Championship· Kick-off : Saturday, November 7, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)
QPR vs Lincoln: 2-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: QPR 2-1 Lincoln. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for QPR was the model's favourite outcome (76%). The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (9.0%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (68%): correct.
Match analysis
QPR vs Lincoln was played on Saturday, November 7, 2026 (Championship, matchday 15). Venue: Loftus Road, London. Before kick-off, our model gave QPR a 76% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Lincoln 9%. The most likely correct score is 2-0 (10.7%), ahead of 3-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.0%).
Over their last 5 matches, QPR have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Lincoln have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 13. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average QPR score 2.20 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Lincoln score 1.40 and concede 2.60. In the table, QPR sit 11th with 21 points from 14 games, Lincoln 19th with 15 points from 14. 8 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, QPR have averaged 1.94 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.15 for Lincoln.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between QPR and Lincoln: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. QPR out or doubtful: R. Burrell, J. Clarke-Salter, T. Lamptey, N. Madsen and A. S. Mbengue. Lincoln: T. Darikwa and M. Melia. In double chance terms, "QPR or draw" stands at 91%, "Lincoln or draw" at 24% and "no draw" at 85%.
In short : QPR are favourites for this QPR v Lincoln, with a 76% win probability from our model. In the table, QPR (11th, 21 pts) host Lincoln (19th, 15 pts). One to watch: QPR will be without R. Burrell and J. Clarke-Salter.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as QPR – Lincoln. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (10.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 45% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| QPR 2-0 Lincoln | 10.7% |
| QPR 3-0 Lincoln | 9.5% |
| QPR 2-1 Lincoln | 9.0% |
| QPR 1-0 Lincoln | 8.1% |
| QPR 3-1 Lincoln | 7.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 3.49 goals in total (2.65 for QPR, 0.84 for Lincoln): over 2.5 goals has a 68% probability and both teams to score 53%. Everything points to an open game. QPR keep a clean sheet in 43% of scenarios, Lincoln in 7%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| QPR expected goals | 2.65 |
| Lincoln expected goals | 0.84 |
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46% |
| QPR clean sheet | 43% |
| Lincoln clean sheet | 7% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
QPR
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Burnley · Championship | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Southampton · Championship | 1-4 | L |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Swansea · Championship | 5-0 | W |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Birmingham · Championship | 0-3 | L |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Derby · Championship | 4-1 | W |
Lincoln
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Watford · Championship | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Birmingham · Championship | 1-3 | L |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Burnley · Championship | 4-1 | W |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Millwall · Championship | 2-2 | D |
| Oct 14, 2026 | West Ham · Championship | 0-6 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| QPR | 11 | 21 | 14 |
| Lincoln | 19 | 15 | 14 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between QPR and Lincoln: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
QPR
- R. Burrell (out)
- J. Clarke-Salter (out)
- T. Lamptey (out)
- N. Madsen (out)
- A. S. Mbengue (out)
Lincoln
- T. Darikwa (out)
- M. Melia (out)
Most regular starters
QPR
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- G. Kamara5/5
- H. Vale5/5
- J. Dunne5/5
- K. Adamson5/5
- P. Charles5/5
- P. Smyth5/5
- R. Edwards5/5
- B. Kemper4/5
- J. Varane3/5
- K. Poku3/5
- R. Kone3/5
Lincoln
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Elerewe5/5
- G. Wickens5/5
- S. Bradley5/5
- B. House4/5
- A. Reach3/5
- D. Jefferies3/5
- F. Draper3/5
- I. Varfolomeev3/5
- A. Coubis2/5
- A. Coubiș2/5
- C. Elder2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Portsmouth 1-2 Stoke CityNov 7, 2026
- Bristol City 0-5 NorwichNov 7, 2026
- Wrexham 1-1 WolvesNov 7, 2026
- Watford 0-0 MiddlesbroughNov 7, 2026
- Birmingham 2-1 SwanseaNov 7, 2026
- Cardiff 5-4 BurnleyNov 7, 2026
- West Brom 3-0 MillwallNov 7, 2026
- Preston 1-0 SouthamptonNov 7, 2026
- Charlton 2-1 Sheffield UtdNov 7, 2026
- Blackburn 2-1 West HamNov 7, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the QPR vs Lincoln prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave QPR a 76% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Lincoln 9%. QPR are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-1.
What is the most likely correct score for QPR vs Lincoln?
2-0 (10.7%), followed by 3-0 (9.5%), 2-1 (9.0%), 1-0 (8.1%) and 3-1 (7.9%).
Will both teams score in QPR vs Lincoln?
The probability that both QPR and Lincoln score is 53%. QPR have a 43% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Lincoln 7%.
How many goals should we expect in QPR vs Lincoln?
The model expects 3.49 goals (2.65 for QPR, 0.84 for Lincoln). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 86%, over 2.5 goals 68%, over 3.5 goals 46%.
When and where is QPR vs Lincoln played?
Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Championship, matchday 15. Venue: Loftus Road, London.
What form are QPR and Lincoln in?
QPR: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 9 conceded). Lincoln: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 13 conceded).
What was the QPR vs Lincoln result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: QPR 2-1 Lincoln. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for QPR was the model's favourite outcome (76%). The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (9.0%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (68%): correct.
How is the QPR vs Lincoln prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.65 for QPR, 0.84 for Lincoln) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All QPR predictions
- All Lincoln predictions
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- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology