UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Wednesday, December 9, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
PSV Eindhoven vs Atletico Madrid prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Champions League: PSV Eindhoven vs Atletico Madrid kicks off on Wednesday, December 9, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). Venue: Philips Stadion, Eindhoven. With a 74% win probability, PSV Eindhoven go in as strong favourites against Atletico Madrid (12%), with the draw rated at 14%.
Over their last 5 matches, PSV Eindhoven have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 16 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Atletico Madrid have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 6. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average PSV Eindhoven score 3.20 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Atletico Madrid score 2.00 and concede 1.20. In the table, PSV Eindhoven sit 19th with 1 points from 1 games, Atletico Madrid 26th with 0 points from 1. 7 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, PSV Eindhoven have averaged 2.59 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.58 for Atletico Madrid.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for PSV Eindhoven, 1 for Atletico Madrid and 0 draws. The most recent ended PSV Eindhoven 2-3 Atletico Madrid (Dec 9, 2025). PSV Eindhoven out or doubtful: S. Lammers, A. Nagalo, S. Ouaissa, A. Plea, J. Schouten and K. Sildillia. Atletico Madrid: P. Barrios and A. Sorloth. In double chance terms, "PSV Eindhoven or draw" stands at 88%, "Atletico Madrid or draw" at 26% and "no draw" at 86%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Exact score and goal markets 🔒
The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
PSV Eindhoven
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Twente · Eredivisie | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie | 4-1 | W |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk · UEFA Champions League | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Ajax · Eredivisie | 3-1 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Utrecht · Eredivisie | 6-1 | W |
Atletico Madrid
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Madrid · La Liga | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Osasuna · La Liga | 4-0 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Real Sociedad · La Liga | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Liverpool · UEFA Champions League | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Athletic Club · La Liga | 0-3 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven | 19 | 1 | 1 |
| Atletico Madrid | 26 | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | PSV Eindhoven 2-3 Atletico Madrid | UEFA Champions League |
Out and doubtful
PSV Eindhoven
- S. Lammers (out)
- A. Nagalo (out)
- S. Ouaissa (out)
- A. Plea (out)
- J. Schouten (out)
- K. Sildillia (out)
Atletico Madrid
- P. Barrios (out)
- A. Sorloth (out)
Most regular starters
PSV Eindhoven
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Obispo5/5
- G. Til5/5
- K. Sano5/5
- S. Dest5/5
- L. Geertruida4/5
- R. Pepi4/5
- R. van Bommel4/5
- M. Kovar3/5
- Mauro Junior3/5
- P. Wanner3/5
- I. Perisic2/5
Atletico Madrid
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Oblak5/5
- Lee Kang-In5/5
- A. Baena4/5
- C. Romero4/5
- D. Hancko4/5
- G. Simeone4/5
- M. Llorente4/5
- A. Grimaldo3/5
- A. Lookman3/5
- M. Pubill3/5
- J. Cardoso2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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- Slovan Bratislava – Shakhtar DonetskDec 9, 2026
- VfB Stuttgart – LilleDec 9, 2026
- Arsenal – Real MadridDec 9, 2026
- Liverpool – FC PortoDec 9, 2026
- Borussia Dortmund – InterDec 9, 2026
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Frequently asked questions
What is the PSV Eindhoven vs Atletico Madrid prediction?
Our AI gives PSV Eindhoven a 74% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Atletico Madrid 12%. PSV Eindhoven are therefore favourites.
When and where is PSV Eindhoven vs Atletico Madrid played?
Wednesday, December 9, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Philips Stadion, Eindhoven.
What form are PSV Eindhoven and Atletico Madrid in?
PSV Eindhoven: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (16 scored, 7 conceded). Atletico Madrid: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between PSV Eindhoven and Atletico Madrid?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for PSV Eindhoven, 1 for Atletico Madrid and 0 draws. The most recent ended PSV Eindhoven 2-3 Atletico Madrid (Dec 9, 2025).
Go further
- All PSV Eindhoven predictions
- All Atletico Madrid predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology