UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Wednesday, December 9, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
VfB Stuttgart vs Lille prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Champions League: the VfB Stuttgart vs Lille match is scheduled on Wednesday, December 9, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). Venue: MHPArena, Stuttgart. With a 91% win probability, VfB Stuttgart go in as strong favourites against Lille (3%), with the draw rated at 6%. The most likely correct score is 3-0 (9.9%), ahead of 4-0 (9.9%) and 5-0 (7.9%).
Over their last 5 matches, VfB Stuttgart have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Over their last 5 matches, Lille have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 7. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average VfB Stuttgart score 1.80 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Lille score 1.60 and concede 1.40. In the table, VfB Stuttgart sit 6th with 3 points from 1 games, Lille 22nd with 0 points from 1. 16 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, VfB Stuttgart have averaged 2.13 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.33 for Lille.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between VfB Stuttgart and Lille: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. VfB Stuttgart out or doubtful: L. Assignon, J. Diehl, M. Herwerth, L. Jaquez, D. Seimen, T. Tomas and D. Zagadou. Lille: H. Igamane and T. Nianzou. In double chance terms, "VfB Stuttgart or draw" stands at 97%, "Lille or draw" at 9% and "no draw" at 94%.
In short : Our model backs VfB Stuttgart to edge Lille (91% probability). On recent form, VfB Stuttgart have 2 wins, 0 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Lille have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 85%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as VfB Stuttgart – Lille. 3-0 is the single most likely scoreline (9.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 42% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart 3-0 Lille | 9.9% |
| VfB Stuttgart 4-0 Lille | 9.9% |
| VfB Stuttgart 5-0 Lille | 7.9% |
| VfB Stuttgart 2-0 Lille | 7.4% |
| VfB Stuttgart 3-1 Lille | 6.7% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 4.68 goals in total (4.00 for VfB Stuttgart, 0.68 for Lille): over 2.5 goals has a 85% probability and both teams to score 48%. Everything points to an open game. VfB Stuttgart keep a clean sheet in 51% of scenarios, Lille in 2%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart expected goals | 4.00 |
| Lille expected goals | 0.68 |
| Both teams to score | 48% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 95% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 85% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 69% |
| VfB Stuttgart clean sheet | 51% |
| Lille clean sheet | 2% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
VfB Stuttgart
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim · Bundesliga | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Viking · UEFA Champions League | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 4, 2026 | 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga | 4-1 | W |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Bayern München · Bundesliga | 1-5 | L |
Lille
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Nice · Ligue 1 | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Estac Troyes · Ligue 1 | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Real Betis · UEFA Champions League | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Toulouse · Ligue 1 | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain · Ligue 1 | 2-2 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| Lille | 22 | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between VfB Stuttgart and Lille: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
VfB Stuttgart
- L. Assignon (out)
- J. Diehl (out)
- M. Herwerth (out)
- L. Jaquez (out)
- D. Seimen (out)
- T. Tomas (out)
- D. Zagadou (out)
Lille
- H. Igamane (out)
- T. Nianzou (out)
Most regular starters
VfB Stuttgart
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Stiller5/5
- F. Bredlow5/5
- J. Chabot5/5
- D. Undav4/5
- F. Jeltsch4/5
- G. Promel4/5
- J. Vagnoman4/5
- M. Mittelstadt4/5
- B. El Khannouss3/5
- C. Fuhrich3/5
- D. Pejcinovic3/5
Lille
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Alexsandro Ribeiro4/5
- Tiago Santos4/5
- Berke Özer3/5
- Hakon Arnar Haraldsson3/5
- Nabil Bentaleb3/5
- Nathan Ngoy3/5
- A. Ueda2/5
- Benjamin André2/5
- Ethan Mbappé2/5
- H. Haraldsson2/5
- N. Bentaleb2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the VfB Stuttgart vs Lille prediction?
Our AI gives VfB Stuttgart a 91% chance of winning, the draw 6% and Lille 3%. VfB Stuttgart are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for VfB Stuttgart vs Lille?
3-0 (9.9%), followed by 4-0 (9.9%), 5-0 (7.9%), 2-0 (7.4%) and 3-1 (6.7%).
Will both teams score in VfB Stuttgart vs Lille?
The probability that both VfB Stuttgart and Lille score is 48%. VfB Stuttgart have a 51% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Lille 2%.
How many goals should we expect in VfB Stuttgart vs Lille?
The model expects 4.68 goals (4.00 for VfB Stuttgart, 0.68 for Lille). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 95%, over 2.5 goals 85%, over 3.5 goals 69%.
When and where is VfB Stuttgart vs Lille played?
Wednesday, December 9, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: MHPArena, Stuttgart.
What form are VfB Stuttgart and Lille in?
VfB Stuttgart: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 10 conceded). Lille: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 7 conceded).
How is the VfB Stuttgart vs Lille prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (4.00 for VfB Stuttgart, 0.68 for Lille) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All VfB Stuttgart predictions
- All Lille predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology