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UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Tuesday, December 8, 2026, 17:45 (UK time)

Villarreal vs Sabah FA prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

UEFA Champions League: Villarreal vs Sabah FA kicks off on Tuesday, December 8, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time). Venue: Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal. Our model makes Villarreal clear favourites: a 82% chance of winning, against 11% for the draw and 7% for Sabah FA. On the correct score, 3-0 comes out on top (10.0%), followed by 2-0 (9.7%) and 3-1 (8.1%).

Over their last 5 matches, Villarreal have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 11 and conceding 10. Over their last 5 matches, Sabah FA have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 5. Sabah FA therefore arrive in far better shape than Villarreal. On average Villarreal score 2.20 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Sabah FA score 2.40 and concede 1.00. In the table, Villarreal sit 21st with 0 points from 1 games, Sabah FA 34th with 0 points from 1. 13 places separate the two sides.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Villarreal and Sabah FA: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Villarreal out or doubtful: S. Comesana. In double chance terms, "Villarreal or draw" stands at 93%, "Sabah FA or draw" at 18% and "no draw" at 89%.

In short : Our model backs Villarreal to edge Sabah FA (82% probability). On recent form, Villarreal have 2 wins, 0 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Sabah FA are in good shape (4 wins in 5). The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 75%).

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

82%
Villarreal (Win)
11%
Draw
7%
Sabah FA (Win)

Double chance

93%
Villarreal or draw
18%
Sabah FA or draw
89%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Villarreal – Sabah FA. 3-0 is the single most likely scoreline (10.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 43% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Villarreal 3-0 Sabah FA10.0%
Villarreal 2-0 Sabah FA9.7%
Villarreal 3-1 Sabah FA8.1%
Villarreal 2-1 Sabah FA7.9%
Villarreal 4-0 Sabah FA7.7%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 3.08 expected goals for Villarreal and 0.81 for Sabah FA, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 75% and "both teams to score" at 53%. Goals look likely in this one. Villarreal keep a clean sheet in 45% of scenarios, Sabah FA in 5%.

Probability
Villarreal expected goals3.08
Sabah FA expected goals0.81
Both teams to score53%
Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals75%
Over 3.5 goals55%
Villarreal clean sheet45%
Sabah FA clean sheet5%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Villarreal

DateOpponentScore
Sep 20, 2026Levante · La Liga3-1W
Sep 17, 2026Malaga · La Liga3-1W
Sep 14, 2026Real Betis · La Liga1-2L
Sep 8, 2026Borussia Dortmund · UEFA Champions League2-3L
Sep 5, 2026Deportivo La Coruna · La Liga2-3L

Sabah FA

DateOpponentScore
Sep 19, 2026Imisli FK · Premyer Liqa3-1W
Sep 14, 2026Safa Baku · Premyer Liqa3-0W
Sep 10, 2026Manchester United · UEFA Champions League0-4L
Sep 5, 2026Zira · Premyer Liqa5-0W
Aug 31, 2026Araz · Premyer Liqa1-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Villarreal2101
Sabah FA3401

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Villarreal and Sabah FA: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Villarreal

  • S. Comesana (out)

Sabah FA

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Villarreal

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • N. Saliba4/5
  • P. Gueye4/5
  • T. Buchanan4/5
  • A. Freeman3/5
  • R. Veiga3/5
  • Alberto Moleiro2/5
  • Ayoze Pérez2/5
  • G. Mikautadze2/5
  • G. Moreno2/5
  • Ilias Akhomach2/5
  • N. Pepe2/5

Sabah FA

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • T. Puchacz4/4
  • A. McCarthy3/4
  • C. Nwachukwu3/4
  • I. Lepinjica3/4
  • S. Pokatilov3/4
  • T. Mutallimov3/4
  • A. Isayev2/4
  • A. Khaybulaev2/4
  • J. Mickels2/4
  • K. Parris2/4
  • O. Mbina2/4

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Villarreal vs Sabah FA prediction?

Our AI gives Villarreal a 82% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Sabah FA 7%. Villarreal are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Villarreal vs Sabah FA?

3-0 (10.0%), followed by 2-0 (9.7%), 3-1 (8.1%), 2-1 (7.9%) and 4-0 (7.7%).

Will both teams score in Villarreal vs Sabah FA?

The probability that both Villarreal and Sabah FA score is 53%. Villarreal have a 45% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Sabah FA 5%.

How many goals should we expect in Villarreal vs Sabah FA?

The model expects 3.89 goals (3.08 for Villarreal, 0.81 for Sabah FA). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 90%, over 2.5 goals 75%, over 3.5 goals 55%.

When and where is Villarreal vs Sabah FA played?

Tuesday, December 8, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal.

What form are Villarreal and Sabah FA in?

Villarreal: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 10 conceded). Sabah FA: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 5 conceded).

How is the Villarreal vs Sabah FA prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (3.08 for Villarreal, 0.81 for Sabah FA) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained