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UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Tuesday, July 21, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Larne vs FK Crvena Zvezda: 0-4 result and AI prediction review

LarneLarne0 – 4FK Crvena ZvezdaFK Crvena Zvezda

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 0-3

Final score: Larne 0-4 FK Crvena Zvezda. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for FK Crvena Zvezda at 86%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (7.9%), behind 0-3. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (57%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (82%): correct.

Match analysis

Larne and FK Crvena Zvezda met on Tuesday, July 21, 2026, a UEFA Champions League fixture. Venue: Inver Park, Larne. Before kick-off, our model gave Larne a 5% chance of winning, the draw 9% and FK Crvena Zvezda 86%. On the correct score, 0-3 comes out on top (8.8%), followed by 0-4 (7.9%) and 1-3 (7.8%).

Larne are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 6 and conceding 2. Over their last 5 matches, FK Crvena Zvezda have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Larne therefore arrive in far better shape than FK Crvena Zvezda. On average Larne score 1.20 and concede 0.40 goals per game; FK Crvena Zvezda score 1.20 and concede 1.00.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Larne and FK Crvena Zvezda: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Larne or draw" stands at 14%, "FK Crvena Zvezda or draw" at 95% and "no draw" at 91%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

5%
Larne (Win)
9%
Draw
86%
FK Crvena Zvezda (Win)

Double chance

14%
Larne or draw
95%
FK Crvena Zvezda or draw
91%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Larne – FK Crvena Zvezda. 0-3 is the single most likely scoreline (8.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 39% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Larne 0-3 FK Crvena Zvezda8.8%
Larne 0-4 FK Crvena Zvezda7.9%
Larne 1-3 FK Crvena Zvezda7.8%
Larne 0-2 FK Crvena Zvezda7.3%
Larne 1-4 FK Crvena Zvezda7.0%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 0.88 expected goals for Larne and 3.60 for FK Crvena Zvezda, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 82% and "both teams to score" at 57%. Goals look likely in this one. Larne keep a clean sheet in 3% of scenarios, FK Crvena Zvezda in 41%.

Probability
Larne expected goals0.88
FK Crvena Zvezda expected goals3.60
Both teams to score57%
Over 1.5 goals94%
Over 2.5 goals82%
Over 3.5 goals65%
Larne clean sheet3%
FK Crvena Zvezda clean sheet41%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Larne

DateOpponentScore
Jul 14, 2026Tre Fiori · UEFA Champions League2-1W
Jul 7, 2026Tre Fiori · UEFA Champions League1-0W
Jun 29, 2026H&W Welders · Club Friendlies2-1W
Jun 23, 2026GAP Connah S Quay FC · Club Friendlies1-0W
Jun 20, 2026Stranraer · Club Friendlies0-0D

FK Crvena Zvezda

DateOpponentScore
Jul 3, 2026FC BW Linz · Club Friendlies2-2D
Jun 29, 2026Slovan Bratislava · Club Friendlies1-1D
Jun 25, 2026SKU Amstetten · Club Friendlies2-1W
Feb 26, 2026Lille · UEFA Europa League0-1L
Feb 19, 2026Lille · UEFA Europa League1-0W

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Larne and FK Crvena Zvezda: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Larne

No absences reported.

FK Crvena Zvezda

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Larne vs FK Crvena Zvezda prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Larne a 5% chance of winning, the draw 9% and FK Crvena Zvezda 86%. FK Crvena Zvezda are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-4.

What is the most likely correct score for Larne vs FK Crvena Zvezda?

0-3 (8.8%), followed by 0-4 (7.9%), 1-3 (7.8%), 0-2 (7.3%) and 1-4 (7.0%).

Will both teams score in Larne vs FK Crvena Zvezda?

The probability that both Larne and FK Crvena Zvezda score is 57%. Larne have a 3% chance of keeping a clean sheet, FK Crvena Zvezda 41%.

How many goals should we expect in Larne vs FK Crvena Zvezda?

The model expects 4.48 goals (0.88 for Larne, 3.60 for FK Crvena Zvezda). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 94%, over 2.5 goals 82%, over 3.5 goals 65%.

When and where is Larne vs FK Crvena Zvezda played?

Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Inver Park, Larne.

What form are Larne and FK Crvena Zvezda in?

Larne: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 2 conceded). FK Crvena Zvezda: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 5 conceded).

What was the Larne vs FK Crvena Zvezda result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Larne 0-4 FK Crvena Zvezda. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for FK Crvena Zvezda at 86%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (7.9%), behind 0-3. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (57%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (82%): correct.

How is the Larne vs FK Crvena Zvezda prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.88 for Larne, 3.60 for FK Crvena Zvezda) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained