UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Wednesday, November 25, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Lille vs Bayern München prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Champions League: Lille vs Bayern München kicks off on Wednesday, November 25, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). Venue: Stade Pierre-Mauroy. With a 90% win probability, Bayern München go in as strong favourites against Lille (3%), with the draw rated at 7%. The most likely correct score is 0-3 (8.9%), ahead of 0-4 (8.8%) and 1-3 (7.1%).
Over their last 5 matches, Lille have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Bayern München are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 18 and conceding 2. Recent momentum is clearly with Bayern München. On average Lille score 1.60 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Bayern München score 3.60 and concede 0.40. In the table, Lille sit 22nd with 0 points from 1 games, Bayern München 2nd with 3 points from 1. 20 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Lille have averaged 1.33 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.38 for Bayern München.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Lille and Bayern München: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Lille out or doubtful: H. Igamane and T. Nianzou. Bayern München: T. Buchmann. In double chance terms, "Lille or draw" stands at 10%, "Bayern München or draw" at 97% and "no draw" at 93%.
In short : Bayern München are tipped by our AI model in this Lille v Bayern München (90%). In the table, Lille (22nd, 0 pts) host Bayern München (2nd, 3 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-3.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Lille – Bayern München. 0-3 is the single most likely scoreline (8.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 39% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Lille 0-3 Bayern München | 8.9% |
| Lille 0-4 Bayern München | 8.8% |
| Lille 1-3 Bayern München | 7.1% |
| Lille 1-4 Bayern München | 7.0% |
| Lille 0-5 Bayern München | 7.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 4.76 goals in total (0.80 for Lille, 3.96 for Bayern München): over 2.5 goals has a 85% probability and both teams to score 54%. Everything points to an open game. Lille keep a clean sheet in 2% of scenarios, Bayern München in 45%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Lille expected goals | 0.80 |
| Bayern München expected goals | 3.96 |
| Both teams to score | 54% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 95% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 85% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 70% |
| Lille clean sheet | 2% |
| Bayern München clean sheet | 45% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Lille
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Nice · Ligue 1 | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Estac Troyes · Ligue 1 | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Real Betis · UEFA Champions League | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Toulouse · Ligue 1 | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain · Ligue 1 | 2-2 | D |
Bayern München
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Union Berlin · Bundesliga | 7-0 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | SV Elversberg · Bundesliga | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt · UEFA Champions League | 5-0 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | FC Schalke 04 · Bundesliga | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 2, 2026 | VfL Osnabrück · DFB-Pokal | 4-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 22 | 0 | 1 |
| Bayern München | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Lille and Bayern München: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Lille
- H. Igamane (out)
- T. Nianzou (out)
Bayern München
- T. Buchmann (out)
Most regular starters
Lille
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Alexsandro Ribeiro4/5
- Tiago Santos4/5
- Berke Özer3/5
- Hakon Arnar Haraldsson3/5
- Nabil Bentaleb3/5
- Nathan Ngoy3/5
- A. Ueda2/5
- Benjamin André2/5
- Ethan Mbappé2/5
- H. Haraldsson2/5
- N. Bentaleb2/5
Bayern München
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Upamecano4/5
- H. Kane4/5
- J. Kimmich4/5
- J. Tah4/5
- M. Olise4/5
- A. Davies3/5
- I. Saibari3/5
- M. Neuer3/5
- N. Brown3/5
- A. Pavlovic2/5
- A. Pavlović2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Lille vs Bayern München prediction?
Our AI gives Lille a 3% chance of winning, the draw 7% and Bayern München 90%. Bayern München are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Lille vs Bayern München?
0-3 (8.9%), followed by 0-4 (8.8%), 1-3 (7.1%), 1-4 (7.0%) and 0-5 (7.0%).
Will both teams score in Lille vs Bayern München?
The probability that both Lille and Bayern München score is 54%. Lille have a 2% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Bayern München 45%.
How many goals should we expect in Lille vs Bayern München?
The model expects 4.76 goals (0.80 for Lille, 3.96 for Bayern München). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 95%, over 2.5 goals 85%, over 3.5 goals 70%.
When and where is Lille vs Bayern München played?
Wednesday, November 25, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Stade Pierre-Mauroy.
What form are Lille and Bayern München in?
Lille: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 7 conceded). Bayern München: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (18 scored, 2 conceded).
How is the Lille vs Bayern München prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.80 for Lille, 3.96 for Bayern München) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Lille predictions
- All Bayern München predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology