UEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, July 23, 2026, 20:15 (UK time)
Valur Reykjavik vs Zrinjski: 1-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Valur Reykjavik 1-0 Zrinjski. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Valur Reykjavik was the model's favourite outcome (50%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.4%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.
Match analysis
Valur Reykjavik vs Zrinjski was played on Thursday, July 23, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: Hlídarendi Reykjavik, Reykjavik. Before kick-off, our model gave Valur Reykjavik a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Zrinjski 25%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.9%), ahead of 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.5%).
Over their last 4 matches, Valur Reykjavik have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Zrinjski have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 4. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Valur Reykjavik score 1.75 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Zrinjski score 2.40 and concede 0.80.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Valur Reykjavik and Zrinjski: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Valur Reykjavik or draw" stands at 75%, "Zrinjski or draw" at 50% and "no draw" at 75%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Valur Reykjavik – Zrinjski. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Valur Reykjavik 1-1 Zrinjski | 11.9% |
| Valur Reykjavik 1-0 Zrinjski | 11.4% |
| Valur Reykjavik 2-1 Zrinjski | 9.5% |
| Valur Reykjavik 2-0 Zrinjski | 9.1% |
| Valur Reykjavik 0-1 Zrinjski | 7.4% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.64 goals in total (1.60 for Valur Reykjavik, 1.04 for Zrinjski): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. Valur Reykjavik keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Zrinjski in 20%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Valur Reykjavik expected goals | 1.60 |
| Zrinjski expected goals | 1.04 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Valur Reykjavik clean sheet | 35% |
| Zrinjski clean sheet | 20% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Valur Reykjavik
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2025 | Kauno Žalgiris · UEFA Conference League | 1-2 | L |
| Jul 24, 2025 | Kauno Žalgiris · UEFA Conference League | 1-1 | D |
| Jul 17, 2025 | Flora Tallinn · UEFA Conference League | 2-1 | W |
| Jul 10, 2025 | Flora Tallinn · UEFA Conference League | 3-0 | W |
Zrinjski
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | FK Sarajevo · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Crystal Palace · UEFA Conference League | 0-2 | L |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Crystal Palace · UEFA Conference League | 1-1 | D |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Posušje · Club Friendlies | 5-0 | W |
| Jan 24, 2026 | OFK Vršac · Club Friendlies | 4-0 | W |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Valur Reykjavik and Zrinjski: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Valur Reykjavik
No absences reported.
Zrinjski
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Žilina 2-1 GKS KatowiceJul 23, 2026
- FC Lugano 1-0 DukagjiniJul 23, 2026
- Hapoel Tel Aviv 2-0 LudogoretsJul 23, 2026
- HNK Rijeka 1-0 Derry CityJul 23, 2026
- Motherwell 2-0 HB TorshavnJul 23, 2026
- Bravo 2-1 ShkendijaJul 23, 2026
- NSI Runavik 0-2 KoperJul 23, 2026
- Shelbourne 5-2 Kalju NommeJul 23, 2026
- FK Partizan 4-0 UNA StrassenJul 23, 2026
- Stjarnan 1-0 IlvesJul 23, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Valur Reykjavik vs Zrinjski prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Valur Reykjavik a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Zrinjski 25%. Valur Reykjavik are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Valur Reykjavik vs Zrinjski?
1-1 (11.9%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%), 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.1%) and 0-1 (7.4%).
Will both teams score in Valur Reykjavik vs Zrinjski?
The probability that both Valur Reykjavik and Zrinjski score is 52%. Valur Reykjavik have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Zrinjski 20%.
How many goals should we expect in Valur Reykjavik vs Zrinjski?
The model expects 2.64 goals (1.60 for Valur Reykjavik, 1.04 for Zrinjski). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is Valur Reykjavik vs Zrinjski played?
Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 20:15 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Hlídarendi Reykjavik, Reykjavik.
What form are Valur Reykjavik and Zrinjski in?
Valur Reykjavik: 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 4 matches (7 scored, 4 conceded). Zrinjski: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 4 conceded).
What was the Valur Reykjavik vs Zrinjski result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Valur Reykjavik 1-0 Zrinjski. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Valur Reykjavik was the model's favourite outcome (50%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.4%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.
How is the Valur Reykjavik vs Zrinjski prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.60 for Valur Reykjavik, 1.04 for Zrinjski) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Valur Reykjavik predictions
- All Zrinjski predictions
- UEFA Conference League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology