UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Tuesday, July 21, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)
Fenerbahçe vs Gornik Zabrze: 1-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Fenerbahçe 1-0 Gornik Zabrze. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Fenerbahçe at 82%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.4%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (47%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (57%): missed.
Match analysis
Fenerbahçe and Gornik Zabrze met on Tuesday, July 21, 2026, a UEFA Champions League fixture. Venue: Chobani Stadium, Istanbul. Before kick-off, our model gave Fenerbahçe a 82% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Gornik Zabrze 6%. On the correct score, 2-0 comes out on top (12.5%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.5%).
Fenerbahçe are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 17 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Gornik Zabrze have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 3. Fenerbahçe therefore arrive in far better shape than Gornik Zabrze. On average Fenerbahçe score 3.40 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Gornik Zabrze score 1.60 and concede 0.60.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Fenerbahçe and Gornik Zabrze: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Fenerbahçe or draw" stands at 94%, "Gornik Zabrze or draw" at 18% and "no draw" at 88%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Fenerbahçe – Gornik Zabrze. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (12.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Fenerbahçe 2-0 Gornik Zabrze | 12.5% |
| Fenerbahçe 1-0 Gornik Zabrze | 11.4% |
| Fenerbahçe 2-1 Gornik Zabrze | 9.5% |
| Fenerbahçe 3-0 Gornik Zabrze | 9.2% |
| Fenerbahçe 1-1 Gornik Zabrze | 8.7% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.20 expected goals for Fenerbahçe and 0.76 for Gornik Zabrze, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 57% and "both teams to score" at 47%. Fenerbahçe keep a clean sheet in 47% of scenarios, Gornik Zabrze in 11%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Fenerbahçe expected goals | 2.20 |
| Gornik Zabrze expected goals | 0.76 |
| Both teams to score | 47% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% |
| Fenerbahçe clean sheet | 47% |
| Gornik Zabrze clean sheet | 11% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Fenerbahçe
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2026 | Lask Linz · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin · Club Friendlies | 4-0 | W |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Admira Wacker · Club Friendlies | 5-0 | W |
| May 17, 2026 | Eyüpspor · Süper Lig | 3-3 | D |
| May 9, 2026 | Konyaspor · Süper Lig | 3-0 | W |
Gornik Zabrze
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2026 | FC Nordsjaelland · Club Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| Jul 4, 2026 | WSG Wattens · Club Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Hallescher FC · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice · Club Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Fenerbahçe and Gornik Zabrze: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Fenerbahçe
No absences reported.
Gornik Zabrze
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Saburtalo 0-2 Slovan BratislavaJul 21, 2026
- Sabah FA 1-0 KuPSJul 21, 2026
- Mjallby AIF 3-0 Lincoln Red Imps FCJul 21, 2026
- Ararat-Armenia 2-0 Shamrock RoversJul 21, 2026
- Aarhus 1-4 Lech PoznanJul 21, 2026
- FC Thun 1-1 Dinamo ZagrebJul 21, 2026
- Sturm Graz 4-0 Heart Of MidlothianJul 21, 2026
- KI Klaksvik 0-0 Kauno ŽalgirisJul 21, 2026
- Larne 0-4 FK Crvena ZvezdaJul 21, 2026
- Vikingur Reykjavik 2-1 Hapoel Beer ShevaJul 21, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Fenerbahçe vs Gornik Zabrze prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Fenerbahçe a 82% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Gornik Zabrze 6%. Fenerbahçe are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Fenerbahçe vs Gornik Zabrze?
2-0 (12.5%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%), 2-1 (9.5%), 3-0 (9.2%) and 1-1 (8.7%).
Will both teams score in Fenerbahçe vs Gornik Zabrze?
The probability that both Fenerbahçe and Gornik Zabrze score is 47%. Fenerbahçe have a 47% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Gornik Zabrze 11%.
How many goals should we expect in Fenerbahçe vs Gornik Zabrze?
The model expects 2.96 goals (2.20 for Fenerbahçe, 0.76 for Gornik Zabrze). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 80%, over 2.5 goals 57%, over 3.5 goals 34%.
When and where is Fenerbahçe vs Gornik Zabrze played?
Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Chobani Stadium, Istanbul.
What form are Fenerbahçe and Gornik Zabrze in?
Fenerbahçe: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (17 scored, 4 conceded). Gornik Zabrze: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 3 conceded).
What was the Fenerbahçe vs Gornik Zabrze result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Fenerbahçe 1-0 Gornik Zabrze. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Fenerbahçe at 82%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.4%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (47%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (57%): missed.
How is the Fenerbahçe vs Gornik Zabrze prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.20 for Fenerbahçe, 0.76 for Gornik Zabrze) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Fenerbahçe predictions
- All Gornik Zabrze predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology