UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Viking vs Bayern München: 3-3 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Viking 3-3 Bayern München. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Bayern München (86%), while a draw was rated at only 9%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.0%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (57%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (82%): correct.
Match analysis
Viking vs Bayern München was played on Tuesday, October 13, 2026 (UEFA Champions League). Venue: SR-Bank Arena, Stavanger. Before kick-off, our model gave Viking a 5% chance of winning, the draw 9% and Bayern München 86%. The most likely correct score is 0-3 (8.8%), ahead of 0-4 (7.9%) and 1-3 (7.8%).
Over their last 5 matches, Viking have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 17 and conceding 4. Bayern München are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 16 and conceding 3. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Viking score 3.40 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Bayern München score 3.20 and concede 0.60. In the table, Viking sit 29th with 0 points from 1 games, Bayern München 2nd with 3 points from 1. 27 places separate the two sides.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Viking and Bayern München: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Viking out or doubtful: A. Baertelsen, V. Berisha, S. Bjorshol, N. D'Agostino, K. Frimpong and M. Roseth. Bayern München: T. Buchmann and J. Musiala. In double chance terms, "Viking or draw" stands at 14%, "Bayern München or draw" at 95% and "no draw" at 91%.
In short : Bayern München are favourites for this Viking v Bayern München, with a 86% win probability from our model. In the table, Viking (29th, 0 pts) host Bayern München (2nd, 3 pts). One to watch: Viking will be without A. Baertelsen and V. Berisha.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Viking – Bayern München. 0-3 is the single most likely scoreline (8.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 39% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Viking 0-3 Bayern München | 8.8% |
| Viking 0-4 Bayern München | 7.9% |
| Viking 1-3 Bayern München | 7.8% |
| Viking 0-2 Bayern München | 7.3% |
| Viking 1-4 Bayern München | 7.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 4.48 goals in total (0.88 for Viking, 3.60 for Bayern München): over 2.5 goals has a 82% probability and both teams to score 57%. Everything points to an open game. Viking keep a clean sheet in 3% of scenarios, Bayern München in 41%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Viking expected goals | 0.88 |
| Bayern München expected goals | 3.60 |
| Both teams to score | 57% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 94% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 82% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 65% |
| Viking clean sheet | 3% |
| Bayern München clean sheet | 41% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Viking
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Brann · Eliteserien | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Madla · NM Cupen | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lillestrom · Eliteserien | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Kristiansund BK · Eliteserien | 8-1 | W |
| Sep 9, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart · UEFA Champions League | 1-3 | L |
Bayern München
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Augsburg · Bundesliga | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Union Berlin · Bundesliga | 7-0 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | SV Elversberg · Bundesliga | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt · UEFA Champions League | 5-0 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | FC Schalke 04 · Bundesliga | 0-0 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Viking | 29 | 0 | 1 |
| Bayern München | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Viking and Bayern München: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Viking
- A. Baertelsen (out)
- V. Berisha (out)
- S. Bjorshol (out)
- N. D'Agostino (out)
- K. Frimpong (out)
- M. Roseth (out)
Bayern München
- T. Buchmann (out)
- J. Musiala (out)
Most regular starters
Viking
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- G. Stensness4/4
- H. Heggheim4/4
- J. Bell4/4
- K. Askildsen4/4
- K. Haugen4/4
- P. Christiansen4/4
- A. Ostbo3/4
- E. Botheim3/4
- H. Bjordal3/4
- H. Falchener3/4
- Z. Tripic3/4
Bayern München
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Upamecano5/5
- A. Davies4/5
- H. Kane4/5
- J. Kimmich4/5
- J. Tah4/5
- M. Neuer4/5
- M. Olise4/5
- A. Pavlovic3/5
- I. Saibari3/5
- A. Pavlović2/5
- J. Musiala2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Sabah FA 2-0 Slavia PrahaOct 13, 2026
- Lens 0-2 Sporting CPOct 13, 2026
- Galatasaray 1-4 BarcelonaOct 13, 2026
- Inter 3-4 Club Brugge KVOct 13, 2026
- Arsenal 3-0 LilleOct 13, 2026
- RB Leipzig 1-0 PSV EindhovenOct 13, 2026
- Villarreal 3-1 NapoliOct 13, 2026
- Atletico Madrid 2-0 Manchester UnitedOct 13, 2026
- Feyenoord 3-2 ComoOct 14, 2026
- Lask Linz 3-6 LiverpoolOct 14, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Viking vs Bayern München prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Viking a 5% chance of winning, the draw 9% and Bayern München 86%. Bayern München are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-3.
What is the most likely correct score for Viking vs Bayern München?
0-3 (8.8%), followed by 0-4 (7.9%), 1-3 (7.8%), 0-2 (7.3%) and 1-4 (7.0%).
Will both teams score in Viking vs Bayern München?
The probability that both Viking and Bayern München score is 57%. Viking have a 3% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Bayern München 41%.
How many goals should we expect in Viking vs Bayern München?
The model expects 4.48 goals (0.88 for Viking, 3.60 for Bayern München). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 94%, over 2.5 goals 82%, over 3.5 goals 65%.
When and where is Viking vs Bayern München played?
Tuesday, October 13, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: SR-Bank Arena, Stavanger.
What form are Viking and Bayern München in?
Viking: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (17 scored, 4 conceded). Bayern München: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (16 scored, 3 conceded).
What was the Viking vs Bayern München result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Viking 3-3 Bayern München. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Bayern München (86%), while a draw was rated at only 9%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.0%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (57%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (82%): correct.
How is the Viking vs Bayern München prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.88 for Viking, 3.60 for Bayern München) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Viking predictions
- All Bayern München predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology