UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 17:45 (UK time)
Lens vs Sporting CP: 0-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Lens 0-2 Sporting CP. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Lens (38%), while victory for Sporting CP was rated at only 35%. The final score ranked 8th among the most likely scorelines (6.0%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.
Match analysis
Lens vs Sporting CP was played on Tuesday, October 13, 2026 (UEFA Champions League). Venue: Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens. Before kick-off, our model gave Lens a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sporting CP 35%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.5%), ahead of 1-0 (9.9%) and 0-1 (9.4%).
Over their last 5 matches, Lens have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Sporting CP are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 11 and conceding 5. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Lens score 2.00 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Sporting CP score 2.20 and concede 1.00. In the table, Lens sit 10th with 3 points from 1 games, Sporting CP 7th with 3 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Lens have averaged 1.48 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.90 for Sporting CP.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Lens and Sporting CP: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Lens out or doubtful: J. Chavez, T. Hazard, M. Nawrocki, A. Sima, J. Todibo, M. Diarra, J. Gradit and I. Jourdren. Sporting CP: Z. Debast, N. Santos and R. Zalazar. In double chance terms, "Lens or draw" stands at 65%, "Sporting CP or draw" at 62% and "no draw" at 74%.
In short : Lens and Sporting CP meet in a wide-open clash with no clear favourite (draw at 26%). On recent form, Lens have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while Sporting CP have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in 5. One to watch: Lens will be without J. Chavez and T. Hazard.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Lens – Sporting CP. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Lens 1-1 Sporting CP | 12.5% |
| Lens 1-0 Sporting CP | 9.9% |
| Lens 0-1 Sporting CP | 9.4% |
| Lens 2-1 Sporting CP | 8.3% |
| Lens 1-2 Sporting CP | 8.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.60 goals in total (1.33 for Lens, 1.27 for Sporting CP): over 2.5 goals has a 48% probability and both teams to score 53%. Lens keep a clean sheet in 28% of scenarios, Sporting CP in 26%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Lens expected goals | 1.33 |
| Sporting CP expected goals | 1.27 |
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Lens clean sheet | 28% |
| Sporting CP clean sheet | 26% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Lens
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Lyon · Ligue 1 | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Standard Liege · Club Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Monaco · Ligue 1 | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Le Mans · Ligue 1 | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Slavia Praha · UEFA Champions League | 3-2 | W |
Sporting CP
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | SC Braga · Primeira Liga | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arouca · Primeira Liga | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Famalicao · Primeira Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Galatasaray · UEFA Champions League | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nacional · Primeira Liga | 2-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lens | 10 | 3 | 1 |
| Sporting CP | 7 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Lens and Sporting CP: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Lens
- J. Chavez (out)
- T. Hazard (out)
- M. Nawrocki (out)
- A. Sima (out)
- J. Todibo (out)
- M. Diarra (out)
- J. Gradit (out)
- I. Jourdren (out)
Sporting CP
- Z. Debast (out)
- N. Santos (out)
- R. Zalazar (out)
Most regular starters
Lens
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- F. Thauvin4/4
- K. Antonio4/4
- M. Udol4/4
- R. Risser4/4
- A. Sima3/4
- M. Cuisance3/4
- R. Aguilar3/4
- A. Haidara2/4
- I. Ganiou2/4
- J. Gradit2/4
- A. Bulatovic1/4
Sporting CP
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- I. Doumbia5/5
- G. Catamo4/5
- G. Inacio4/5
- L. Suarez4/5
- M. Araujo4/5
- R. Silva4/5
- S. Altimira4/5
- I. Fresneda3/5
- R. Zalazar3/5
- Z. Debast3/5
- F. Goncalves2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Sabah FA 2-0 Slavia PrahaOct 13, 2026
- Galatasaray 1-4 BarcelonaOct 13, 2026
- Inter 3-4 Club Brugge KVOct 13, 2026
- Arsenal 3-0 LilleOct 13, 2026
- RB Leipzig 1-0 PSV EindhovenOct 13, 2026
- Villarreal 3-1 NapoliOct 13, 2026
- Atletico Madrid 2-0 Manchester UnitedOct 13, 2026
- Viking 3-3 Bayern MünchenOct 13, 2026
- Feyenoord 3-2 ComoOct 14, 2026
- Lask Linz 3-6 LiverpoolOct 14, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Lens vs Sporting CP prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Lens a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sporting CP 35%. Lens are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 0-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Lens vs Sporting CP?
1-1 (12.5%), followed by 1-0 (9.9%), 0-1 (9.4%), 2-1 (8.3%) and 1-2 (8.0%).
Will both teams score in Lens vs Sporting CP?
The probability that both Lens and Sporting CP score is 53%. Lens have a 28% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Sporting CP 26%.
How many goals should we expect in Lens vs Sporting CP?
The model expects 2.60 goals (1.33 for Lens, 1.27 for Sporting CP). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.
When and where is Lens vs Sporting CP played?
Tuesday, October 13, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens.
What form are Lens and Sporting CP in?
Lens: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 7 conceded). Sporting CP: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 5 conceded).
What was the Lens vs Sporting CP result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Lens 0-2 Sporting CP. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Lens (38%), while victory for Sporting CP was rated at only 35%. The final score ranked 8th among the most likely scorelines (6.0%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.
How is the Lens vs Sporting CP prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.33 for Lens, 1.27 for Sporting CP) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Lens predictions
- All Sporting CP predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology