UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Tuesday, July 21, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)
FC Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb: 1-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: FC Thun 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Dinamo Zagreb (48%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (11.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (55%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (53%): missed.
Match analysis
FC Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb was played on Tuesday, July 21, 2026 (UEFA Champions League). Venue: Stockhorn Arena, Thun. Before kick-off, our model gave FC Thun a 28% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dinamo Zagreb 48%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.7%), ahead of 0-1 (10.0%) and 1-2 (9.4%).
FC Thun are unbeaten in their last 4 matches (3 wins, 1 draw), scoring 18 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Dinamo Zagreb have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 20 and conceding 8. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average FC Thun score 4.50 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Dinamo Zagreb score 4.00 and concede 1.60.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between FC Thun and Dinamo Zagreb: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "FC Thun or draw" stands at 53%, "Dinamo Zagreb or draw" at 72% and "no draw" at 75%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as FC Thun – Dinamo Zagreb. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 46% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| FC Thun 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb | 11.7% |
| FC Thun 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb | 10.0% |
| FC Thun 1-2 Dinamo Zagreb | 9.4% |
| FC Thun 0-2 Dinamo Zagreb | 8.0% |
| FC Thun 1-0 Dinamo Zagreb | 7.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.78 goals in total (1.17 for FC Thun, 1.61 for Dinamo Zagreb): over 2.5 goals has a 53% probability and both teams to score 55%. FC Thun keep a clean sheet in 20% of scenarios, Dinamo Zagreb in 31%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| FC Thun expected goals | 1.17 |
| Dinamo Zagreb expected goals | 1.61 |
| Both teams to score | 55% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% |
| FC Thun clean sheet | 20% |
| Dinamo Zagreb clean sheet | 31% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
FC Thun
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | SV Elversberg · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Neuchatel Xamax FC · Club Friendlies | 6-2 | W |
| Jan 14, 2026 | FC WIL 1900 · Club Friendlies | 7-1 | W |
| Jan 7, 2026 | Rapperswil · Club Friendlies | 4-0 | W |
Dinamo Zagreb
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2026 | Koper · Club Friendlies | 4-2 | W |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Brinje-Grosuplje · Club Friendlies | 9-0 | W |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Radomlje · Club Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Genk · UEFA Europa League | 3-3 | D |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Genk · UEFA Europa League | 1-3 | L |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between FC Thun and Dinamo Zagreb: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
FC Thun
No absences reported.
Dinamo Zagreb
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Saburtalo 0-2 Slovan BratislavaJul 21, 2026
- Sabah FA 1-0 KuPSJul 21, 2026
- Mjallby AIF 3-0 Lincoln Red Imps FCJul 21, 2026
- Ararat-Armenia 2-0 Shamrock RoversJul 21, 2026
- Aarhus 1-4 Lech PoznanJul 21, 2026
- Fenerbahçe 1-0 Gornik ZabrzeJul 21, 2026
- Sturm Graz 4-0 Heart Of MidlothianJul 21, 2026
- KI Klaksvik 0-0 Kauno ŽalgirisJul 21, 2026
- Larne 0-4 FK Crvena ZvezdaJul 21, 2026
- Vikingur Reykjavik 2-1 Hapoel Beer ShevaJul 21, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the FC Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave FC Thun a 28% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dinamo Zagreb 48%. Dinamo Zagreb are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.
What is the most likely correct score for FC Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb?
1-1 (11.7%), followed by 0-1 (10.0%), 1-2 (9.4%), 0-2 (8.0%) and 1-0 (7.3%).
Will both teams score in FC Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb?
The probability that both FC Thun and Dinamo Zagreb score is 55%. FC Thun have a 20% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Dinamo Zagreb 31%.
How many goals should we expect in FC Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb?
The model expects 2.78 goals (1.17 for FC Thun, 1.61 for Dinamo Zagreb). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 77%, over 2.5 goals 53%, over 3.5 goals 30%.
When and where is FC Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb played?
Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Stockhorn Arena, Thun.
What form are FC Thun and Dinamo Zagreb in?
FC Thun: 3 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 4 matches (18 scored, 4 conceded). Dinamo Zagreb: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (20 scored, 8 conceded).
What was the FC Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: FC Thun 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Dinamo Zagreb (48%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (11.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (55%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (53%): missed.
How is the FC Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.17 for FC Thun, 1.61 for Dinamo Zagreb) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All FC Thun predictions
- All Dinamo Zagreb predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology