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UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Tuesday, December 8, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Aston Villa vs Paris Saint Germain prediction: correct score and AI tips

Aston VillaAston Villa–Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain

Match analysis

Aston Villa take on Paris Saint Germain on Tuesday, December 8, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), a UEFA Champions League fixture. Venue: Villa Park, Birmingham. Our model makes Aston Villa clear favourites: a 67% chance of winning, against 16% for the draw and 17% for Paris Saint Germain.

Over their last 5 matches, Aston Villa have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Paris Saint Germain have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 6. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Aston Villa score 2.00 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Paris Saint Germain score 2.40 and concede 1.20. In the table, Aston Villa sit 9th with 3 points from 1 games, Paris Saint Germain 1st with 3 points from 1. 8 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Aston Villa have averaged 2.58 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.64 for Paris Saint Germain.

In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Aston Villa, 2 for Paris Saint Germain and 0 draws. The most recent ended Paris Saint Germain 2-1 Aston Villa (Aug 12, 2026). Aston Villa out or doubtful: Alysson, M. Bizot, L. Goretzka, I. Maatsen, B. Madjo, A. Onana and P. Torres. Paris Saint Germain: A. Hakimi and Q. Ndjantou. In double chance terms, "Aston Villa or draw" stands at 83%, "Paris Saint Germain or draw" at 33% and "no draw" at 84%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

67%
Aston Villa (Win)
16%
Draw
17%
Paris Saint Germain (Win)

Double chance

83%
Aston Villa or draw
33%
Paris Saint Germain or draw
84%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Aston Villa

DateOpponentScore
Sep 19, 2026Tottenham · Premier League3-2W
Sep 16, 2026Coventry · EFL Cup3-1W
Sep 12, 2026Nottingham Forest · Premier League1-2L
Sep 8, 2026Club Brugge KV · UEFA Champions League3-2W
Sep 5, 2026Hull City · Premier League0-0D

Paris Saint Germain

DateOpponentScore
Sep 20, 2026Marseille · Ligue 12-1W
Sep 13, 2026Stade Brestois 29 · Ligue 11-0W
Sep 9, 2026Slovan Bratislava · UEFA Champions League6-1W
Sep 4, 2026Monaco · Ligue 11-2L
Aug 28, 2026Lille · Ligue 12-2D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Aston Villa931
Paris Saint Germain131

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 12, 2026Paris Saint Germain 2-1 Aston VillaUEFA Super Cup
Apr 15, 2025Aston Villa 3-2 Paris Saint GermainUEFA Champions League
Apr 9, 2025Paris Saint Germain 3-1 Aston VillaUEFA Champions League

Out and doubtful

Aston Villa

  • Alysson (out)
  • M. Bizot (out)
  • L. Goretzka (out)
  • I. Maatsen (out)
  • B. Madjo (out)
  • A. Onana (out)
  • P. Torres (out)

Paris Saint Germain

  • A. Hakimi (out)
  • Q. Ndjantou (out)

Most regular starters

Aston Villa

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Wan-Bissaka4/5
  • B. Kamara4/5
  • N. Jackson4/5
  • Z. Suzuki4/5
  • E. Buendia3/5
  • G. Hemmings3/5
  • I. Maatsen3/5
  • J. McGinn3/5
  • R. Barkley3/5
  • T. Mings3/5
  • V. Lindelof3/5

Paris Saint Germain

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Vitinha5/5
  • Marquinhos4/5
  • Achraf Hakimi3/5
  • Fabián Ruiz3/5
  • João Neves3/5
  • Matvey Safonov3/5
  • Warren Zaïre-Emery3/5
  • Willian Pacho3/5
  • Désiré Doué2/5
  • Ferran Torres2/5
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia2/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Aston Villa vs Paris Saint Germain prediction?

Our AI gives Aston Villa a 67% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Paris Saint Germain 17%. Aston Villa are therefore favourites.

When and where is Aston Villa vs Paris Saint Germain played?

Tuesday, December 8, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Villa Park, Birmingham.

What form are Aston Villa and Paris Saint Germain in?

Aston Villa: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 7 conceded). Paris Saint Germain: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Aston Villa and Paris Saint Germain?

In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Aston Villa, 2 for Paris Saint Germain and 0 draws. The most recent ended Paris Saint Germain 2-1 Aston Villa (Aug 12, 2026).

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Key terms explained