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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, October 22, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

SC Braga vs Gent prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

UEFA Conference League: SC Braga vs Gent kicks off on Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). Nothing is settled in advance: the AI gives SC Braga 37%, Gent 34% and the draw 29%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (13.4%), ahead of 1-0 (12.6%) and 0-1 (11.9%).

Over their last 5 matches, SC Braga have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 5 and conceding 3. Gent are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 9 and conceding 3. Recent momentum is clearly with Gent. On average SC Braga score 1.00 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Gent score 1.80 and concede 0.60. Over their recent games, SC Braga have averaged 1.04 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.16 for Gent.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between SC Braga and Gent: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "SC Braga or draw" stands at 66%, "Gent or draw" at 63% and "no draw" at 71%.

In short : An evenly-matched game between SC Braga and Gent: our model sees no clear favourite. On recent form, SC Braga have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while Gent are in good shape (4 wins in 5). The model leans towards a tight, low-scoring game.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

37%
SC Braga (Win)
29%
Draw
34%
Gent (Win)

Double chance

66%
SC Braga or draw
63%
Gent or draw
71%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as SC Braga – Gent. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (13.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 57% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
SC Braga 1-1 Gent13.4%
SC Braga 1-0 Gent12.6%
SC Braga 0-1 Gent11.9%
SC Braga 0-0 Gent11.2%
SC Braga 2-1 Gent7.6%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.19 goals in total (1.13 for SC Braga, 1.06 for Gent): over 2.5 goals has a 38% probability and both teams to score 44%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. SC Braga keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Gent in 32%.

Probability
SC Braga expected goals1.13
Gent expected goals1.06
Both teams to score44%
Over 1.5 goals64%
Over 2.5 goals38%
Over 3.5 goals18%
SC Braga clean sheet35%
Gent clean sheet32%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

SC Braga

DateOpponentScore
Sep 20, 2026Santa Clara · Primeira Liga0-0D
Sep 14, 2026Estoril · Primeira Liga1-0W
Sep 10, 2026Estrela · Primeira Liga1-2L
Sep 5, 2026Alverca · Primeira Liga2-1W
Aug 31, 2026Vitória SC · Primeira Liga1-0W

Gent

DateOpponentScore
Sep 18, 2026Standard Liege · Jupiler Pro League2-1W
Sep 13, 2026Genk · Jupiler Pro League1-1D
Sep 6, 2026Cercle Brugge · Jupiler Pro League3-0W
Sep 3, 2026OH Leuven · Jupiler Pro League1-0W
Aug 30, 2026Club Brugge KV · Jupiler Pro League2-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
SC Braga2200
Gent500

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between SC Braga and Gent: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

SC Braga

No absences reported.

Gent

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

SC Braga

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Bernardo5/5
  • J. Moutinho5/5
  • P. Victor5/5
  • V. Gomez5/5
  • D. E. Tiknaz4/5
  • G. Lagerbielke4/5
  • Vitor Carvalho4/5
  • G. Martinez3/5
  • M. Dorgeles3/5
  • A. Bajrami2/5
  • A. Barisic2/5

Gent

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • C. Burgess5/5
  • D. Roef5/5
  • J. Vergara5/5
  • M. Delorge5/5
  • M. Ngom5/5
  • M. Sonko5/5
  • S. Van Der Heyden5/5
  • T. Araujo5/5
  • K. Wilson3/5
  • M. Balikwisha3/5
  • T. De Vlieger3/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the SC Braga vs Gent prediction?

Our AI gives SC Braga a 37% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Gent 34%. SC Braga are therefore slight favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for SC Braga vs Gent?

1-1 (13.4%), followed by 1-0 (12.6%), 0-1 (11.9%), 0-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (7.6%).

Will both teams score in SC Braga vs Gent?

The probability that both SC Braga and Gent score is 44%. SC Braga have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Gent 32%.

How many goals should we expect in SC Braga vs Gent?

The model expects 2.19 goals (1.13 for SC Braga, 1.06 for Gent). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 64%, over 2.5 goals 38%, over 3.5 goals 18%.

When and where is SC Braga vs Gent played?

Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League.

What form are SC Braga and Gent in?

SC Braga: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 3 conceded). Gent: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 3 conceded).

How is the SC Braga vs Gent prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.13 for SC Braga, 1.06 for Gent) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained