UEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, July 30, 2026, 19:30 (UK time)
Anderlecht vs Hammarby FF: 3-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Anderlecht 3-1 Hammarby FF. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Anderlecht at 67%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (6.7%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (48%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (55%): correct.
Match analysis
Anderlecht and Hammarby FF met on Thursday, July 30, 2026, a UEFA Europa League fixture. Venue: Lotto Park, Brussels. Before kick-off, our model gave Anderlecht a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Hammarby FF 13%. On the correct score, 2-0 comes out on top (12.1%), followed by 1-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.7%).
Anderlecht are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 7 and conceding 4. Hammarby FF are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 14 and conceding 9. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Anderlecht score 1.40 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Hammarby FF score 2.80 and concede 1.80.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Anderlecht, 0 for Hammarby FF and 1 draw. The most recent ended Hammarby FF 1-1 Anderlecht (Jul 23, 2026). Hammarby FF: S. Kone. In double chance terms, "Anderlecht or draw" stands at 87%, "Hammarby FF or draw" at 33% and "no draw" at 80%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Anderlecht – Hammarby FF. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (12.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Anderlecht 2-0 Hammarby FF | 12.1% |
| Anderlecht 1-0 Hammarby FF | 11.7% |
| Anderlecht 2-1 Hammarby FF | 9.7% |
| Anderlecht 1-1 Hammarby FF | 9.3% |
| Anderlecht 3-0 Hammarby FF | 8.4% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.08 expected goals for Anderlecht and 0.80 for Hammarby FF, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 55% and "both teams to score" at 48%. Anderlecht keep a clean sheet in 45% of scenarios, Hammarby FF in 13%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Anderlecht expected goals | 2.08 |
| Hammarby FF expected goals | 0.80 |
| Both teams to score | 48% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% |
| Anderlecht clean sheet | 45% |
| Hammarby FF clean sheet | 13% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Anderlecht
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Hammarby FF · UEFA Europa League | 1-1 | D |
| Jul 15, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Jul 11, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen · Club Friendlies | 3-2 | W |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Dunkerque · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Boulogne · Club Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
Hammarby FF
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Anderlecht · UEFA Europa League | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 24, 2026 | BK Hacken · Club Friendlies | 4-1 | W |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Kongsvinger · Club Friendlies | 3-3 | D |
| Feb 13, 2026 | HJK Helsinki · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv · Club Friendlies | 4-3 | W |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Hammarby FF 1-1 Anderlecht | UEFA Europa League |
Out and doubtful
Anderlecht
No absences reported.
Hammarby FF
- S. Kone (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-0 Sheriff TiraspolJul 30, 2026
- Hradec Králové 3-1 TromsoJul 30, 2026
- Pafos 2-0 HNK Hajduk SplitJul 30, 2026
- FC Midtjylland 0-2 BeşiktaşJul 30, 2026
- PAOK 2-0 Dynamo KyivJul 30, 2026
- CSKA Sofia 0-0 QarabagJul 30, 2026
- Ferencvarosi TC 2-2 TwenteJul 30, 2026
- Benfica 5-0 FC ST. GallenJul 30, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Anderlecht vs Hammarby FF prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Anderlecht a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Hammarby FF 13%. Anderlecht are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Anderlecht vs Hammarby FF?
2-0 (12.1%), followed by 1-0 (11.7%), 2-1 (9.7%), 1-1 (9.3%) and 3-0 (8.4%).
Will both teams score in Anderlecht vs Hammarby FF?
The probability that both Anderlecht and Hammarby FF score is 48%. Anderlecht have a 45% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Hammarby FF 13%.
How many goals should we expect in Anderlecht vs Hammarby FF?
The model expects 2.88 goals (2.08 for Anderlecht, 0.80 for Hammarby FF). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 78%, over 2.5 goals 55%, over 3.5 goals 33%.
When and where is Anderlecht vs Hammarby FF played?
Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 19:30 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Lotto Park, Brussels.
What form are Anderlecht and Hammarby FF in?
Anderlecht: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 4 conceded). Hammarby FF: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 9 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Anderlecht and Hammarby FF?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Anderlecht, 0 for Hammarby FF and 1 draw. The most recent ended Hammarby FF 1-1 Anderlecht (Jul 23, 2026).
What was the Anderlecht vs Hammarby FF result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Anderlecht 3-1 Hammarby FF. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Anderlecht at 67%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (6.7%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (48%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (55%): correct.
How is the Anderlecht vs Hammarby FF prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.08 for Anderlecht, 0.80 for Hammarby FF) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Anderlecht predictions
- All Hammarby FF predictions
- UEFA Europa League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology