UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Wednesday, December 9, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Borussia Dortmund vs Inter prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Champions League: Borussia Dortmund vs Inter kicks off on Wednesday, December 9, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). Venue: Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund. Our model makes Borussia Dortmund clear favourites: a 81% chance of winning, against 10% for the draw and 9% for Inter. On the correct score, 3-1 comes out on top (6.6%), followed by 4-1 (6.6%) and 5-1 (5.3%).
Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 15 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Inter have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Borussia Dortmund therefore arrive in far better shape than Inter. On average Borussia Dortmund score 3.00 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Inter score 2.40 and concede 1.80. In the table, Borussia Dortmund sit 12th with 3 points from 1 games, Inter 25th with 0 points from 1. 13 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Borussia Dortmund have averaged 2.42 xG (expected goals) per match, against 3.05 for Inter.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Borussia Dortmund, 1 for Inter and 0 draws. The most recent ended Borussia Dortmund 0-2 Inter (Jan 28, 2026). Borussia Dortmund out or doubtful: E. Can, M. Kaba, G. Konstantelias, J. Lerma and F. Mane. Inter: H. Calhanoglu, D. Spence and J. Stones. In double chance terms, "Borussia Dortmund or draw" stands at 91%, "Inter or draw" at 19% and "no draw" at 90%.
In short : Our model backs Borussia Dortmund to edge Inter (81% probability). In the table, Borussia Dortmund (12th, 3 pts) host Inter (25th, 0 pts). The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 91%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Borussia Dortmund – Inter. 3-1 is the single most likely scoreline (6.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 28% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Inter | 6.6% |
| Borussia Dortmund 4-1 Inter | 6.6% |
| Borussia Dortmund 5-1 Inter | 5.3% |
| Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Inter | 4.9% |
| Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Inter | 4.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 4.00 expected goals for Borussia Dortmund and 1.48 for Inter, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 91% and "both teams to score" at 76%. Goals look likely in this one. Borussia Dortmund keep a clean sheet in 23% of scenarios, Inter in 2%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund expected goals | 4.00 |
| Inter expected goals | 1.48 |
| Both teams to score | 76% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 97% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 91% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 80% |
| Borussia Dortmund clean sheet | 23% |
| Inter clean sheet | 2% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Borussia Dortmund
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07 · Bundesliga | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Villarreal · UEFA Champions League | 3-2 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim · Bundesliga | 3-2 | W |
| Sep 1, 2026 | HEBC · DFB-Pokal | 5-0 | W |
Inter
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | AS Roma · Serie A | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Udinese · Serie A | 5-3 | W |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Real Madrid · UEFA Champions League | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Napoli · Serie A | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Cagliari · Serie A | 1-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 12 | 3 | 1 |
| Inter | 25 | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund 0-2 Inter | UEFA Champions League |
Out and doubtful
Borussia Dortmund
- E. Can (out)
- M. Kaba (out)
- G. Konstantelias (out)
- J. Lerma (out)
- F. Mane (out)
Inter
- H. Calhanoglu (out)
- D. Spence (out)
- J. Stones (out)
Most regular starters
Borussia Dortmund
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Svensson5/5
- J. Ryerson5/5
- W. Anton5/5
- F. Nmecha4/5
- G. Kobel4/5
- J. Veerman4/5
- S. Guirassy4/5
- J. Gadou3/5
- M. Beier3/5
- E. Nwaneri2/5
- F. Mane2/5
Inter
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Bastoni4/5
- J. Martinez4/5
- N. Barella4/5
- A. Diouf3/5
- F. Esposito3/5
- L. Martinez3/5
- M. Akanji3/5
- B. Pavard2/5
- Carlos Augusto2/5
- F. Dimarco2/5
- H. Calhanoglu2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Borussia Dortmund vs Inter prediction?
Our AI gives Borussia Dortmund a 81% chance of winning, the draw 10% and Inter 9%. Borussia Dortmund are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Borussia Dortmund vs Inter?
3-1 (6.6%), followed by 4-1 (6.6%), 5-1 (5.3%), 2-1 (4.9%) and 3-2 (4.9%).
Will both teams score in Borussia Dortmund vs Inter?
The probability that both Borussia Dortmund and Inter score is 76%. Borussia Dortmund have a 23% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Inter 2%.
How many goals should we expect in Borussia Dortmund vs Inter?
The model expects 5.48 goals (4.00 for Borussia Dortmund, 1.48 for Inter). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 97%, over 2.5 goals 91%, over 3.5 goals 80%.
When and where is Borussia Dortmund vs Inter played?
Wednesday, December 9, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund.
What form are Borussia Dortmund and Inter in?
Borussia Dortmund: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (15 scored, 4 conceded). Inter: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 9 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Borussia Dortmund and Inter?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Borussia Dortmund, 1 for Inter and 0 draws. The most recent ended Borussia Dortmund 0-2 Inter (Jan 28, 2026).
How is the Borussia Dortmund vs Inter prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (4.00 for Borussia Dortmund, 1.48 for Inter) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Borussia Dortmund predictions
- All Inter predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology