UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Wednesday, November 25, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Sporting CP vs Manchester United prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Champions League: the Sporting CP vs Manchester United match is scheduled on Wednesday, November 25, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). With a 69% win probability, Sporting CP go in as strong favourites against Manchester United (14%), with the draw rated at 17%. The most likely correct score is 2-0 (9.8%), ahead of 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.1%).
Sporting CP are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 12 and conceding 4. Manchester United have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 9 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with Sporting CP. On average Sporting CP score 2.40 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Manchester United score 1.80 and concede 1.40. In the table, Sporting CP sit 7th with 3 points from 1 games, Manchester United 4th with 3 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Sporting CP have averaged 2.14 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.10 for Manchester United.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Sporting CP and Manchester United: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Manchester United: A. Diallo, T. Heaton, B. Sesko, M. Ugarte and M. de Ligt. In double chance terms, "Sporting CP or draw" stands at 86%, "Manchester United or draw" at 31% and "no draw" at 83%.
In short : Sporting CP are tipped by our AI model in this Sporting CP v Manchester United (69%). In the table, Sporting CP (7th, 3 pts) host Manchester United (4th, 3 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Sporting CP – Manchester United. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (9.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 43% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Sporting CP 2-0 Manchester United | 9.8% |
| Sporting CP 2-1 Manchester United | 9.6% |
| Sporting CP 1-0 Manchester United | 8.1% |
| Sporting CP 1-1 Manchester United | 8.0% |
| Sporting CP 3-0 Manchester United | 7.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 3.39 goals in total (2.41 for Sporting CP, 0.98 for Manchester United): over 2.5 goals has a 66% probability and both teams to score 57%. Everything points to an open game. Sporting CP keep a clean sheet in 38% of scenarios, Manchester United in 9%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Sporting CP expected goals | 2.41 |
| Manchester United expected goals | 0.98 |
| Both teams to score | 57% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44% |
| Sporting CP clean sheet | 38% |
| Manchester United clean sheet | 9% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Sporting CP
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arouca · Primeira Liga | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Famalicao · Primeira Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Galatasaray · UEFA Champions League | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nacional · Primeira Liga | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Rio Ave · Primeira Liga | 4-0 | W |
Manchester United
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fulham · Premier League | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Brighton · EFL Cup | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Manchester City · Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sabah FA · UEFA Champions League | 4-0 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Everton · Premier League | 2-2 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP | 7 | 3 | 1 |
| Manchester United | 4 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Sporting CP and Manchester United: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Sporting CP
No absences reported.
Manchester United
- A. Diallo (out)
- T. Heaton (out)
- B. Sesko (out)
- M. Ugarte (out)
- M. de Ligt (out)
Most regular starters
Sporting CP
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- I. Doumbia5/5
- G. Catamo4/5
- G. Inacio4/5
- L. Suarez4/5
- M. Araujo4/5
- R. Silva4/5
- R. Zalazar4/5
- S. Altimira4/5
- Z. Debast4/5
- F. Goncalves3/5
- I. Fresneda3/5
Manchester United
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Y. Tielemans5/5
- B. Mbeumo4/5
- K. Mainoo4/5
- M. Rashford4/5
- S. Lammens4/5
- H. Maguire3/5
- B. Fernandes2/5
- B. Šeško2/5
- Bruno Fernandes2/5
- D. Dalot2/5
- Diogo Dalot2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Sporting CP vs Manchester United prediction?
Our AI gives Sporting CP a 69% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Manchester United 14%. Sporting CP are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Sporting CP vs Manchester United?
2-0 (9.8%), followed by 2-1 (9.6%), 1-0 (8.1%), 1-1 (8.0%) and 3-0 (7.9%).
Will both teams score in Sporting CP vs Manchester United?
The probability that both Sporting CP and Manchester United score is 57%. Sporting CP have a 38% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Manchester United 9%.
How many goals should we expect in Sporting CP vs Manchester United?
The model expects 3.39 goals (2.41 for Sporting CP, 0.98 for Manchester United). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 85%, over 2.5 goals 66%, over 3.5 goals 44%.
When and where is Sporting CP vs Manchester United played?
Wednesday, November 25, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League.
What form are Sporting CP and Manchester United in?
Sporting CP: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 4 conceded). Manchester United: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 7 conceded).
How is the Sporting CP vs Manchester United prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.41 for Sporting CP, 0.98 for Manchester United) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Sporting CP predictions
- All Manchester United predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology