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UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Wednesday, December 9, 2026, 17:45 (UK time)

Slovan Bratislava vs Shakhtar Donetsk prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

UEFA Champions League: the Slovan Bratislava vs Shakhtar Donetsk match is scheduled on Wednesday, December 9, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time). It is a tight call: 41% for Slovan Bratislava, 26% for the draw and 33% for Shakhtar Donetsk. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.5%), followed by 1-0 (10.3%) and 0-1 (9.2%).

Over their last 5 matches, Slovan Bratislava have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 12 and conceding 11. Over their last 5 matches, Shakhtar Donetsk have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Shakhtar Donetsk therefore arrive in far better shape than Slovan Bratislava. On average Slovan Bratislava score 2.40 and concede 2.20 goals per game; Shakhtar Donetsk score 1.60 and concede 0.80. In the table, Slovan Bratislava sit 35th with 0 points from 1 games, Shakhtar Donetsk 18th with 1 points from 1. 17 places separate the two sides.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Slovan Bratislava and Shakhtar Donetsk: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Slovan Bratislava or draw" stands at 67%, "Shakhtar Donetsk or draw" at 59% and "no draw" at 74%.

In short : Slovan Bratislava and Shakhtar Donetsk meet in a wide-open clash with no clear favourite (draw at 26%). In the table, Slovan Bratislava (35th, 0 pts) host Shakhtar Donetsk (18th, 1 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

41%
Slovan Bratislava (Win)
26%
Draw
33%
Shakhtar Donetsk (Win)

Double chance

67%
Slovan Bratislava or draw
59%
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw
74%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Slovan Bratislava – Shakhtar Donetsk. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Slovan Bratislava 1-1 Shakhtar Donetsk12.5%
Slovan Bratislava 1-0 Shakhtar Donetsk10.3%
Slovan Bratislava 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk9.2%
Slovan Bratislava 2-1 Shakhtar Donetsk8.6%
Slovan Bratislava 1-2 Shakhtar Donetsk7.6%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.37 expected goals for Slovan Bratislava and 1.22 for Shakhtar Donetsk, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 48% and "both teams to score" at 53%. Slovan Bratislava keep a clean sheet in 30% of scenarios, Shakhtar Donetsk in 25%.

Probability
Slovan Bratislava expected goals1.37
Shakhtar Donetsk expected goals1.22
Both teams to score53%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Slovan Bratislava clean sheet30%
Shakhtar Donetsk clean sheet25%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Slovan Bratislava

DateOpponentScore
Sep 9, 2026Paris Saint Germain · UEFA Champions League1-6L
Sep 5, 2026Dunajska Streda · Super Liga0-2L
Sep 2, 2026Slovan Nitra-Chrenová · Cup8-0W
Aug 30, 2026Zemplín Michalovce · Super Liga1-2L
Aug 26, 2026Celje · UEFA Champions League2-1W

Shakhtar Donetsk

DateOpponentScore
Sep 17, 2026Vilkhivtsi · Cup3-0W
Sep 14, 2026Chornomorets · Premier League2-0W
Sep 10, 2026PSV Eindhoven · UEFA Champions League1-1D
Sep 5, 2026Karpaty · Premier League2-1W
Aug 29, 2026Polessya · Premier League0-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Slovan Bratislava3501
Shakhtar Donetsk1811

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Slovan Bratislava and Shakhtar Donetsk: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Slovan Bratislava

No absences reported.

Shakhtar Donetsk

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Slovan Bratislava

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • C. Blackman3/4
  • K. Bajric3/4
  • T. Barseghyan3/4
  • A. Sporar2/4
  • C. Martinez2/4
  • D. Matsuoka2/4
  • D. Takac2/4
  • K. Wimmer2/4
  • P. Pokorny2/4
  • R. Ibrahim2/4
  • S. Camara2/4

Shakhtar Donetsk

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • D. Riznyk4/4
  • O. Ocheretko4/4
  • M. Matvienko3/4
  • Newerton3/4
  • Pedro Henrique3/4
  • V. Bondar3/4
  • A. Ghram2/4
  • G. Mendoza2/4
  • Luca Meirelles2/4
  • Marlon Gomes2/4
  • O. Karavaev2/4

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Slovan Bratislava vs Shakhtar Donetsk prediction?

Our AI gives Slovan Bratislava a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Shakhtar Donetsk 33%. Slovan Bratislava are therefore slight favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Slovan Bratislava vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

1-1 (12.5%), followed by 1-0 (10.3%), 0-1 (9.2%), 2-1 (8.6%) and 1-2 (7.6%).

Will both teams score in Slovan Bratislava vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

The probability that both Slovan Bratislava and Shakhtar Donetsk score is 53%. Slovan Bratislava have a 30% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Shakhtar Donetsk 25%.

How many goals should we expect in Slovan Bratislava vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

The model expects 2.59 goals (1.37 for Slovan Bratislava, 1.22 for Shakhtar Donetsk). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.

When and where is Slovan Bratislava vs Shakhtar Donetsk played?

Wednesday, December 9, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time), UEFA Champions League.

What form are Slovan Bratislava and Shakhtar Donetsk in?

Slovan Bratislava: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 11 conceded). Shakhtar Donetsk: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 4 conceded).

How is the Slovan Bratislava vs Shakhtar Donetsk prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.37 for Slovan Bratislava, 1.22 for Shakhtar Donetsk) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained