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UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Tuesday, July 21, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)

Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers: 2-0 result and AI prediction review

Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia2 – 0Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Ararat-Armenia 2-0 Shamrock Rovers. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Ararat-Armenia was the model's favourite outcome (49%). The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (8.8%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.

Match analysis

Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers was played on Tuesday, July 21, 2026 (UEFA Champions League). Venue: Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium, Yerevan. Before kick-off, our model gave Ararat-Armenia a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Shamrock Rovers 26%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.0%), ahead of 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.4%).

Over their last 5 matches, Ararat-Armenia have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Shamrock Rovers have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 15 and conceding 3. Recent momentum is clearly with Shamrock Rovers. On average Ararat-Armenia score 1.80 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Shamrock Rovers score 3.00 and concede 0.60.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Ararat-Armenia and Shamrock Rovers: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Ararat-Armenia or draw" stands at 74%, "Shamrock Rovers or draw" at 51% and "no draw" at 75%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

49%
Ararat-Armenia (Win)
25%
Draw
26%
Shamrock Rovers (Win)

Double chance

74%
Ararat-Armenia or draw
51%
Shamrock Rovers or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Ararat-Armenia – Shamrock Rovers. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Ararat-Armenia 1-1 Shamrock Rovers12.0%
Ararat-Armenia 1-0 Shamrock Rovers11.2%
Ararat-Armenia 2-1 Shamrock Rovers9.4%
Ararat-Armenia 2-0 Shamrock Rovers8.8%
Ararat-Armenia 0-1 Shamrock Rovers7.7%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.63 goals in total (1.56 for Ararat-Armenia, 1.07 for Shamrock Rovers): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. Ararat-Armenia keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, Shamrock Rovers in 21%.

Probability
Ararat-Armenia expected goals1.56
Shamrock Rovers expected goals1.07
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Ararat-Armenia clean sheet34%
Shamrock Rovers clean sheet21%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Ararat-Armenia

DateOpponentScore
Jul 14, 2026Riga · UEFA Champions League2-3L
Jul 7, 2026Riga · UEFA Champions League2-0W
Jun 27, 2026Vojvodina · Club Friendlies1-1D
Jun 20, 2026Mura · Club Friendlies1-1D
Feb 18, 2026HIK · Club Friendlies3-2W

Shamrock Rovers

DateOpponentScore
Jul 14, 2026Floriana · UEFA Champions League5-1W
Jul 7, 2026Floriana · UEFA Champions League0-2L
Jun 30, 2026Hibernian · Club Friendlies1-0W
Jan 24, 2026Treaty United · Club Friendlies3-0W
Jan 24, 2026Longford Town · Club Friendlies6-0W

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Ararat-Armenia and Shamrock Rovers: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Ararat-Armenia

No absences reported.

Shamrock Rovers

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Ararat-Armenia a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Shamrock Rovers 26%. Ararat-Armenia are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers?

1-1 (12.0%), followed by 1-0 (11.2%), 2-1 (9.4%), 2-0 (8.8%) and 0-1 (7.7%).

Will both teams score in Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers?

The probability that both Ararat-Armenia and Shamrock Rovers score is 52%. Ararat-Armenia have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Shamrock Rovers 21%.

How many goals should we expect in Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers?

The model expects 2.63 goals (1.56 for Ararat-Armenia, 1.07 for Shamrock Rovers). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers played?

Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium, Yerevan.

What form are Ararat-Armenia and Shamrock Rovers in?

Ararat-Armenia: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 7 conceded). Shamrock Rovers: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (15 scored, 3 conceded).

What was the Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Ararat-Armenia 2-0 Shamrock Rovers. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Ararat-Armenia was the model's favourite outcome (49%). The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (8.8%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.

How is the Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.56 for Ararat-Armenia, 1.07 for Shamrock Rovers) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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Key terms explained