Skip to content
Elofoot

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Tuesday, December 8, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

AS Roma vs Sporting CP prediction: correct score and AI tips

AS RomaAS Roma–Sporting CPSporting CP

Match analysis

UEFA Champions League: the AS Roma vs Sporting CP match is scheduled on Tuesday, December 8, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). Venue: Stadio Olimpico, Rome. The edge goes to Sporting CP (57%), ahead of the draw (18%) and a AS Roma win (25%). The most likely correct score is 1-2 (6.8%), ahead of 2-2 (6.4%) and 1-3 (6.4%).

AS Roma are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 11 and conceding 4. Sporting CP are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 12 and conceding 4. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average AS Roma score 2.20 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Sporting CP score 2.40 and concede 0.80. In the table, AS Roma sit 17th with 1 points from 1 games, Sporting CP 7th with 3 points from 1. 10 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, AS Roma have averaged 2.46 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.14 for Sporting CP.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between AS Roma and Sporting CP: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. AS Roma out or doubtful: M. Bah. In double chance terms, "AS Roma or draw" stands at 43%, "Sporting CP or draw" at 75% and "no draw" at 82%.

In short : Our model backs Sporting CP to edge AS Roma (57% probability). In the table, AS Roma (17th, 1 pts) host Sporting CP (7th, 3 pts). The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 85%).

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

25%
AS Roma (Win)
18%
Draw
57%
Sporting CP (Win)

Double chance

43%
AS Roma or draw
75%
Sporting CP or draw
82%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as AS Roma – Sporting CP. 1-2 is the single most likely scoreline (6.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 31% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
AS Roma 1-2 Sporting CP6.8%
AS Roma 2-2 Sporting CP6.4%
AS Roma 1-3 Sporting CP6.4%
AS Roma 2-3 Sporting CP6.0%
AS Roma 1-1 Sporting CP4.9%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 4.68 goals in total (1.88 for AS Roma, 2.80 for Sporting CP): over 2.5 goals has a 85% probability and both teams to score 80%. Everything points to an open game. AS Roma keep a clean sheet in 6% of scenarios, Sporting CP in 15%.

Probability
AS Roma expected goals1.88
Sporting CP expected goals2.80
Both teams to score80%
Over 1.5 goals95%
Over 2.5 goals85%
Over 3.5 goals69%
AS Roma clean sheet6%
Sporting CP clean sheet15%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

AS Roma

DateOpponentScore
Sep 19, 2026Inter · Serie A2-2D
Sep 14, 2026Torino · Serie A2-0W
Sep 10, 2026Fenerbahçe · UEFA Champions League1-1D
Sep 5, 2026Atalanta · Serie A2-1W
Aug 31, 2026Lecce · Serie A4-0W

Sporting CP

DateOpponentScore
Sep 19, 2026Arouca · Primeira Liga2-2D
Sep 13, 2026Famalicao · Primeira Liga1-1D
Sep 9, 2026Galatasaray · UEFA Champions League3-1W
Sep 5, 2026Nacional · Primeira Liga2-0W
Aug 28, 2026Rio Ave · Primeira Liga4-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
AS Roma1711
Sporting CP731

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between AS Roma and Sporting CP: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

AS Roma

  • M. Bah (out)

Sporting CP

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

AS Roma

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • B. Cristante4/5
  • D. Malen4/5
  • G. Mancini4/5
  • M. Svilar4/5
  • P. Dybala4/5
  • E. Lulli3/5
  • M. Hermoso3/5
  • E. Ndicka2/5
  • M. Kone2/5
  • M. Soule2/5
  • Wesley2/5

Sporting CP

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • I. Doumbia5/5
  • G. Catamo4/5
  • G. Inacio4/5
  • L. Suarez4/5
  • M. Araujo4/5
  • R. Silva4/5
  • R. Zalazar4/5
  • S. Altimira4/5
  • Z. Debast4/5
  • F. Goncalves3/5
  • I. Fresneda3/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the AS Roma vs Sporting CP prediction?

Our AI gives AS Roma a 25% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sporting CP 57%. Sporting CP are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for AS Roma vs Sporting CP?

1-2 (6.8%), followed by 2-2 (6.4%), 1-3 (6.4%), 2-3 (6.0%) and 1-1 (4.9%).

Will both teams score in AS Roma vs Sporting CP?

The probability that both AS Roma and Sporting CP score is 80%. AS Roma have a 6% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Sporting CP 15%.

How many goals should we expect in AS Roma vs Sporting CP?

The model expects 4.68 goals (1.88 for AS Roma, 2.80 for Sporting CP). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 95%, over 2.5 goals 85%, over 3.5 goals 69%.

When and where is AS Roma vs Sporting CP played?

Tuesday, December 8, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Stadio Olimpico, Rome.

What form are AS Roma and Sporting CP in?

AS Roma: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 4 conceded). Sporting CP: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 4 conceded).

How is the AS Roma vs Sporting CP prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.88 for AS Roma, 2.80 for Sporting CP) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained