Championship· Kick-off : Saturday, November 7, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)
West Brom vs Millwall: 3-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: West Brom 3-0 Millwall. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for West Brom was the model's favourite outcome (75%). The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (6.3%), behind 3-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (69%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (82%): correct.
Match analysis
West Brom vs Millwall was played on Saturday, November 7, 2026 (Championship, matchday 15). Venue: The Hawthorns, West Bromwich. Before kick-off, our model gave West Brom a 75% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Millwall 12%. The most likely correct score is 3-1 (8.0%), ahead of 2-1 (7.4%) and 4-1 (6.4%).
West Brom are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 10 and conceding 6. Millwall have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 9. Recent momentum is clearly with West Brom. On average West Brom score 2.00 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Millwall score 1.40 and concede 1.80. In the table, West Brom sit 6th with 25 points from 14 games, Millwall 13th with 18 points from 14. 7 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, West Brom have averaged 2.27 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.79 for Millwall.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for West Brom, 1 for Millwall and 1 draw. The most recent ended West Brom 0-0 Millwall (Apr 10, 2026). West Brom out or doubtful: T. Collyer, N. Galves and M. Johnston. Millwall: C. De Norre, L. Jensen, F. Marschall, J. Metcalfe (suspended), M. Servais, T. Arconte (doubtful) and M. Luongo (doubtful). In double chance terms, "West Brom or draw" stands at 88%, "Millwall or draw" at 25% and "no draw" at 87%.
In short : Our model backs West Brom to edge Millwall (75% probability). On recent form, West Brom have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in 5 while Millwall have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5. The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 82%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as West Brom – Millwall. 3-1 is the single most likely scoreline (8.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 34% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| West Brom 3-1 Millwall | 8.0% |
| West Brom 2-1 Millwall | 7.4% |
| West Brom 4-1 Millwall | 6.4% |
| West Brom 3-0 Millwall | 6.3% |
| West Brom 2-0 Millwall | 5.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 4.47 goals in total (3.21 for West Brom, 1.26 for Millwall): over 2.5 goals has a 82% probability and both teams to score 69%. Everything points to an open game. West Brom keep a clean sheet in 28% of scenarios, Millwall in 4%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| West Brom expected goals | 3.21 |
| Millwall expected goals | 1.26 |
| Both teams to score | 69% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 94% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 82% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 65% |
| West Brom clean sheet | 28% |
| Millwall clean sheet | 4% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
West Brom
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Southampton · Championship | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 31, 2026 | West Ham · Championship | 3-1 | W |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Preston · Championship | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Blackburn · Championship | 3-2 | W |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Wrexham · Championship | 2-1 | W |
Millwall
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Birmingham · Championship | 0-3 | L |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Derby · Championship | 4-1 | W |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Portsmouth · Championship | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lincoln · Championship | 2-2 | D |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Swansea · Championship | 0-1 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 6 | 25 | 14 |
| Millwall | 13 | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | West Brom 0-0 Millwall | Championship |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Millwall 3-0 West Brom | Championship |
Out and doubtful
West Brom
- T. Collyer (out)
- N. Galves (out)
- M. Johnston (out)
Millwall
- C. De Norre (out)
- L. Jensen (out)
- F. Marschall (out)
- J. Metcalfe (suspended)
- M. Servais (out)
- T. Arconte (doubtful)
- M. Luongo (doubtful)
Most regular starters
West Brom
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Pereira5/5
- C. Mepham5/5
- C. Styles5/5
- G. Campbell5/5
- I. Price5/5
- J. Molumby5/5
- R. Nzingoula4/5
- B. Stewart3/5
- F. Myhre3/5
- J. Morgan3/5
- M. O'Leary3/5
Millwall
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Neghli5/5
- C. Taylor5/5
- D. Mazou-Sacko5/5
- J. Cooper5/5
- K. Lisbie5/5
- L. Dykes5/5
- J. Metcalfe3/5
- L. Cundle3/5
- M. Crocombe3/5
- T. Crama3/5
- Z. Sturge3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Portsmouth 1-2 Stoke CityNov 7, 2026
- Bristol City 0-5 NorwichNov 7, 2026
- Wrexham 1-1 WolvesNov 7, 2026
- Watford 0-0 MiddlesbroughNov 7, 2026
- Birmingham 2-1 SwanseaNov 7, 2026
- Cardiff 5-4 BurnleyNov 7, 2026
- Preston 1-0 SouthamptonNov 7, 2026
- Charlton 2-1 Sheffield UtdNov 7, 2026
- Blackburn 2-1 West HamNov 7, 2026
- QPR 2-1 LincolnNov 7, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the West Brom vs Millwall prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave West Brom a 75% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Millwall 12%. West Brom are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-0.
What is the most likely correct score for West Brom vs Millwall?
3-1 (8.0%), followed by 2-1 (7.4%), 4-1 (6.4%), 3-0 (6.3%) and 2-0 (5.9%).
Will both teams score in West Brom vs Millwall?
The probability that both West Brom and Millwall score is 69%. West Brom have a 28% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Millwall 4%.
How many goals should we expect in West Brom vs Millwall?
The model expects 4.47 goals (3.21 for West Brom, 1.26 for Millwall). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 94%, over 2.5 goals 82%, over 3.5 goals 65%.
When and where is West Brom vs Millwall played?
Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Championship, matchday 15. Venue: The Hawthorns, West Bromwich.
What form are West Brom and Millwall in?
West Brom: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 6 conceded). Millwall: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 9 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between West Brom and Millwall?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for West Brom, 1 for Millwall and 1 draw. The most recent ended West Brom 0-0 Millwall (Apr 10, 2026).
What was the West Brom vs Millwall result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: West Brom 3-0 Millwall. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for West Brom was the model's favourite outcome (75%). The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (6.3%), behind 3-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (69%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (82%): correct.
How is the West Brom vs Millwall prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (3.21 for West Brom, 1.26 for Millwall) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All West Brom predictions
- All Millwall predictions
- Championship predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology