Championship· Kick-off : Saturday, November 7, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)
Charlton vs Sheffield Utd: 2-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Charlton 2-1 Sheffield Utd. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Sheffield Utd (70%), while victory for Charlton was rated at only 12%. The model considered this score unlikely (3.6%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (63%): correct.
Match analysis
Charlton and Sheffield Utd met on Saturday, November 7, 2026, a Championship, matchday 15 fixture. Venue: The Valley, London. Before kick-off, our model gave Charlton a 12% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sheffield Utd 70%. On the correct score, 0-2 comes out on top (10.8%), followed by 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (9.2%).
Charlton have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 11. Over their last 5 matches, Sheffield Utd have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Sheffield Utd therefore arrive in far better shape than Charlton. On average Charlton score 0.60 and concede 2.20 goals per game; Sheffield Utd score 1.60 and concede 1.20. In the table, Charlton sit 21st with 14 points from 14 games, Sheffield Utd 9th with 22 points from 14. 12 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Charlton have averaged 1.09 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.91 for Sheffield Utd.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Charlton, 0 for Sheffield Utd and 0 draws. The most recent ended Charlton 1-0 Sheffield Utd (Jan 17, 2026). Charlton out or doubtful: R. Apter, C. Sichenje and M. Godden (doubtful). Sheffield Utd: M. Doherty, L. Kitching (suspended), R. One, J. Shackleton, P. Bamford (doubtful), A. Davies (doubtful), K. Phillips (doubtful) and J. Rothwell (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Charlton or draw" stands at 30%, "Sheffield Utd or draw" at 88% and "no draw" at 82%.
In short : Sheffield Utd are tipped by our AI model in this Charlton v Sheffield Utd (70%). In the table, Charlton (21st, 14 pts) host Sheffield Utd (9th, 22 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-2.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Charlton – Sheffield Utd. 0-2 is the single most likely scoreline (10.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 46% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Charlton 0-2 Sheffield Utd | 10.8% |
| Charlton 1-2 Sheffield Utd | 9.6% |
| Charlton 0-1 Sheffield Utd | 9.2% |
| Charlton 0-3 Sheffield Utd | 8.5% |
| Charlton 1-1 Sheffield Utd | 8.2% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 0.89 expected goals for Charlton and 2.35 for Sheffield Utd, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 63% and "both teams to score" at 53%. Goals look likely in this one. Charlton keep a clean sheet in 10% of scenarios, Sheffield Utd in 41%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Charlton expected goals | 0.89 |
| Sheffield Utd expected goals | 2.35 |
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% |
| Charlton clean sheet | 10% |
| Sheffield Utd clean sheet | 41% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Charlton
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Bolton · Championship | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Middlesbrough · Championship | 0-3 | L |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Norwich · Championship | 1-3 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Watford · Championship | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Burnley · Championship | 2-2 | D |
Sheffield Utd
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Preston · Championship | 3-2 | W |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Wrexham · Championship | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Derby · Championship | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bristol City · Championship | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Portsmouth · Championship | 2-3 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton | 21 | 14 | 14 |
| Sheffield Utd | 9 | 22 | 14 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Charlton 1-0 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Sheffield Utd 0-1 Charlton | Championship |
Out and doubtful
Charlton
- R. Apter (out)
- C. Sichenje (out)
- M. Godden (doubtful)
Sheffield Utd
- M. Doherty (out)
- L. Kitching (suspended)
- R. One (out)
- J. Shackleton (out)
- P. Bamford (doubtful)
- A. Davies (doubtful)
- K. Phillips (doubtful)
- J. Rothwell (doubtful)
Most regular starters
Charlton
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- L. Jones5/5
- A. Okonkwo4/5
- C. Coventry4/5
- K. Ramsay4/5
- T. Campbell4/5
- A. Bell3/5
- B. Koumetio3/5
- C. Kelman3/5
- D. McNamara3/5
- K. Grant3/5
- M. Leaburn3/5
Sheffield Utd
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Tanganga5/5
- M. Cooper5/5
- T. Chong5/5
- H. Burrows4/5
- H. Choudhury4/5
- L. Kitching4/5
- T. Cannon4/5
- B. Brereton Diaz3/5
- K. Phillips3/5
- B. Brereton2/5
- J. Ayew2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Portsmouth 1-2 Stoke CityNov 7, 2026
- Bristol City 0-5 NorwichNov 7, 2026
- Wrexham 1-1 WolvesNov 7, 2026
- Watford 0-0 MiddlesbroughNov 7, 2026
- Birmingham 2-1 SwanseaNov 7, 2026
- Cardiff 5-4 BurnleyNov 7, 2026
- West Brom 3-0 MillwallNov 7, 2026
- Preston 1-0 SouthamptonNov 7, 2026
- Blackburn 2-1 West HamNov 7, 2026
- QPR 2-1 LincolnNov 7, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Charlton vs Sheffield Utd prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Charlton a 12% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sheffield Utd 70%. Sheffield Utd are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Charlton vs Sheffield Utd?
0-2 (10.8%), followed by 1-2 (9.6%), 0-1 (9.2%), 0-3 (8.5%) and 1-1 (8.2%).
Will both teams score in Charlton vs Sheffield Utd?
The probability that both Charlton and Sheffield Utd score is 53%. Charlton have a 10% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Sheffield Utd 41%.
How many goals should we expect in Charlton vs Sheffield Utd?
The model expects 3.24 goals (0.89 for Charlton, 2.35 for Sheffield Utd). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 83%, over 2.5 goals 63%, over 3.5 goals 41%.
When and where is Charlton vs Sheffield Utd played?
Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Championship, matchday 15. Venue: The Valley, London.
What form are Charlton and Sheffield Utd in?
Charlton: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 11 conceded). Sheffield Utd: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Charlton and Sheffield Utd?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Charlton, 0 for Sheffield Utd and 0 draws. The most recent ended Charlton 1-0 Sheffield Utd (Jan 17, 2026).
What was the Charlton vs Sheffield Utd result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Charlton 2-1 Sheffield Utd. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Sheffield Utd (70%), while victory for Charlton was rated at only 12%. The model considered this score unlikely (3.6%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (63%): correct.
How is the Charlton vs Sheffield Utd prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.89 for Charlton, 2.35 for Sheffield Utd) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Charlton predictions
- All Sheffield Utd predictions
- Championship predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology