Championship· Kick-off : Saturday, November 7, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)
Preston vs Southampton: 1-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Preston 1-0 Southampton. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Southampton (79%), while victory for Preston was rated at only 7%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.8%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (40%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (58%): missed.
Match analysis
Preston and Southampton met on Saturday, November 7, 2026, a Championship, matchday 15 fixture. Venue: Deepdale Stadium, Preston. Before kick-off, our model gave Preston a 7% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Southampton 79%. On the correct score, 0-2 comes out on top (14.7%), followed by 0-1 (12.0%) and 0-3 (11.9%).
Preston have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 14. Southampton are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 9 and conceding 4. Southampton therefore arrive in far better shape than Preston. On average Preston score 0.80 and concede 2.80 goals per game; Southampton score 1.80 and concede 0.80. In the table, Preston sit 24th with 5 points from 14 games, Southampton 7th with 24 points from 14. 17 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Preston have averaged 0.84 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.65 for Southampton.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Preston, 3 for Southampton and 1 draw. The most recent ended Preston 1-3 Southampton (May 2, 2026). Preston out or doubtful: H. Clarke, L. Gibbs, L. Gibson and A. McCann. Southampton: M. Roerslev Rasmussen, C. Jander (doubtful) and C. Larin (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Preston or draw" stands at 21%, "Southampton or draw" at 93% and "no draw" at 86%.
In short : Southampton are favourites for this Preston v Southampton, with a 79% win probability from our model. On recent form, Preston are struggling (4 losses in 5) while Southampton have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in 5. One to watch: Preston will be without H. Clarke and L. Gibbs.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Preston – Southampton. 0-2 is the single most likely scoreline (14.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 54% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Preston 0-2 Southampton | 14.7% |
| Preston 0-1 Southampton | 12.0% |
| Preston 0-3 Southampton | 11.9% |
| Preston 1-2 Southampton | 8.4% |
| Preston 0-4 Southampton | 7.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 0.57 expected goals for Preston and 2.44 for Southampton, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 58% and "both teams to score" at 40%. Preston keep a clean sheet in 9% of scenarios, Southampton in 57%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Preston expected goals | 0.57 |
| Southampton expected goals | 2.44 |
| Both teams to score | 40% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% |
| Preston clean sheet | 9% |
| Southampton clean sheet | 57% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Preston
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Sheffield Utd · Championship | 2-3 | L |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Stoke City · Championship | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 24, 2026 | West Brom · Championship | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Wrexham · Championship | 1-4 | L |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Birmingham · Championship | 0-4 | L |
Southampton
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | West Brom · Championship | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 31, 2026 | QPR · Championship | 4-1 | W |
| Oct 24, 2026 | West Ham · Championship | 3-2 | W |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bolton · Championship | 0-0 | D |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Norwich · Championship | 1-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preston | 24 | 5 | 14 |
| Southampton | 7 | 24 | 14 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Preston 1-3 Southampton | Championship |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Southampton 0-2 Preston | Championship |
| Apr 16, 2024 | Southampton 3-0 Preston | Championship |
| Oct 25, 2023 | Preston 2-2 Southampton | Championship |
| Sep 21, 2011 | Southampton 2-1 Preston | EFL Cup |
Out and doubtful
Preston
- H. Clarke (out)
- L. Gibbs (out)
- L. Gibson (out)
- A. McCann (out)
Southampton
- M. Roerslev Rasmussen (out)
- C. Jander (doubtful)
- C. Larin (doubtful)
Most regular starters
Preston
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Hughes5/5
- D. Iversen5/5
- J. Storey5/5
- L. Leroy5/5
- O. Offiah5/5
- J. Kenny4/5
- J. Thompson4/5
- A. Devine3/5
- C. Lang3/5
- S. Mills3/5
- A. Vukcevic2/5
Southampton
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- F. Azaz5/5
- J. Stephens5/5
- J. Ward-Prowse5/5
- K. Schlotterbeck5/5
- J. Bree4/5
- K. Matsuki4/5
- R. Manning4/5
- D. Peretz3/5
- L. Dobbin3/5
- Daniel Peretz2/5
- F. Downes2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Portsmouth 1-2 Stoke CityNov 7, 2026
- Bristol City 0-5 NorwichNov 7, 2026
- Wrexham 1-1 WolvesNov 7, 2026
- Watford 0-0 MiddlesbroughNov 7, 2026
- Birmingham 2-1 SwanseaNov 7, 2026
- Cardiff 5-4 BurnleyNov 7, 2026
- West Brom 3-0 MillwallNov 7, 2026
- Charlton 2-1 Sheffield UtdNov 7, 2026
- Blackburn 2-1 West HamNov 7, 2026
- QPR 2-1 LincolnNov 7, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Preston vs Southampton prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Preston a 7% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Southampton 79%. Southampton are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Preston vs Southampton?
0-2 (14.7%), followed by 0-1 (12.0%), 0-3 (11.9%), 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-4 (7.3%).
Will both teams score in Preston vs Southampton?
The probability that both Preston and Southampton score is 40%. Preston have a 9% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Southampton 57%.
How many goals should we expect in Preston vs Southampton?
The model expects 3.01 goals (0.57 for Preston, 2.44 for Southampton). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 80%, over 2.5 goals 58%, over 3.5 goals 36%.
When and where is Preston vs Southampton played?
Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Championship, matchday 15. Venue: Deepdale Stadium, Preston.
What form are Preston and Southampton in?
Preston: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 14 conceded). Southampton: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 4 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Preston and Southampton?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Preston, 3 for Southampton and 1 draw. The most recent ended Preston 1-3 Southampton (May 2, 2026).
What was the Preston vs Southampton result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Preston 1-0 Southampton. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Southampton (79%), while victory for Preston was rated at only 7%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.8%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (40%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (58%): missed.
How is the Preston vs Southampton prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.57 for Preston, 2.44 for Southampton) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Preston predictions
- All Southampton predictions
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