Championship· Kick-off : Saturday, November 7, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)
Watford vs Middlesbrough: 0-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Watford 0-0 Middlesbrough. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Middlesbrough (67%), while a draw was rated at only 19%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (4.6%), behind 0-2. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (59%): missed.
Match analysis
Watford vs Middlesbrough was played on Saturday, November 7, 2026 (Championship, matchday 15). Venue: Vicarage Road, Watford. Before kick-off, our model gave Watford a 14% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Middlesbrough 67%. The most likely correct score is 0-2 (11.0%), ahead of 0-1 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.8%).
Over their last 5 matches, Watford have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, Middlesbrough have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 13 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with Middlesbrough. On average Watford score 1.20 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Middlesbrough score 2.60 and concede 1.40. In the table, Watford sit 20th with 14 points from 14 games, Middlesbrough 1st with 28 points from 14. 19 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Watford have averaged 1.24 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.45 for Middlesbrough.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Watford, 2 for Middlesbrough and 0 draws. The most recent ended Middlesbrough 5-1 Watford (Apr 25, 2026). Watford out or doubtful: M. Antonio, K. Baah, E. Bove, N. Chikovani, S. Coulibaly, J. Grieves, J. Ngakia and L. Kjerrumgaard (doubtful). Middlesbrough: A. Jones and R. Pukstas (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Watford or draw" stands at 33%, "Middlesbrough or draw" at 86% and "no draw" at 81%.
In short : Middlesbrough are tipped by our AI model in this Watford v Middlesbrough (67%). In the table, Watford (20th, 14 pts) host Middlesbrough (1st, 28 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-2.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Watford – Middlesbrough. 0-2 is the single most likely scoreline (11.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Watford 0-2 Middlesbrough | 11.0% |
| Watford 0-1 Middlesbrough | 10.1% |
| Watford 1-2 Middlesbrough | 9.8% |
| Watford 1-1 Middlesbrough | 9.0% |
| Watford 0-3 Middlesbrough | 8.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 3.08 goals in total (0.89 for Watford, 2.19 for Middlesbrough): over 2.5 goals has a 59% probability and both teams to score 52%. Everything points to an open game. Watford keep a clean sheet in 11% of scenarios, Middlesbrough in 41%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Watford expected goals | 0.89 |
| Middlesbrough expected goals | 2.19 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% |
| Watford clean sheet | 11% |
| Middlesbrough clean sheet | 41% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Watford
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Lincoln · Championship | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Norwich · Championship | 2-3 | L |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Wolves · Championship | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Charlton · Championship | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Cardiff · Championship | 1-5 | L |
Middlesbrough
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Wrexham · Championship | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Charlton · Championship | 3-0 | W |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Bolton · Championship | 5-1 | W |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Cardiff · Championship | 2-2 | D |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Stoke City · Championship | 3-2 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 20 | 14 | 14 |
| Middlesbrough | 1 | 28 | 14 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Middlesbrough 5-1 Watford | Championship |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Watford 3-0 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Middlesbrough 0-1 Watford | Championship |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Watford 2-1 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| May 4, 2024 | Middlesbrough 3-1 Watford | Championship |
Out and doubtful
Watford
- M. Antonio (out)
- K. Baah (out)
- E. Bove (out)
- N. Chikovani (out)
- S. Coulibaly (out)
- J. Grieves (out)
- J. Ngakia (out)
- L. Kjerrumgaard (doubtful)
Middlesbrough
- A. Jones (out)
- R. Pukstas (doubtful)
Most regular starters
Watford
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- E. Kayembe5/5
- F. Ravaglia5/5
- H. Kyprianou5/5
- K. Keben5/5
- M. Boadu5/5
- M. Pollock5/5
- K. Diatta3/5
- M. Bola3/5
- I. Bravo2/5
- Iker Bravo2/5
- J. Zemura2/5
Middlesbrough
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Cozier-Duberry5/5
- A. Malanda5/5
- A. Morris5/5
- A. Phillips5/5
- C. Brittain5/5
- Neto Borges5/5
- S. Berhalter4/5
- T. Conway4/5
- L. Ayling3/5
- R. McGree3/5
- R. Vitek3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Portsmouth 1-2 Stoke CityNov 7, 2026
- Bristol City 0-5 NorwichNov 7, 2026
- Wrexham 1-1 WolvesNov 7, 2026
- Birmingham 2-1 SwanseaNov 7, 2026
- Cardiff 5-4 BurnleyNov 7, 2026
- West Brom 3-0 MillwallNov 7, 2026
- Preston 1-0 SouthamptonNov 7, 2026
- Charlton 2-1 Sheffield UtdNov 7, 2026
- Blackburn 2-1 West HamNov 7, 2026
- QPR 2-1 LincolnNov 7, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Watford vs Middlesbrough prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Watford a 14% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Middlesbrough 67%. Middlesbrough are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Watford vs Middlesbrough?
0-2 (11.0%), followed by 0-1 (10.1%), 1-2 (9.8%), 1-1 (9.0%) and 0-3 (8.0%).
Will both teams score in Watford vs Middlesbrough?
The probability that both Watford and Middlesbrough score is 52%. Watford have a 11% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Middlesbrough 41%.
How many goals should we expect in Watford vs Middlesbrough?
The model expects 3.08 goals (0.89 for Watford, 2.19 for Middlesbrough). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 81%, over 2.5 goals 59%, over 3.5 goals 37%.
When and where is Watford vs Middlesbrough played?
Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Championship, matchday 15. Venue: Vicarage Road, Watford.
What form are Watford and Middlesbrough in?
Watford: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 9 conceded). Middlesbrough: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Watford and Middlesbrough?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Watford, 2 for Middlesbrough and 0 draws. The most recent ended Middlesbrough 5-1 Watford (Apr 25, 2026).
What was the Watford vs Middlesbrough result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Watford 0-0 Middlesbrough. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Middlesbrough (67%), while a draw was rated at only 19%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (4.6%), behind 0-2. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (59%): missed.
How is the Watford vs Middlesbrough prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.89 for Watford, 2.19 for Middlesbrough) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Watford predictions
- All Middlesbrough predictions
- Championship predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology