UEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, October 22, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Conference League: Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë kicks off on Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). Venue: Cepheus Park, Randers. Aarhus start as favourites with a 46% chance of victory; Egnatia Rrogozhinë are given 28% and the draw 26%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.2%), followed by 1-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.2%).
Aarhus have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 11. Over their last 5 matches, Egnatia Rrogozhinë have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Egnatia Rrogozhinë therefore arrive in far better shape than Aarhus. On average Aarhus score 1.20 and concede 2.20 goals per game; Egnatia Rrogozhinë score 2.00 and concede 1.20.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Aarhus and Egnatia Rrogozhinë: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Aarhus or draw" stands at 72%, "Egnatia Rrogozhinë or draw" at 54% and "no draw" at 74%.
In short : Our model backs Aarhus to edge Egnatia Rrogozhinë (46% probability). On recent form, Aarhus have 0 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in 5 while Egnatia Rrogozhinë have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 52%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Aarhus – Egnatia Rrogozhinë. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Aarhus 1-1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 12.2% |
| Aarhus 1-0 Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 11.1% |
| Aarhus 2-1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 9.2% |
| Aarhus 2-0 Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 8.4% |
| Aarhus 0-1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 8.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.51 expected goals for Aarhus and 1.10 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 48% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Aarhus keep a clean sheet in 33% of scenarios, Egnatia Rrogozhinë in 22%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Aarhus expected goals | 1.51 |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë expected goals | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Aarhus clean sheet | 33% |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë clean sheet | 22% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Aarhus
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Silkeborg · Superliga | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 2, 2026 | FC Midtjylland · Superliga | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Randers FC · Superliga | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Benfica · UEFA Europa League | 1-3 | L |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Odense · Superliga | 2-2 | D |
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | AF Elbasani · Superliga | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Skenderbeu Korce · Superliga | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Vora · Superliga | 3-1 | W |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Lillestrom · UEFA Europa League | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Tirana · Superliga | 3-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aarhus | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 30 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Aarhus and Egnatia Rrogozhinë: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Aarhus
No absences reported.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Aarhus
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Frederik Emmery3/5
- M. Anderson3/5
- T. Bech3/5
- C. Rösler2/5
- E. Kahl2/5
- Eric Kahl2/5
- J. Andersen2/5
- James Bogere2/5
- K. Arnstad2/5
- Luka Callø2/5
- M. Hedenstad Christiansen2/5
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Albanese3/4
- A. Kryeziu3/4
- E. Sota3/4
- G. Smajli3/4
- J. Montenegro3/4
- M. Dajsinani3/4
- N. Ajetovikj3/4
- R. Bakalli3/4
- Z. Aliyev3/4
- A. Aleksi2/4
- A. Kacbufi2/4
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- FK Jablonec – BrightonOct 22, 2026
- Pafos – RigaOct 22, 2026
- FK Crvena Zvezda – FC CopenhagenOct 22, 2026
- Monaco – SC FreiburgOct 22, 2026
- FC Thun – HNK Hajduk SplitOct 22, 2026
- Borac Banja Luka – KuPSOct 22, 2026
- SC Braga – GentOct 22, 2026
- Ajax – AtalantaOct 22, 2026
- FC Midtjylland – St. TruidenOct 22, 2026
- Lincoln Red Imps FC – TwenteOct 22, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë prediction?
Our AI gives Aarhus a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Egnatia Rrogozhinë 28%. Aarhus are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
1-1 (12.2%), followed by 1-0 (11.1%), 2-1 (9.2%), 2-0 (8.4%) and 0-1 (8.1%).
Will both teams score in Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
The probability that both Aarhus and Egnatia Rrogozhinë score is 52%. Aarhus have a 33% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 22%.
How many goals should we expect in Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
The model expects 2.61 goals (1.51 for Aarhus, 1.10 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë played?
Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Cepheus Park, Randers.
What form are Aarhus and Egnatia Rrogozhinë in?
Aarhus: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 11 conceded). Egnatia Rrogozhinë: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 6 conceded).
How is the Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.51 for Aarhus, 1.10 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Aarhus predictions
- All Egnatia Rrogozhinë predictions
- UEFA Conference League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology