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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, July 30, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dinamo Tbilisi: 7-2 result and AI prediction review

FK Zalgiris VilniusFK Zalgiris Vilnius7 – 2Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: FK Zalgiris Vilnius 7-2 Dinamo Tbilisi. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for FK Zalgiris Vilnius was the model's favourite outcome (51%). The model considered this score unlikely (0.0%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): correct.

Match analysis

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dinamo Tbilisi was played on Thursday, July 30, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: LFF stadionas, Vilnius. Before kick-off, our model gave FK Zalgiris Vilnius a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dinamo Tbilisi 24%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (11.6%), ahead of 1-1 (11.5%) and 2-0 (9.8%).

Over their last 5 matches, FK Zalgiris Vilnius have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Dinamo Tbilisi have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Recent momentum is clearly with FK Zalgiris Vilnius. On average FK Zalgiris Vilnius score 1.60 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Dinamo Tbilisi score 1.40 and concede 1.00.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for FK Zalgiris Vilnius, 1 for Dinamo Tbilisi and 0 draws. The most recent ended Dinamo Tbilisi 3-0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius (Jul 23, 2026). In double chance terms, "FK Zalgiris Vilnius or draw" stands at 76%, "Dinamo Tbilisi or draw" at 49% and "no draw" at 75%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

51%
FK Zalgiris Vilnius (Win)
25%
Draw
24%
Dinamo Tbilisi (Win)

Double chance

76%
FK Zalgiris Vilnius or draw
49%
Dinamo Tbilisi or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as FK Zalgiris Vilnius – Dinamo Tbilisi. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1-0 Dinamo Tbilisi11.6%
FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1-1 Dinamo Tbilisi11.5%
FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2-0 Dinamo Tbilisi9.8%
FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2-1 Dinamo Tbilisi9.7%
FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi6.9%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.68 goals in total (1.69 for FK Zalgiris Vilnius, 0.99 for Dinamo Tbilisi): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 51%. FK Zalgiris Vilnius keep a clean sheet in 37% of scenarios, Dinamo Tbilisi in 19%.

Probability
FK Zalgiris Vilnius expected goals1.69
Dinamo Tbilisi expected goals0.99
Both teams to score51%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
FK Zalgiris Vilnius clean sheet37%
Dinamo Tbilisi clean sheet19%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

DateOpponentScore
Jul 23, 2026Dinamo Tbilisi · UEFA Conference League0-3L
Jul 16, 2026Petrovac · UEFA Conference League2-1W
Jul 9, 2026Petrovac · UEFA Conference League3-1W
Feb 14, 2026Ogre United · Club Friendlies2-1W
Feb 8, 2026Hegelmann Litauen · Club Friendlies1-0W

Dinamo Tbilisi

DateOpponentScore
Jul 23, 2026FK Zalgiris Vilnius · UEFA Conference League3-0W
Jul 16, 2026US Mondorf-les-bains · UEFA Conference League1-1D
Jul 9, 2026US Mondorf-les-bains · UEFA Conference League2-1W
Feb 16, 2026Navbahor · Club Friendlies1-1D
Feb 13, 2026Veres Rivne · Club Friendlies0-2L

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 23, 2026Dinamo Tbilisi 3-0 FK Zalgiris VilniusUEFA Conference League

Out and doubtful

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

No absences reported.

Dinamo Tbilisi

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dinamo Tbilisi prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave FK Zalgiris Vilnius a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dinamo Tbilisi 24%. FK Zalgiris Vilnius are therefore favourites. Final score: 7-2.

What is the most likely correct score for FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

1-0 (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.5%), 2-0 (9.8%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 0-0 (6.9%).

Will both teams score in FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

The probability that both FK Zalgiris Vilnius and Dinamo Tbilisi score is 51%. FK Zalgiris Vilnius have a 37% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Dinamo Tbilisi 19%.

How many goals should we expect in FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

The model expects 2.68 goals (1.69 for FK Zalgiris Vilnius, 0.99 for Dinamo Tbilisi). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dinamo Tbilisi played?

Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: LFF stadionas, Vilnius.

What form are FK Zalgiris Vilnius and Dinamo Tbilisi in?

FK Zalgiris Vilnius: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 6 conceded). Dinamo Tbilisi: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 5 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between FK Zalgiris Vilnius and Dinamo Tbilisi?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for FK Zalgiris Vilnius, 1 for Dinamo Tbilisi and 0 draws. The most recent ended Dinamo Tbilisi 3-0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius (Jul 23, 2026).

What was the FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dinamo Tbilisi result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: FK Zalgiris Vilnius 7-2 Dinamo Tbilisi. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for FK Zalgiris Vilnius was the model's favourite outcome (51%). The model considered this score unlikely (0.0%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): correct.

How is the FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dinamo Tbilisi prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.69 for FK Zalgiris Vilnius, 0.99 for Dinamo Tbilisi) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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Key terms explained