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UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Tuesday, December 8, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

AEK Athens FC vs Galatasaray prediction: correct score and AI tips

AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC–GalatasarayGalatasaray

Match analysis

AEK Athens FC take on Galatasaray on Tuesday, December 8, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), a UEFA Champions League fixture. Venue: Allwyn Arena, Athens. Our model makes AEK Athens FC clear favourites: a 70% chance of winning, against 16% for the draw and 14% for Galatasaray. On the correct score, 2-1 comes out on top (8.8%), followed by 3-1 (8.0%) and 2-0 (7.5%).

AEK Athens FC are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 17 and conceding 2. Over their last 5 matches, Galatasaray have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 11. AEK Athens FC therefore arrive in far better shape than Galatasaray. On average AEK Athens FC score 3.40 and concede 0.40 goals per game; Galatasaray score 1.60 and concede 2.20. In the table, AEK Athens FC sit 16th with 3 points from 1 games, Galatasaray 30th with 0 points from 1. 14 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, AEK Athens FC have averaged 1.71 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.89 for Galatasaray.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between AEK Athens FC and Galatasaray: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Galatasaray: G. Guvenc, M. Lemina, V. Osimhen and W. Singo. In double chance terms, "AEK Athens FC or draw" stands at 86%, "Galatasaray or draw" at 30% and "no draw" at 84%.

In short : Our model backs AEK Athens FC to edge Galatasaray (70% probability). On recent form, AEK Athens FC are in good shape (4 wins in 5) while Galatasaray have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5. The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 75%).

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

70%
AEK Athens FC (Win)
16%
Draw
14%
Galatasaray (Win)

Double chance

86%
AEK Athens FC or draw
30%
Galatasaray or draw
84%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as AEK Athens FC – Galatasaray. 2-1 is the single most likely scoreline (8.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 38% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
AEK Athens FC 2-1 Galatasaray8.8%
AEK Athens FC 3-1 Galatasaray8.0%
AEK Athens FC 2-0 Galatasaray7.5%
AEK Athens FC 3-0 Galatasaray6.8%
AEK Athens FC 1-1 Galatasaray6.5%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 2.73 expected goals for AEK Athens FC and 1.18 for Galatasaray, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 75% and "both teams to score" at 65%. Goals look likely in this one. AEK Athens FC keep a clean sheet in 31% of scenarios, Galatasaray in 7%.

Probability
AEK Athens FC expected goals2.73
Galatasaray expected goals1.18
Both teams to score65%
Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals75%
Over 3.5 goals55%
AEK Athens FC clean sheet31%
Galatasaray clean sheet7%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

AEK Athens FC

DateOpponentScore
Sep 17, 2026Panserraikos · Cup8-1W
Sep 13, 2026Asteras Tripolis · Super League 11-1D
Sep 8, 2026Lask Linz · UEFA Champions League1-0W
Sep 5, 2026Aris Thessalonikis · Super League 15-0W
Sep 2, 2026Nestos Chrisoupolis · Cup2-0W

Galatasaray

DateOpponentScore
Sep 19, 2026Trabzonspor · Süper Lig0-4L
Sep 13, 2026Kocaelispor · Süper Lig1-0W
Sep 9, 2026Sporting CP · UEFA Champions League1-3L
Sep 4, 2026Başakşehir · Süper Lig3-2W
Aug 29, 2026Göztepe · Süper Lig3-2W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
AEK Athens FC1631
Galatasaray3001

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between AEK Athens FC and Galatasaray: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

AEK Athens FC

No absences reported.

Galatasaray

  • G. Guvenc (out)
  • M. Lemina (out)
  • V. Osimhen (out)
  • W. Singo (out)

Most regular starters

AEK Athens FC

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Brignoli3/4
  • H. Moukoudi3/4
  • L. Majer3/4
  • L. Rota3/4
  • R. Marin3/4
  • B. Varga2/4
  • F. Relvas2/4
  • K. Arriaga2/4
  • L. Jovic2/4
  • M. Gacinovic2/4
  • M. Vitalis2/4

Galatasaray

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Gabriel Sara5/5
  • D. Sanchez4/5
  • L. Torreira4/5
  • R. Sallai4/5
  • Y. Akgun4/5
  • B. Yilmaz3/5
  • I. Jakobs3/5
  • U. Cakir3/5
  • A. Bardakci2/5
  • A. Batrakov2/5
  • E. Elmali2/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the AEK Athens FC vs Galatasaray prediction?

Our AI gives AEK Athens FC a 70% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Galatasaray 14%. AEK Athens FC are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for AEK Athens FC vs Galatasaray?

2-1 (8.8%), followed by 3-1 (8.0%), 2-0 (7.5%), 3-0 (6.8%) and 1-1 (6.5%).

Will both teams score in AEK Athens FC vs Galatasaray?

The probability that both AEK Athens FC and Galatasaray score is 65%. AEK Athens FC have a 31% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Galatasaray 7%.

How many goals should we expect in AEK Athens FC vs Galatasaray?

The model expects 3.91 goals (2.73 for AEK Athens FC, 1.18 for Galatasaray). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 90%, over 2.5 goals 75%, over 3.5 goals 55%.

When and where is AEK Athens FC vs Galatasaray played?

Tuesday, December 8, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Allwyn Arena, Athens.

What form are AEK Athens FC and Galatasaray in?

AEK Athens FC: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (17 scored, 2 conceded). Galatasaray: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 11 conceded).

How is the AEK Athens FC vs Galatasaray prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.73 for AEK Athens FC, 1.18 for Galatasaray) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained