UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Wednesday, December 9, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Arsenal vs Real Madrid prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Arsenal take on Real Madrid on Wednesday, December 9, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), a UEFA Champions League fixture. Venue: Emirates Stadium, London. It is a tight call: 43% for Arsenal, 19% for the draw and 38% for Real Madrid.
Over their last 5 matches, Arsenal have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Real Madrid have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Arsenal score 1.80 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Real Madrid score 2.00 and concede 1.40. In the table, Arsenal sit 15th with 3 points from 1 games, Real Madrid 14th with 3 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Arsenal have averaged 2.05 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.58 for Real Madrid.
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Arsenal, 0 for Real Madrid and 1 draw. The most recent ended Real Madrid 1-2 Arsenal (Apr 16, 2025). Arsenal out or doubtful: C. Mosquera, W. Saliba and B. White. Real Madrid: Eder Militao, F. Mendy and Rodrygo. In double chance terms, "Arsenal or draw" stands at 62%, "Real Madrid or draw" at 57% and "no draw" at 81%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Exact score and goal markets 🔒
The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Arsenal
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Brighton · Premier League | 0-3 | L |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Ipswich · EFL Cup | 4-2 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sunderland · Premier League | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Napoli · UEFA Champions League | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Chelsea · Premier League | 2-1 | W |
Real Madrid
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atletico Madrid · La Liga | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Elche · La Liga | 3-2 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano · La Liga | 4-1 | W |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Inter · UEFA Champions League | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Real Betis · La Liga | 0-1 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 15 | 3 | 1 |
| Real Madrid | 14 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2025 | Real Madrid 1-2 Arsenal | UEFA Champions League |
| Apr 8, 2025 | Arsenal 3-0 Real Madrid | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 24, 2019 | Real Madrid 2-2 Arsenal | International Champions Cup |
Out and doubtful
Arsenal
- C. Mosquera (out)
- W. Saliba (out)
- B. White (out)
Real Madrid
- Eder Militao (out)
- F. Mendy (out)
- Rodrygo (out)
Most regular starters
Arsenal
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Saka4/5
- D. Rice4/5
- E. Konsa4/5
- B. White3/5
- C. Tzolis3/5
- D. Raya3/5
- Gabriel3/5
- K. Havertz3/5
- M. Lewis-Skelly3/5
- M. Odegaard3/5
- R. Calafiori3/5
Real Madrid
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- F. Valverde5/5
- T. Courtois5/5
- D. Dumfries4/5
- D. Huijsen4/5
- I. Konate4/5
- J. Bellingham4/5
- K. Mbappe4/5
- Vinicius Junior4/5
- M. Cucurella3/5
- A. Guler2/5
- T. Alexander-Arnold2/5
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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Arsenal vs Real Madrid prediction?
Our AI gives Arsenal a 43% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Real Madrid 38%. Arsenal are therefore slight favourites.
When and where is Arsenal vs Real Madrid played?
Wednesday, December 9, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Emirates Stadium, London.
What form are Arsenal and Real Madrid in?
Arsenal: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 6 conceded). Real Madrid: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Arsenal and Real Madrid?
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Arsenal, 0 for Real Madrid and 1 draw. The most recent ended Real Madrid 1-2 Arsenal (Apr 16, 2025).
Go further
- All Arsenal predictions
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