheet, 1. FC Köln 9%.

How many goals should we expect in Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln?

The model expects 4.25 goals (2.39 for Eintracht Frankfurt, 1.86 for 1. FC Köln). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 93%, over 2.5 goals 80%, over 3.5 goals 61%.

When and where is Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln played?

Friday, October 16, 2026 at 19:30 (UK time), Bundesliga, matchday 6. Venue: Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt.

What form are Eintracht Frankfurt and 1. FC Köln in?

Eintracht Frankfurt: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 10 conceded). 1. FC Köln: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 11 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Eintracht Frankfurt and 1. FC Köln?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Eintracht Frankfurt, 0 for 1. FC Köln and 1 draw. The most recent ended Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 1. FC Köln (Apr 5, 2026).

How is the Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.39 for Eintracht Frankfurt, 1.86 for 1. FC Köln) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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Key terms explained