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UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Wednesday, November 25, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahçe prediction: correct score and AI tips

Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk–FenerbahçeFenerbahçe

Match analysis

UEFA Champions League: the Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahçe match is scheduled on Wednesday, November 25, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). Venue: Stamford Bridge, London. Nothing is settled in advance: the AI gives Shakhtar Donetsk 37%, Fenerbahçe 37% and the draw 26%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.4%), ahead of 1-0 (9.3%) and 0-1 (9.3%).

Over their last 5 matches, Shakhtar Donetsk have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Fenerbahçe have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 4. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Shakhtar Donetsk score 1.60 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Fenerbahçe score 1.20 and concede 0.80. In the table, Shakhtar Donetsk sit 18th with 1 points from 1 games, Fenerbahçe 20th with 1 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Shakhtar Donetsk and Fenerbahçe: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Fenerbahçe: M. Muldur and J. Oosterwolde. In double chance terms, "Shakhtar Donetsk or draw" stands at 63%, "Fenerbahçe or draw" at 63% and "no draw" at 74%.

In short : Shakhtar Donetsk host Fenerbahçe in a tight contest where a draw stays on the table (26%). On recent form, Shakhtar Donetsk have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while Fenerbahçe have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

37%
Shakhtar Donetsk (Win)
26%
Draw
37%
Fenerbahçe (Win)

Double chance

63%
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw
63%
Fenerbahçe or draw
74%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Shakhtar Donetsk – Fenerbahçe. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 47% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Shakhtar Donetsk 1-1 Fenerbahçe12.4%
Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 Fenerbahçe9.3%
Shakhtar Donetsk 0-1 Fenerbahçe9.3%
Shakhtar Donetsk 2-1 Fenerbahçe8.2%
Shakhtar Donetsk 1-2 Fenerbahçe8.2%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.66 goals in total (1.33 for Shakhtar Donetsk, 1.33 for Fenerbahçe): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 54%. Shakhtar Donetsk keep a clean sheet in 26% of scenarios, Fenerbahçe in 26%.

Probability
Shakhtar Donetsk expected goals1.33
Fenerbahçe expected goals1.33
Both teams to score54%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Shakhtar Donetsk clean sheet26%
Fenerbahçe clean sheet26%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Shakhtar Donetsk

DateOpponentScore
Sep 17, 2026Vilkhivtsi · Cup3-0W
Sep 14, 2026Chornomorets · Premier League2-0W
Sep 10, 2026PSV Eindhoven · UEFA Champions League1-1D
Sep 5, 2026Karpaty · Premier League2-1W
Aug 29, 2026Polessya · Premier League0-2L

Fenerbahçe

DateOpponentScore
Sep 14, 2026Gaziantep FK · Süper Lig0-0D
Sep 10, 2026AS Roma · UEFA Champions League1-1D
Sep 5, 2026Beşiktaş · Süper Lig1-2L
Aug 30, 2026Samsunspor · Süper Lig2-0W
Aug 26, 2026Lyon · UEFA Champions League2-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Shakhtar Donetsk1811
Fenerbahçe2011

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Shakhtar Donetsk and Fenerbahçe: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Shakhtar Donetsk

No absences reported.

Fenerbahçe

  • M. Muldur (out)
  • J. Oosterwolde (out)

Most regular starters

Shakhtar Donetsk

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • D. Riznyk4/4
  • O. Ocheretko4/4
  • M. Matvienko3/4
  • Newerton3/4
  • Pedro Henrique3/4
  • V. Bondar3/4
  • A. Ghram2/4
  • G. Mendoza2/4
  • Luca Meirelles2/4
  • Marlon Gomes2/4
  • O. Karavaev2/4

Fenerbahçe

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Brown4/4
  • Ederson4/4
  • M. Greenwood4/4
  • V. Muriqi4/4
  • M. Guendouzi3/4
  • M. Skriniar3/4
  • N. Ake3/4
  • N. Kante3/4
  • N. Semedo3/4
  • O. Aydin3/4
  • I. Kahveci2/4

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahçe prediction?

Our AI gives Shakhtar Donetsk a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Fenerbahçe 37%. Shakhtar Donetsk are therefore slight favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahçe?

1-1 (12.4%), followed by 1-0 (9.3%), 0-1 (9.3%), 2-1 (8.2%) and 1-2 (8.2%).

Will both teams score in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahçe?

The probability that both Shakhtar Donetsk and Fenerbahçe score is 54%. Shakhtar Donetsk have a 26% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Fenerbahçe 26%.

How many goals should we expect in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahçe?

The model expects 2.66 goals (1.33 for Shakhtar Donetsk, 1.33 for Fenerbahçe). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahçe played?

Wednesday, November 25, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Stamford Bridge, London.

What form are Shakhtar Donetsk and Fenerbahçe in?

Shakhtar Donetsk: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 4 conceded). Fenerbahçe: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 4 conceded).

How is the Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahçe prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.33 for Shakhtar Donetsk, 1.33 for Fenerbahçe) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained