UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Wednesday, November 25, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Atletico Madrid vs Viking prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Champions League: Atletico Madrid vs Viking kicks off on Wednesday, November 25, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). Venue: Metropolitano Stadium, Madrid. Our model makes Atletico Madrid clear favourites: a 73% chance of winning, against 17% for the draw and 10% for Viking. On the correct score, 2-0 comes out on top (12.2%), followed by 1-0 (10.3%) and 3-0 (9.6%).
Over their last 5 matches, Atletico Madrid have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Viking have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 16 and conceding 6. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Atletico Madrid score 2.00 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Viking score 3.20 and concede 1.20. In the table, Atletico Madrid sit 26th with 0 points from 1 games, Viking 29th with 0 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Atletico Madrid and Viking: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Atletico Madrid out or doubtful: P. Barrios and A. Sorloth. In double chance terms, "Atletico Madrid or draw" stands at 90%, "Viking or draw" at 27% and "no draw" at 83%.
In short : Our model backs Atletico Madrid to edge Viking (73% probability). In the table, Atletico Madrid (26th, 0 pts) host Viking (29th, 0 pts). The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 61%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Atletico Madrid – Viking. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (12.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid 2-0 Viking | 12.2% |
| Atletico Madrid 1-0 Viking | 10.3% |
| Atletico Madrid 3-0 Viking | 9.6% |
| Atletico Madrid 2-1 Viking | 9.4% |
| Atletico Madrid 1-1 Viking | 7.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.36 expected goals for Atletico Madrid and 0.77 for Viking, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 61% and "both teams to score" at 49%. Goals look likely in this one. Atletico Madrid keep a clean sheet in 46% of scenarios, Viking in 9%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid expected goals | 2.36 |
| Viking expected goals | 0.77 |
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% |
| Atletico Madrid clean sheet | 46% |
| Viking clean sheet | 9% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Atletico Madrid
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Madrid · La Liga | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Osasuna · La Liga | 4-0 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Real Sociedad · La Liga | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Liverpool · UEFA Champions League | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Athletic Club · La Liga | 0-3 | L |
Viking
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lillestrom · Eliteserien | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Kristiansund BK · Eliteserien | 8-1 | W |
| Sep 9, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart · UEFA Champions League | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Sandefjord · Eliteserien | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Brodd · NM Cupen | 3-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 26 | 0 | 1 |
| Viking | 29 | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Atletico Madrid and Viking: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Atletico Madrid
- P. Barrios (out)
- A. Sorloth (out)
Viking
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Atletico Madrid
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Oblak5/5
- Lee Kang-In5/5
- A. Baena4/5
- C. Romero4/5
- D. Hancko4/5
- G. Simeone4/5
- M. Llorente4/5
- A. Grimaldo3/5
- A. Lookman3/5
- M. Pubill3/5
- J. Cardoso2/5
Viking
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- G. Stensness4/4
- H. Heggheim4/4
- J. Bell4/4
- K. Askildsen4/4
- P. Christiansen4/4
- A. Ostbo3/4
- K. Haugen3/4
- Z. Tripic3/4
- E. Botheim2/4
- H. Bjordal2/4
- H. Falchener2/4
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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- Real Madrid – PSV EindhovenNov 24, 2026
- Manchester City – NapoliNov 24, 2026
- Slavia Praha – VillarrealNov 25, 2026
- Sabah FA – BarcelonaNov 25, 2026
- Shakhtar Donetsk – FenerbahçeNov 25, 2026
- Club Brugge KV – LiverpoolNov 25, 2026
- Lille – Bayern MünchenNov 25, 2026
- Paris Saint Germain – AS RomaNov 25, 2026
- Sporting CP – Manchester UnitedNov 25, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Atletico Madrid vs Viking prediction?
Our AI gives Atletico Madrid a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Viking 10%. Atletico Madrid are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Atletico Madrid vs Viking?
2-0 (12.2%), followed by 1-0 (10.3%), 3-0 (9.6%), 2-1 (9.4%) and 1-1 (7.9%).
Will both teams score in Atletico Madrid vs Viking?
The probability that both Atletico Madrid and Viking score is 49%. Atletico Madrid have a 46% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Viking 9%.
How many goals should we expect in Atletico Madrid vs Viking?
The model expects 3.13 goals (2.36 for Atletico Madrid, 0.77 for Viking). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 82%, over 2.5 goals 61%, over 3.5 goals 38%.
When and where is Atletico Madrid vs Viking played?
Wednesday, November 25, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Metropolitano Stadium, Madrid.
What form are Atletico Madrid and Viking in?
Atletico Madrid: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 6 conceded). Viking: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (16 scored, 6 conceded).
How is the Atletico Madrid vs Viking prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.36 for Atletico Madrid, 0.77 for Viking) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Atletico Madrid predictions
- All Viking predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology